Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Picks and Predictions June 4th 2025

Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks June 4th 2025

The Arizona Diamondbacks will play against the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on Wednesday, June 4, 2025. The game is scheduled to start at 7:15 PM and will be aired on FDSSO. The Diamondbacks, managed by Torey Lovullo, have a season record of 29-31 and are 7 games behind in the NL West.

The Braves, led by manager Brian Snitker, hold a record of 27-32 and are 10 games behind in the NL East. The Diamondbacks’ starting pitcher is Merrill Kelly with an ERA of 3.78. For the Braves, Chris Sale will take the mound with an ERA of 3.06. Both teams will aim to improve their standings in this night game.

Diamondbacks vs Braves Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Atlanta Braves
• Venue: Truist Park in Atlanta, GA
• Date: Wednesday, June 4, 2025
• Betting Odds: Braves MoneyLine -173, Diamondbacks MoneyLine +145

The Diamondbacks Can Win If…

The Arizona Diamondbacks come into their next game with momentum after an 8-3 win over the Atlanta Braves. Key performances came from Ketel Marte and Corbin Carroll, who each hit two home runs. Zac Gallen pitched seven strong innings, allowing only one earned run, which helped secure the win.

Arizona’s lineup has been consistent, with a team batting average of .255, ranking 5th in the league. Their power at the plate is evident with 84 home runs, placing them 4th. They lead the league with 117 doubles, showing their ability to hit for extra bases.

Merrill Kelly will start on the mound for the Diamondbacks, bringing a solid ERA of 3.78. His WHIP of 1.06 indicates he limits base runners effectively. With Kelly’s steady pitching and Arizona’s potent offense, they have a strong chance to win this game.

The Braves Can Win If…

The Atlanta Braves recently played against the Arizona Diamondbacks and lost 8-3. Despite the loss, Drake Baldwin hit a home run and Spencer Strider pitched five innings. The Braves showed they can hit home runs, and they will look to improve in their next game.

The Braves have a solid team batting average of .245, ranked 12th in the league. Their lineup features Matt Olson, who leads the team with 12 home runs. With players like Austin Riley and Marcell Ozuna also contributing, the Braves have the potential to score runs.

Chris Sale will start for the Braves with an ERA of 3.06. He delivered a strong performance against the Phillies on May 29th, allowing no runs in six innings. Sale’s ability to keep hitters off balance will be key for the Braves to win this game.

The Lean

The Braves are favored with a moneyline of -173, and they have a strong hitting lineup. They rank 5th in batting average and on-base percentage, and 3rd in slugging. The Diamondbacks, with a moneyline of +145, have a lower batting average and slugging percentage. My model projects the Braves to win with a score of 5-3. Based on these factors, the recommendation is to pick the Braves on the moneyline.

The over/under line is set at 8.0. The Braves have a better pitching staff with an ERA ranked 11th, while the Diamondbacks’ ERA ranks 23rd. Given the Braves’ strong offense and decent pitching, the projected total score is 8. My model suggests taking the over, as both teams have the potential to score runs.

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Braves’ Chris Sale Aims for Another Gem Against D-backs in Key Showdown

Wednesday night’s matchup between the Atlanta Braves and Arizona Diamondbacks features two seasoned right-handers on very different trajectories—and both clubs hungry for momentum.

Chris Sale, last year’s NL Cy Young winner, is rounding into elite form again for Atlanta. He’ll take the mound against Arizona’s Merrill Kelly, who’s quietly strung together strong road performances this season.

The Diamondbacks drew first blood in the series with a convincing 8-3 win on Tuesday night, evening the season series at 2-2. Now, Sale has a chance to halt Atlanta’s recent skid and reclaim control of the set.

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Chris Sale Returning to Cy Young Form

Sale (3-3, 3.06 ERA) looked dominant in his last outing, firing six scoreless innings with eight strikeouts in a 9-3 win over the Phillies. It’s part of an eight-start stretch where he’s posted a 1.66 ERA with 62 punchouts in under 50 innings.

Behind the scenes, it was teammates like Grant Holmes and Spencer Schwellenbach who helped him identify a flaw in his delivery—leading to a more consistent and powerful rhythm on the mound.

“There were some weeks I was getting off the mound three times between starts,” Sale explained. “It got me kind of back on track.”

Historically, he’s been rock-solid against Arizona. Sale holds a 4-0 record with a 2.57 ERA in five career outings versus the D-backs, including a win on April 25 when he allowed just one run across five innings.

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Merrill Kelly Quietly Delivers on the Road

Kelly (5-2, 3.78 ERA) might be flying under the radar, but he’s been rock-steady away from home. In his last five road starts, the right-hander is 2-0 with a 2.43 ERA, going at least five innings in four of them.

However, his last outing against the Nationals wasn’t his sharpest—he surrendered six runs (four earned) over five innings in a 9-7 loss. Still, Arizona is optimistic given his history against the Braves: a 3.55 ERA over five starts, including six solid innings in a no-decision on April 26.

“We’re not getting blown out—we’re right there in most of these games,” Kelly said. “We’ve just got to keep pushing forward.”

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D-backs Navigating Injuries, Looking for Depth

Arizona’s rotation has taken a hit with ace Corbin Burnes now on the 15-day injured list due to right elbow tightness. While there’s no timeline yet for his return, the team is optimistic about his long-term status. Left-hander Eduardo Rodriguez, also on the IL, could rejoin the rotation soon as he’s traveling with the team.

Ryne Nelson is expected to fill Burnes’ spot for now. That puts added pressure on Kelly to hold the line and give the bullpen a break, especially as the D-backs look to claw their way back to .500.

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Braves Need a Bounce Back at Home

Atlanta, once seen as the juggernaut of the NL East, is now five games below .500 after losing nine of their last 12. Manager Brian Snitker knows what’s at stake.

“We’ve got to play better, do better—in all areas,” he said. “Right now, it’s about cleaning up the little things.”

With Sale on the mound, the Braves have a golden opportunity to stop the slide. Offensively, they’ll need more from the heart of their lineup to support their resurgent ace.