Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins Picks and Predictions June 27th 2025

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins June 27th 2025

The Miami Marlins will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ. The game is scheduled for Friday, June 27, 2025, at 9:40 PM. It will be a night game, and the weather is expected to be very hot with clear skies, but the retractable roof may keep conditions stable inside the stadium.

The Marlins, managed by Clayton McCullough, have a season record of 34-45. They are 12 games back in the NL East. On the mound for Miami is Eury Pérez, who has an ERA of 6.17. The Diamondbacks, led by Torey Lovullo, have a record of 41-39 and are 9 games back in the NL West. Merrill Kelly will pitch for Arizona, carrying an ERA of 3.39.

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
• Venue: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ
• Date: Friday, June 27, 2025
• Betting Odds: Diamondbacks MoneyLine -175, Marlins MoneyLine +146

The Marlins Can Win If…

The Miami Marlins are on a winning streak, securing a 12-5 victory against the San Francisco Giants in their last game. Agustín Ramírez was a standout, going 3-for-5 with a home run and three RBIs. Kyle Stowers also contributed with a homer and three RBIs, showing the team’s power at the plate.

The Marlins have been strong offensively, with a team batting average of .254, ranking 5th in the league. They have hit 134 doubles, placing them 7th in that category. These stats indicate their ability to get on base and drive in runs, making them a tough lineup to face.

Despite Eury Pérez’s struggles on the mound with an ERA of 6.17, the Marlins’ offense can provide the run support needed for a win. Players like Xavier Edwards, who is batting .286, and Jesús Sánchez, with 7 home runs, add depth to their lineup. With recent performances and solid hitting stats, the Marlins have a good chance to win their next game.

The Diamondbacks Can Win If…

The Arizona Diamondbacks recently faced the Chicago White Sox, where they lost 3-7. Despite the loss, Josh Naylor had a strong performance with a home run and two RBIs. This shows that their lineup can produce key hits even in tough games.

Arizona’s batting stats are impressive, ranking third in on-base percentage and slugging percentage. Their ability to hit home runs is also notable, with 115 home runs this season. These stats suggest they have the potential to score runs against the Miami Marlins.

Merrill Kelly will start for the Diamondbacks, bringing a 3.39 ERA and 7-3 record. His solid performance on the mound could limit Miami’s scoring opportunities. With strong pitching and a capable lineup, Arizona has a good chance to secure a win.

The Lean

The Diamondbacks are the recommended moneyline pick at -175. They have a stronger hitting lineup with a .255 batting average and .328 on-base percentage, ranking 4th and 3rd respectively. The Marlins, as underdogs, have a .254 batting average and .314 on-base percentage, ranking 5th and 13th. The model projects the Diamondbacks to win with a score of 5-3.

For the over/under pick, the recommendation is to bet on the under 8.5. The combined projected score is 8, with the Diamondbacks scoring 5 and the Marlins scoring 3. Both teams have pitching challenges, but their hitting does not indicate a high-scoring game. The Diamondbacks’ earned run average is 4.73, while the Marlins’ is 4.85, both ranking in the lower half of the league.

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Thriving Marlins Face Battered Diamondbacks in Series Opener

Two of the hottest teams in the National League collide Friday night as the Miami Marlins visit the Arizona Diamondbacks for the first of a three-game set in Phoenix. Both teams enter the matchup having won 10 of their last 15 games and riding strong momentum—though their paths have been very different.

Miami completed a sweep of the San Francisco Giants with a resounding 12-5 win on Thursday, marking their third series win in four tries. Arizona, while also winning four of its past five series, is dealing with a rash of injuries that threatens to derail their recent surge.

“We’re playing our brand of baseball… Guys know their roles. Everybody shows up every day ready to do their job.”
— Carson Vitale

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The Marlins’ offense has ignited behind Otto Lopez, who is in the midst of a seven-game hitting streak. He went 12-for-27 with seven RBIs during that span and tallied six hits and five RBIs in the Giants series. Agustin Ramirez and Kyle Stowers also launched their 12th homers of the season on Thursday, continuing Miami’s power surge.

On the mound, Miami will send right-hander Eury Perez (0-2, 6.17 ERA), who is making his fourth start of the year as he works back from Tommy John surgery. Perez has yet to complete five innings and remains on a pitch count but reports improving confidence with each outing.

“Continue to build up with each outing and just working on some of the pitches. Feeling better with each start.”
— Eury Perez

Diamondbacks Battling More Than Opponents

While the Diamondbacks have been winning, they’ve done it despite a cascade of injuries. During their recent road trip, Arizona lost Corbin Carroll, Gabriel Moreno, and Ildemaro Vargas to various injuries. They’re already without ace Corbin Burnes and co-closers Justin Martinez and A.J. Puk, all out for the season.

“We’ve taken on a lot of water, and the ship is not sinking… I’ve just got to keep it on its course.”
— Torey Lovullo

Merrill Kelly (7-3, 3.39 ERA) gets the start Friday and has been the steadiest arm in Arizona’s rotation. He’s gone 6-2 with a 2.68 ERA over his last 14 starts. Kelly owns a 1-2 career mark against the Marlins with a 5.52 ERA in five appearances, though he beat them in April with a six-inning, one-run performance.

Key Betting Angles

Both teams are trending upward despite vastly different circumstances. The Marlins bring offensive consistency and improving pitching, while the Diamondbacks will lean heavily on Kelly as their roster is patched together.

This game presents an interesting opportunity for sharp bettors following MLB predictions and picks. Monitor pitch counts for Perez and the depth of Arizona’s lineup as potential factors for live betting or total runs props.

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