Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies Picks and Predictions August 10th 2025

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The Colorado Rockies will visit the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ. The game is set for Sunday, August 10, 2025, at 4:10 PM. The Rockies have struggled this season with a record of 30-86 and are on a six-game losing streak.

The Diamondbacks hold a record of 56-61 and have won their last two games. Starting for the Rockies is Tanner Gordon, who has an ERA of 6.59. Brandon Pfaadt will take the mound for the Diamondbacks with an ERA of 5.02. The weather is expected to be very hot with clear skies, but the retractable roof may keep conditions comfortable inside the stadium.

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Venue: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ
  • Date: Sunday, August 10, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Rockies Moneyline +210, Diamondbacks Moneyline -256, Rockies Runline +1.5 (+103), Diamondbacks Runline -1.5 (-124), Total Over 9.0 (-118), Total Under 9.0 (-104)

The Rockies Can Win If…

The Colorado Rockies recently played against the Arizona Diamondbacks, losing 6-5. Brenton Doyle had a strong performance, hitting a home run and driving in two runs. Ezequiel Tovar also contributed with two hits and one RBI, showing potential for the upcoming game.

The Rockies have some key stats that can help them win. They rank 11th in doubles this season, with 189. This ability to hit for extra bases can put them in scoring positions more often.

Hunter Goodman is a player to watch, leading the team with 22 home runs and a .278 batting average. His power at the plate can be a game-changer. With Tanner Gordon on the mound, the Rockies will look to provide him with enough run support to secure a win.

The Diamondbacks Can Win If…

The Arizona Diamondbacks are coming off a tight 6-5 win against the Colorado Rockies. Corbin Carroll hit a home run and scored twice, while Geraldo Perdomo added three hits. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. drove in three runs, showing the depth in their lineup.

Arizona’s batting stats are impressive, with a .323 on-base percentage, ranking 5th in the league. They have hit 161 home runs, placing them 6th. Their slugging percentage of .437 ranks them 4th, highlighting their power at the plate.

Brandon Pfaadt will start for the Diamondbacks, with an 11-7 record and a WHIP of 1.31. His ability to control the game could be key against the Rockies. With recent wins and strong hitting, Arizona looks poised for another victory.

The Lean

The Diamondbacks are favored to win with a moneyline of -256. They have a stronger batting lineup, ranking 9th in batting average and 4th in slugging percentage. The Rockies have struggled with a 30th ranked ERA of 6.05. My model projects the Diamondbacks to win with a score of 7-4. Therefore, the recommendation is to take the Diamondbacks on the moneyline.

The total for the game is set at 9.0 runs. The Diamondbacks have a solid offense, and the Rockies’ pitching struggles suggest a high-scoring game. My model projects a total of 11 runs. The recommendation is to bet on the over at 9.0 (-118).

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Fresh Off a ‘Wow’ Moment, Brandon Pfaadt and D-backs Go for Sweep of Rockies

It was a single pitch, a single swing and miss, that perfectly encapsulated the growing confidence of Arizona Diamondbacks pitcher Brandon Pfaadt. Now, fresh off that “wow” moment against one of the best hitters in the game, Pfaadt will take the mound on Sunday afternoon with a chance to set a new career high for wins and lead the Arizona Diamondbacks to a three-game series sweep of their National League West rivals, the visiting Colorado Rockies.

The Pfaadt Progression: A “Wow” Moment

In his last start against the San Diego Padres, Brandon Pfaadt found himself in a key situation facing Luis Arraez, the three-time reigning batting champion. Pfaadt unleashed a devastating 86 mph changeup that buckled Arraez for a swinging strike three. The pitch was so nasty that the center field camera caught Arraez himself mouthing the word “wow” as he walked back to the dugout. For a young pitcher, getting that kind of reaction from an elite hitter is a massive confidence booster.

“To see his reaction to that makes me feel pretty good,” a smiling Pfaadt said. “He’s a great hitter, and he has a great approach. It just so happened we fooled him.” That moment is a sign of Pfaadt’s development this season, a progression that has seen him integrate a new cut fastball into his repertoire. “It is still a new pitch, but it’s played well, and I think it opens up a lot,” he said.

The table below provides a snapshot of two divisional rivals that are in very different places as the season winds down. For a full recap of their most recent games, you can check the official MLB game results.

TeamRecordDivision StandingRuns Per GameTeam ERA
Arizona Diamondbacks52-624th in NL West4.64.50
Colorado Rockies30-865th in NL West4.36.05

Colorado’s Race Against History

While the Diamondbacks are focused on finishing the season strong, the Rockies are in a race against the record books. With a 30-86 record, they are on pace to lose 126 games, which would break the modern-era record for most losses in a season. Despite the team’s struggles, they have found a major bright spot in their newest rookie, first baseman Warming Bernabel. The 23-year-old has been a sensation since his debut, hitting safely in all six games he has played with three home runs. His performance has been a “breath of fresh air” for a team in need of positive stories. His father, however, is having a harder time with the excitement. “My dad, after every game, he calls me and says he’s going to get a heart attack, just watching me out there doing what I’m doing,” Bernabel said.

The Pitching Matchup: A Deeper Look

Sunday’s game features a pitching matchup between the confident Pfaadt and a Rockies pitcher who has been hit hard by the Diamondbacks in his career. The psychology of a pitcher facing a team that has had his number is a key topic in our expert betting guide.

PitcherW-L (2025)ERA (2025)Career vs. Opponent
Brandon Pfaadt (ARI)11-75.022-2, 5.23 ERA
Tanner Gordon (COL)2-46.5927.00 ERA (1 game)

The scores and odds for this matchup will heavily favor the home team. For more in-depth analysis of this and other games, you can view all of our MLB previews. To see who our experts are backing in this divisional showdown, check out our daily MLB picks. To get access to even more premium content and betting tools, you can register for an account today.+