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Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Giants July 3rd 2025
The San Francisco Giants head to Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks. The game is set for Thursday, July 3, 2025, at 9:40 PM. Fans can catch the action on ARID.
The Giants have a 45-41 record this season and sit 9 games back in the NL West. The Diamondbacks, with a 43-42 record, are 10 games back in the same division. Robbie Ray will start for the Giants, while Brandon Pfaadt takes the mound for the Diamondbacks.
Giants vs Diamondbacks Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- Venue: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ
- Date: Thursday, July 3, 2025
- Betting Odds: Giants Moneyline -111, Diamondbacks Moneyline -107, Giants Runline -1.5 (+151), Diamondbacks Runline +1.5 (-183), Total Over 8.5 (-101), Total Under 8.5 (-117)
The Giants Can Win If…
The San Francisco Giants are looking to bounce back after a recent loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks, 8-2. Despite the loss, Willy Adames showed power with a home run, and Daniel Johnson added a double. The Giants’ lineup has potential with Rafael Devers leading the team in home runs and RBIs, providing a strong offensive backbone.
The Giants’ pitching staff is a key factor in their chances to win. They have the second-best ERA in the league at 3.44, and Robbie Ray will start with an impressive ERA of 2.75. Ray’s ability to limit runs and keep batters off balance gives the Giants a solid chance against the Diamondbacks.
San Francisco’s ability to draw walks, ranking third in the league, can help them create scoring opportunities. Their lineup includes players like Mike Yastrzemski and Heliot Ramos, who can capitalize on these chances. With a combination of strong pitching and strategic hitting, the Giants are well-positioned to secure a win.
The Diamondbacks Can Win If…
The Arizona Diamondbacks are coming off a strong win against the San Francisco Giants, finishing 8-2. Zac Gallen led the way with a solid performance, pitching 7 innings with 10 strikeouts. The lineup also delivered, hitting four home runs, including contributions from James McCann and Lourdes Gurriel Jr.
The Diamondbacks have impressive stats this season that can help them win. They rank 2nd in slugging percentage at .450 and 3rd in home runs with 126. Their ability to hit for power is a key strength, making them a tough team to face.
Key players like Eugenio Suárez and Ketel Marte are performing well. Suárez leads the team with 26 home runs, while Marte has a .296 batting average. With Brandon Pfaadt on the mound, they have a good chance to continue their winning streak.
The Lean
The San Francisco Giants are slightly favored with a moneyline of -111 against the Arizona Diamondbacks at -107. The Giants have a strong pitching staff, ranking 2nd in ERA at 3.44, while the Diamondbacks have an ERA of 4.71, ranked 24th. Given the Giants’ pitching advantage, the recommendation is to pick the Giants to win straight up. The model projects a score of Giants 5, Diamondbacks 4.
The total for the game is set at 8.5 runs, with the over at -101 and the under at -117. The Diamondbacks have a solid offense, ranking 2nd in slugging percentage at .450, which could challenge the Giants’ pitching. Considering both teams’ capabilities, the recommendation is to take the over. The model projects a total of 9 runs, suggesting a higher-scoring game.
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Series at Chase Field
The Arizona Diamondbacks grabbed the first two games of this four-contest set before the San Francisco Giants rallied for a 6–5 win in 10 innings on Wednesday. In our comprehensive MLB preview, we highlighted how critical Thursday’s starter will be for both clubs.
Robbie Ray Seeks to Right the Ship
Left-hander Robbie Ray opened 2025 with a perfect 7–0 record but has managed just one win in his last six starts despite maintaining a 2.75 ERA. His most recent outing—six innings, one run on four hits—reinforces that elite arsenal that put him among the top handicappers on our leaderboard last season.
Pfaadt’s Rocky Road to Consistency
Rookie Brandon Pfaadt dazzled in April (5–1, 2.43 ERA) but regressed badly in May and June, combining for a 7.00+ ERA. His latest five-inning turn in Miami yielded three runs (two earned) on five hits. For those sharpening their approach, our expert MLB betting guide breaks down how to evaluate starters like Pfaadt against evolving lineups.
Familiar Foes and Early Matchups
This duel carries extra intrigue: Ray spent 2015–20 in Arizona and improved to 6–0 all-time against his former club, including a six-inning, three-earned-run effort on May 13. Pfaadt, meanwhile, is 0–3 with a 4.82 ERA in four career starts versus San Francisco. Keep an eye on our latest MLB picks—these head-to-head trends often defy conventional wisdom.
High-Leverage Decisions
San Francisco’s closer, Camilo Doval, logged two innings Wednesday; another extra-inning scenario could test the bullpen further. If you’d like to back your game-day analysis with premium recommendations, visit our buy picks page for curated packages. At this juncture, fundamentals—cutoff throws, backing up plays—may matter as much as raw arm talent.
