Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres Picks and Predictions June 15th 2025

Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Diego Padres MLB Sun, Jun 15, 15:10 pm.
Arizona Diamondbacks
ML: -137
2
8
San Diego Padres
ML: 110
Last Updated on

The San Diego Padres will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field in Phoenix on Sunday, June 15, 2025. The game will start at 4:10 PM, and it is an afternoon game. The weather forecast predicts a very hot day with clear skies, but the retractable roof at Chase Field may keep conditions comfortable for players and fans.

The Padres come into the game with a 38-31 record, sitting 2 games back in the NL West. They have a road record of 17-19 this season. The Diamondbacks have a 36-34 record and are 5 games back in the same division. Their home record stands at 20-17. Both teams will rely on their starting pitchers, with Nick Pivetta taking the mound for the Padres and Merrill Kelly for the Diamondbacks. Both pitchers have identical 6-2 records, promising a competitive game.

Padres vs Diamondbacks Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Venue: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ
  • Date: Sunday, June 15, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Diamondbacks MoneyLine -136, Padres MoneyLine +114

The Padres Can Win If…

The San Diego Padres recently played a tight game against the Arizona Diamondbacks, losing 8-7. Gavin Sheets stood out, going 3 for 3 with a home run. Fernando Tatis Jr. also had a strong performance, with two hits and two RBIs.

The Padres have a solid chance to win with their strong pitching staff. Their team ERA ranks 7th in the league at 3.49, and they have the 3rd best batting average against at .227. Nick Pivetta, with a 3.48 ERA, will be on the mound, providing them a reliable arm.

Offensively, the Padres are led by Manny Machado, who has a .319 batting average and 39 RBIs. Gavin Sheets adds power with 11 home runs. The team’s ability to get on base and score runs will be key to their success in the upcoming game.

The Diamondbacks Can Win If…

The Arizona Diamondbacks recently won a close game against the San Diego Padres, 8-7. Zac Gallen pitched 6 1/3 innings, allowing 4 runs and striking out 6. Geraldo Perdomo and Eugenio Suárez were key hitters, contributing a combined 6 RBIs.

Arizona’s offense is strong, ranking third in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. They have hit 100 home runs this season, placing them third in the league. Their ability to score runs and hit for power gives them a solid chance to win.

Merrill Kelly will start for the Diamondbacks with a 3.18 ERA and a WHIP of 0.99. He has been reliable, with 6 wins and only 2 losses. Kelly’s strong performance on the mound can help Arizona secure another victory.

The Lean

The Diamondbacks are the moneyline pick at -136. They have a strong batting lineup, ranking third in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. The Padres, with their lower-ranked pitching and hitting stats, might struggle against the Diamondbacks’ offense. My model projects a score of Diamondbacks 5, Padres 3.

For the over/under, take the under 8.5. The Diamondbacks have a solid pitching staff with a 3.49 ERA, ranked seventh. The Padres’ batting stats do not indicate a high-scoring game. My model projects a total of 8 runs, suggesting the under is the safer choice.

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D-backs’ Ninth Inning Magic Fuels Sweep Attempt vs. Padres

The Arizona Diamondbacks have become masters of the late-game rally, and they’ll look to ride that momentum to a series sweep of the rival San Diego Padres on Sunday afternoon. A win would cap a perfect six-game homestand for the surging D-backs.

Don’t Change the Channel on Arizona

No team is more dangerous in the final frame than the Diamondbacks, who lead the majors with 39 runs scored in the ninth inning. They proved it again on Saturday, scoring five runs in the ninth for a dramatic 8-7 walk-off victory. It was their fifth straight win, pushing them two games over .500 for the first time in weeks.

“Proud of the guys and the way that we’ve managed to rally,” said right fielder Corbin Carroll. “Now we just have to keep going.”

The Ace on the Mound

Arizona will send their most reliable arm to the mound to secure the sweep. Right-hander Merrill Kelly (6-2, 3.18 ERA) is on a mission, carrying a 15 1/3-inning scoreless streak into Sunday’s start. Since a rough outing in early April, Kelly has been elite, posting a 2.34 ERA over his last 12 appearances.

“I make my money living on the edge and making guys swing at pitches that they might not want to swing at,” Kelly said of his pitching style. His dominance makes the D-backs a heavy favorite on the scores and odds board.

A baseball player in a gray Arizona Diamondbacks jersey, wearing a red cap and holding a glove, walks on the field during a game.

Padres Searching for Answers

The Padres are heading in the opposite direction, having lost three straight and four of their last five. They’ll turn to right-hander Nick Pivetta (6-2, 3.48 ERA) to stop the skid, but he has struggled badly in his last two starts, giving up five runs in each outing. How a team navigates a slump is a key topic in our expert betting guide.

One key matchup to watch will be when Kelly faces Padres superstar Fernando Tatis Jr., who has hit four career home runs against the D-backs’ ace.

As these two NL West MLB teams finish their first series of the year, the momentum is squarely on one side. To see if our experts think the D-backs can complete the sweep, check out our daily MLB picks.

spread
moneyline
over/under
Arizona Diamondbacks
-
-
-137
O 8.5
-118
San Diego Padres
-
-
110
U 8.5
-110
Kyle Parker
Kyle Parker | Handicapper

Kyle has put the hammer down for more than 25-years as a bookie, line mover, oddsmaker, and gambler. He knows trends, and has proven it time and again with win, after win.

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