Orioles vs. Braves: Kremer Aims to Extend Atlanta’s Slump

Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles July 5th 2025

The Baltimore Orioles will play against the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park in Atlanta, GA, on Saturday, July 5, 2025. The game will begin at 4:10 PM, and fans can catch the action on MASN. The weather forecast predicts a warm day with a light breeze and clear skies.

Heading into this game, the Orioles have a season record of 38-49, placing them 11 games back in the AL East. Their road record stands at 19-27. On the other side, the Braves hold a 39-48 record, also 11 games back in their division, the NL East. At home, the Braves have performed better with a 24-20 record.

Orioles vs Braves Key Information

Sport: Baseball
Teams: Baltimore Orioles vs. Atlanta Braves
Venue: Truist Park in Atlanta, GA
Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025
Betting Odds: Orioles Moneyline +106, Braves Moneyline -126

The Orioles Can Win If…

The Baltimore Orioles are coming off a win against the Atlanta Braves with a 3-2 score. Charlie Morton pitched 5 1/3 innings, allowing 2 earned runs and striking out 7. Jordan Westburg and Cedric Mullins both hit home runs, contributing to the team’s victory.

The Orioles’ lineup shows strength with players like Gunnar Henderson and Ryan O’Hearn. Henderson has a batting average of .279 and has hit 10 home runs this season. O’Hearn leads the team with a .290 average and 11 home runs, providing power in the lineup.

Baltimore’s pitching staff, led by Dean Kremer, has potential despite some challenges. Kremer holds a 4.27 ERA and has a balanced 7-7 win-loss record. The team’s ability to limit home runs, ranking 23rd in HR given up, can be a key factor in their success.

The Braves Can Win If…

The Atlanta Braves are looking to bounce back after a narrow 3-2 loss to the Baltimore Orioles. Spencer Strider pitched six innings, allowing three earned runs and striking out six. Drake Baldwin was a bright spot, hitting a home run and driving in two runs.

The Braves have a solid chance to win with Aaron Bummer starting on the mound. Bummer has a strong ERA of 2.86 and a WHIP of 1.18. The Braves’ pitching staff ranks 9th in ERA and 6th in batting average against, showing their ability to keep games close.

Offensively, Matt Olson and Austin Riley lead the charge. Olson has 16 home runs and 56 RBIs, while Riley holds a .273 batting average. With a lineup featuring Ronald Acuña Jr. and Marcell Ozuna, the Braves have the power to score runs and secure a win.

The Lean

The Braves are favored with a moneyline of -126, while the Orioles stand at +106. My model projects the Braves to win with a score of 6-4. Given the Braves’ stronger pitching stats, with a 3.75 ERA ranking 9th, they are the recommended pick for the moneyline.

The total for this game is set at 10.0 runs, with the over at -108 and the under at -113. My model predicts a combined score of 10 runs. Considering the Orioles’ pitching struggles, with a 4.99 ERA ranking 27th, the over is the recommended pick.

Matchup Overview

Baltimore’s Dean Kremer takes the mound on Saturday afternoon looking to extend his scoreless-innings streak as the Orioles visit the Atlanta Braves in the second game of a three-game series. After snapping a two-game skid with a 3–2 win on Friday, Baltimore aims to capitalize on its starter’s momentum and deepen Atlanta’s recent struggles. For more expert MLB picks, check out our latest selections. Get your MLB picks here

Kremer’s Dominance

Kremer (7–7, 4.27 ERA) has not allowed an earned run in his last 10⅔ innings, dating back to June 22, and has surrendered just two runs over 17⅔ frames in his past three starts. His most recent outing against Tampa Bay saw him fire seven scoreless innings with six strikeouts, marking his second seven-shutout effort of the season. For a deeper look at today’s pitching matchups, visit our game previews. Read more MLB previews

Interleague Challenges

Despite his current form, Kremer’s interleague record raises caution: over his last five starts against National League opponents dating to August 31, 2024, he is 0–3 with an 8.39 ERA. That inconsistency suggests that while Kremer is riding a hot streak, Braves hitters could snap him out of it if he leaves too many pitches over the plate. To refine your betting strategy, explore our expert guide. Explore the MLB betting guide

Braves’ Bullpen Opener

With Spencer Schwellenbach and Chris Sale sidelined, Atlanta turns to a bullpen game, sending veteran reliever Aaron Bummer out first. Bummer, making his first career start after 373 relief appearances, boasts a 2.86 ERA over 28 outings this season and delivered 2⅓ scoreless innings in his last appearance. Curious about where to place your wagers? Buy expert picks today

Atlanta’s Offensive Freeze

The Braves enter this contest having scored just 18 runs over their last eight games, including three shutouts, and have totaled four runs in their past six losses. First baseman Matt Olson saw his 33-game on-base streak end Friday, underscoring the lineup’s inability to generate consistent offense. For real-time updates on top performers, check the leaderboard. See the best handicappers here

Key Storylines to Watch

Baltimore looks to ride Kremer’s hot hand while tightening its grip in the AL East, and Atlanta must decide whether a bullpen opener can jump-start its sputtering offense. Saturday’s game promises a tactical duel between a red-hot starter and an inventive bullpen approach, with momentum on the line for both clubs.

Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Predictions July 5th 2025