Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals Picks and Predictions July 5th 2025

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals July 5th 2025

The Kansas City Royals will visit the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ, on Saturday, July 5, 2025. The game is set to start at 4:10 PM and will be broadcast on ARID. The weather forecast predicts a very hot day with broken clouds, but the retractable roof at Chase Field should keep conditions comfortable.

Currently, the Royals have a record of 41-47, sitting 13 games back in the AL Central. They have a road record of 21-23. The Diamondbacks hold a record of 43-44 and are 12 games back in the NL West, with a home record of 22-23. Michael Wacha will start for the Royals, while Ryne Nelson will take the mound for the Diamondbacks.

Royals vs Diamondbacks Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Kansas City Royals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
• Venue: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ
• Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025
• Betting Odds: Royals Moneyline +116, Diamondbacks Moneyline -138, Royals Runline +1.5 (-176), Diamondbacks Runline -1.5 (+147), Total Over 8.5 (-115), Total Under 8.5 (-106)

The Royals Can Win If…

The Kansas City Royals are coming off a narrow 3-2 victory against the Seattle Mariners. Seth Lugo was solid on the mound, pitching 6 1/3 innings and striking out seven batters. Bobby Witt Jr. and Vinnie Pasquantino contributed key RBIs to secure the win.

The Royals have a strong pitching staff, with a team ERA of 3.48, ranking 3rd in the league. Their ability to limit opponents’ batting average to .237 is another strength. With 40 quality starts this season, the Royals’ pitchers can keep games close and give their offense a chance to win.

Key players like Bobby Witt Jr., who has a batting average of .289, lead the Royals’ offense. Maikel Garcia also adds to the lineup with a .305 batting average. With a lineup that includes Vinnie Pasquantino and Salvador Perez, the Royals have the potential to score enough runs to win against the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The Diamondbacks Can Win If…

The Arizona Diamondbacks are set to play the Kansas City Royals, coming off a recent 2-7 loss to the San Francisco Giants. Despite the loss, Ketel Marte and Eugenio Suárez each hit a home run, providing some bright spots. Brandon Pfaadt, the starting pitcher, struck out eight batters over six innings, showing potential for future games.

Arizona’s batting lineup is strong, with a team batting average of .254, ranking 5th in the league. They also rank 3rd in slugging percentage at .449, indicating their ability to hit for power. With 130 home runs this season, they are 4th in the league, showing they can score quickly.

Ryne Nelson will take the mound for the Diamondbacks, sporting a solid ERA of 3.61 and a WHIP of 1.02. His ability to limit walks and keep runners off base could be key. With hitters like Josh Naylor and Geraldo Perdomo supporting him, Arizona has a good chance to secure a win.

The Lean

The Diamondbacks are favored on the moneyline at -138. They have a strong offense with a batting average ranked 5th and a solid pitching staff with a 3rd ranked ERA of 3.48. The Royals have a weaker pitching staff with a 25th ranked ERA of 4.73. The model projects the Diamondbacks to win with a score of 5-3. Based on these factors, the recommendation is to pick the Diamondbacks to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Diamondbacks have a powerful offense, ranking 3rd in slugging percentage, while the Royals have allowed a high number of runs. The model projects a total score of 8 runs. Given these factors, the recommendation is to take the under 8.5 runs.

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Royals aim to snap Phoenix drought

The Kansas City Royals have a chance to secure their first series win in Phoenix in over a decade when they face the Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday afternoon. Kansas City closed June by losing eight of nine games but has bounced back to win three of four in July, including a 9-3 victory over Arizona on Friday in the opener of the three-game set. Catch the full MLB previews before game time here.

Offensive surge fuels momentum

Friday’s win featured a much-needed boost at the plate, as the Royals collected 14 hits and launched three home runs. Vinnie Pasquantino paced the attack with two of those long balls and drove in six runs, boosting his team-leading totals to 14 homers and 55 RBIs. Despite ranking near the bottom of the league in overall power, Kansas City’s timely hitting suggests they could sustain this spark. For expert recommendations on where to lean, check out the latest MLB picks here.

Wacha looks to regain form

Michael Wacha will take the mound for Kansas City, seeking to reverse a slump that’s seen him lose four of his last five decisions. In his most recent outing, he allowed five runs over five innings in a loss to Seattle. Wacha owns a 2-1 mark with a 4.70 ERA in nine career starts against Arizona, so a bounce-back performance could give the Royals the early edge. For advanced strategies and insights, consult this expert MLB betting guide here.

Nelson counters for Arizona

The Diamondbacks will hand the ball to Ryne Nelson, who enters with a 4-2 record and a 3.61 ERA through eight starts. Nelson has posted consecutive no-decisions, most recently surrendering two runs over 6⅔ innings against San Francisco while matching a season high with seven strikeouts. His approach centers on attacking hitters with his fastball to control the count. Nelson is 0-1 with a 6.55 ERA in two career starts versus Kansas City.

Betting outlook and handicappers’ edge

As this series unfolds, many bettors will look to secure reliable guidance before placing their wagers. Whether you’re ready to buy picks or want to gauge the consensus on the leaderboard of top handicappers, this matchup offers plenty of angles to consider. Intelligent wagering could be the key to riding the Royals’ momentum or capitalizing on Arizona’s rebound efforts.