Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Picks and Predictions June 14th 2025

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The San Diego Padres will play against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field in Phoenix on Saturday, June 14, 2025. This night game will start at 7:15 PM and will be aired on FOX. The weather forecast indicates a very hot day with a clear sky, though the retractable roof may negate any impact from the calm crosswind.

The Padres, managed by Mike Schildt, have a season record of 38-29 and are 2 games behind in the NL West. Their road record stands at 17-17. The Diamondbacks, led by Torey Lovullo, hold a 34-34 record, trailing 6 games in the division. Zac Gallen will start for the Diamondbacks with an ERA of 5.15, while Ryan Bergert, with an ERA of 1.26, will pitch for the Padres.

Padres vs Diamondbacks Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Venue: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ
  • Date: Saturday, June 14, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Diamondbacks MoneyLine -149, Padres MoneyLine +125

The Padres Can Win If…

The San Diego Padres are coming off a recent game against the Los Angeles Dodgers, where they lost 2-5. Despite the loss, Randy Vásquez showed strong pitching with 4 2/3 innings and only one earned run. Key hitters like Xander Bogaerts and Gavin Sheets contributed with hits, showing their potential to impact future games.

The Padres have several stats that indicate they can win the next game. They rank 9th in batting average at .247 and 5th in both earned run average (3.47) and batting average against (.227). Their pitching strength is evident with only 66 home runs given up, also ranked 5th in the league.

Ryan Bergert will start for the Padres with an impressive ERA of 1.26 and a WHIP of 0.98. Manny Machado leads the team with a .320 batting average and 39 RBIs, making him a key player to watch. With solid performances from both hitters and pitchers, the Padres have a strong chance to win the upcoming game.

The Diamondbacks Can Win If…

The Arizona Diamondbacks recently won against the Seattle Mariners with a score of 5-2. Eduardo Rodriguez pitched well, allowing only two runs over 6 1/3 innings. Eugenio Suárez was a standout player, hitting a home run and driving in four runs.

Arizona’s batting stats show why they can win. Their team ranks fourth in batting average at .255 and third in slugging percentage at .449. They have hit 98 home runs, placing them third in the league.

The Diamondbacks have a strong lineup with players like Josh Naylor and Ketel Marte. Naylor boasts a .302 batting average, while Marte has hit 12 home runs. With Zac Gallen starting on the mound, they have a chance to keep their winning streak going.

The Lean

The Diamondbacks are favored to win with a MoneyLine of -149. They have a strong hitting lineup, ranking 4th in batting average and 3rd in slugging percentage. My model projects the Diamondbacks to win with a score of 5-4. This makes them a solid pick for a straight-up win.

The over/under line is set at 9.5. With the Diamondbacks’ potent offense and the Padres’ struggles in pitching, ranking 25th in earned run average, my model projects a total score of 9. This suggests taking the under for this game.

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D-backs Lean on Gallen to Keep Win Streak Alive vs. Padres

The Arizona Diamondbacks are riding a four-game winning streak into Saturday’s clash with the San Diego Padres, but they’re doing it under mounting pressure. With another pitcher added to the injury list, the spotlight shifts to Zac Gallen, who will start against rookie Ryan Bergert in Phoenix.

Arizona opened the series with a 5-1 win on Friday night, and another strong outing could provide some much-needed stability for a pitching staff that’s been decimated. For full previews of all upcoming MLB matchups, visit the MLB previews page.

Arizona’s Rotation Faces Major Setbacks

The D-backs lost ace Corbin Burnes to Tommy John surgery two weeks ago. On Friday, they announced that closer Justin Martinez will be out at least 12 months due to a UCL sprain. Manager Torey Lovullo acknowledged the brutal reality of the sport.

“This game is extremely tough and unforgiving, and it can just rip you apart,” Lovullo said. “We just have to go out with that next-man-up attitude.”

The need for reliable starting pitching makes Gallen’s performance on Saturday especially crucial. Bettors looking to navigate the shifting depth charts can tap into the latest expert MLB betting strategies.

Padres Dealing with Their Own Rotation Problems

San Diego is no stranger to rotation setbacks either. Top starter Michael King was placed on the IL with a shoulder nerve issue, and Yu Darvish remains sidelined due to elbow inflammation suffered in the spring. Padres starters have gone six innings in just three of their last 16 games.

“We’re pushing, piecing it together and competing at the same time,” said Padres manager Mike Shildt. “But we’re going to need some depth out of some starters.”

Given the volatility on both sides, this game offers an opportunity for smart wagering. Check out the latest MLB picks and predictions from top handicappers.

Gallen Hoping to Bounce Back

Zac Gallen enters the game with a 4-8 record and a 5.15 ERA. He’s made just one quality start over his last six appearances, although that outing was a solid win in Atlanta on June 3. He faltered last Sunday in Cincinnati, giving up three home runs—including a two-run shot in the seventh.

“I’ll take solo homers,” Gallen said. “Obviously, you’re trying to prevent big innings, but you don’t want to let them in the game.”

This season, Gallen has allowed 14 homers—second-most in the NL—and leads the league with 36 walks. Still, he owns a strong track record against San Diego, going 4-3 with a 3.16 ERA in 12 starts. He dominated the Padres in 2023, going 3-0 with a 1.78 ERA across four games.

For premium selections and game-day insights on Gallen and other starters, explore verified MLB betting picks.

Padres’ Bats Have Some History vs. Gallen

The Padres have had mixed results against Gallen. Fernando Tatis Jr. is 5-for-17 with two home runs, while Jake Cronenworth is 7-for-24 with one homer. Manny Machado and Xander Bogaerts have also gone deep off Gallen, combining for 9 hits in 34 at-bats.

Limiting power will be key for Gallen, especially against a lineup that has shown pop in limited chances. For updated leaderboards on who’s delivering accurate baseball betting advice, head to the best MLB handicappers page.

Bergert’s Opportunity to Impress Again

Ryan Bergert, filling in for Michael King, will make his third big league start on Saturday. The right-hander posted 5 1/3 scoreless innings in his last outing against Milwaukee, allowing just one hit while walking four and striking out four in a no-decision.

“I was executing things a little bit better than my last start,” Bergert said. “I felt more comfortable on the mound and not so jittery as the first one.”

Bergert will face a confident Diamondbacks lineup and a Gallen eager to stabilize Arizona’s rotation. The result could hinge on which starter manages the early innings better.

By T. Franklin Smith | April 8, 2025
By T. Franklin Smith | April 1, 2025
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Free Pick found on BestBettor.com. Mike Williams is part of SportsCapping Group.

Mike uses his strong sports knowledge to analyze all the angles to find the most profitable wagers. Iron Mike handicaps MLB, college football, NFL, NBA, and NCAA basketball. I'm an actual sports and gambling junkie!

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