Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks and Predictions May 9th 2025

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In one of the more unusual scheduling quirks of the 2024 MLB season, the Arizona Diamondbacks are finally diving into National League West action as they open a crucial four-game series against the division-leading Los Angeles Dodgers. The headline clash between Yoshinobu Yamamoto and Brandon Pfaadt marks a turning point for both clubs as they begin their divisional grind. For Arizona, this is game 39—and their very first against an NL West rival.


A Delayed Start to NL West Action

Why Arizona’s Divisional Schedule Is Backloaded

Arizona enters this Dodgers series having faced exclusively non-divisional opponents. It’s rare, and potentially consequential. Playing against division rivals late in the season means the D-backs will face high-leverage games stacked closer together—each with postseason implications.

Dodgers’ Minimal Division Exposure So Far

By contrast, the Dodgers have dipped into division play only once this year, hosting the Colorado Rockies. With just three NL West games under their belt, they now face a stretch where intra-division performance will become pivotal. Don’t Miss our Picks from MLB Expert Handicappers


Spotlight on the Pitching Duel: Yamamoto vs. Pfaadt

Yamamoto’s Dominance and Cy Young Potential

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been electric. With a 0.90 ERA, he leads the majors through seven starts. His command is masterful, allowing just 24 hits in 40 innings, alongside 49 strikeouts. Even more impressively, he’s yielded just one earned run in his last 32 innings.

Pfaadt’s Solid Start and Historical Matchups

Brandon Pfaadt, meanwhile, boasts a 5-2 record but is coming off a shaky outing in Philadelphia. Historically, he’s had mixed results against the Dodgers—posting a 6.20 ERA in four starts. However, his 17 strikeouts in just under 12 innings show he can dominate when dialed in.


The Importance of Division Games in a Crowded NL West

Competitive Edge Within the Division

With teams like the Padres, Giants, and Dodgers all posting 23+ wins early, NL West games are six-point swings—lose, and a rival gains. Win, and you leapfrog.

How Early Series Shape Playoff Races

A strong showing in this series can propel Arizona into serious contention, or cement the Dodgers’ early control of the division. Either way, playoff implications start now.


Dodgers’ Injury Challenges and Bullpen Load

Teoscar Hernandez Injury and Impact

Outfielder Teoscar Hernandez is sidelined with a Grade 1 adductor strain, weakening LA’s offensive depth. Recalled outfielder James Outman stepped in well with a home run, but the loss is notable.

Overworked Bullpen and Rotation Gaps

The Dodgers are leaning heavily on their bullpen due to injuries to Blake Snell, Tyler Glasnow, and Clayton Kershaw. Manager Dave Roberts openly criticized the unsustainable workload, emphasizing the need for starters like Yamamoto to go deep.


Offensive Firepower: Comeback Kings of MLB

Dodgers’ 13 Comeback Wins Explained

The Dodgers lead MLB with 13 comeback victories, showing resilience and clutch hitting—especially in late innings.

D-backs Matching Grit with 12 Comeback Victories

Arizona isn’t far behind. Their 12 comebacks reflect similar tenacity and suggest no lead will be safe in this series.


Players to Watch This Series

Freddie Freeman’s Hot Bat

Freeman continues to deliver, going 3-for-4 with 4 RBIs in a recent win over Miami. His consistency is crucial with Hernandez out.

Outman’s Return and Timely Contributions

Back in the bigs, James Outman made an immediate impact with a home run, making him one to monitor against Pfaadt.


Yamamoto’s Mastery of the D-backs Lineup

Past Performances and Current Form

In two starts vs. Arizona last year, Yamamoto allowed just two runs in 12.1 innings, striking out 13. Arizona’s hitters have rarely touched him.

Arizona Hitters’ Limited Success Against Him

Only Ketel Marte (2-for-4) and Eugenio Suarez (1-for-6) have hits against Yamamoto, underlining the challenge ahead.

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Pfaadt’s History Against Dodgers Bats

Key Dodgers’ Stats vs. Pfaadt

Several Dodgers have good numbers vs. Pfaadt:

  • Freeman: 4-for-11, HR
  • Conforto: 3-for-7, 2 HR
  • E. Hernandez: 3-for-8, HR
  • Betts: 4-for-9

Areas of Opportunity for Arizona

If Pfaadt can avoid the long ball and pitch efficiently, Arizona has a chance to steal a win.


Strategic Implications for Both Clubs

Setting the Tone for Division Play

This series sets the tone for each team’s divisional efforts. Winning the first matchup could shift momentum significantly.

Roster Flexibility and Depth Testing

Both clubs are using depth to weather injuries. This series will test that resilience.


What This Series Means for the Season Ahead

Wild Card vs. Division Title Stakes

Early wins against NL West rivals often decide whether teams contend for the division crown or scramble for a Wild Card.

Mental and Momentum Boosts from Series Wins

Momentum here could drive a winning streak—or deepen slumps. For both clubs, the psychological edge is huge.


Game One Preview: Key Storylines to Watch

Yamamoto’s Rest Period Adjustment

Pitching on five days’ rest for the first time, Yamamoto’s performance will indicate how he handles a new rhythm.

Pfaadt’s Bounce-Back Mission

Coming off a rough start, Pfaadt aims to rebound with precision against a dangerous Dodgers lineup.


Team Statistics Entering the Series

TeamWinsComeback WinsERA LeaderHR Leader
Dodgers2513Yamamoto (0.90)Freeman / Outman
D-backs2012Pfaadt (5 Wins)Marte / Walker

Media Coverage and Fan Expectations

National Spotlight and Hype

This series is gaining attention across national networks, with analysts watching how these contenders measure up.

Home Field Advantage for Arizona

The D-backs host at Chase Field, offering comfort—but also pressure to perform in front of the home crowd.

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Mike Williams
Mike Williams | Handicapper

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Mike uses his strong sports knowledge to analyze all the angles to find the most profitable wagers. Iron Mike handicaps MLB, college football, NFL, NBA, and NCAA basketball. I'm an actual sports and gambling junkie!

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