Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Predictions July 6th 2025

Atlanta Braves vs Baltimore Orioles July 6th 2025

The Baltimore Orioles will play against the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park in Atlanta, GA. This morning game is set for Sunday, July 6, 2025, at 11:35 AM. Fans can catch the action on Roku.

The Orioles have a record of 39-49 this season. They are 11 games back in the AL East. Trevor Rogers will start for Baltimore, bringing an ERA of 2.04. The Braves share the same season record of 39-49 and sit 12 games back in the NL East. Grant Holmes will be on the mound for Atlanta, with an ERA of 3.47. The weather forecast predicts broken clouds and mild conditions.

Orioles vs Braves Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Baltimore Orioles vs. Atlanta Braves
• Venue: Truist Park in Atlanta, GA
• Date: Sunday, July 6, 2025
• Betting Odds: Orioles Moneyline +133, Braves Moneyline -157, Orioles Runline +1.5 (-158), Braves Runline -1.5 (+132), Total Over 9.0 (-103), Total Under 9.0 (-117)

The Orioles Can Win If…

The Baltimore Orioles secured a 9-6 win against the Atlanta Braves in their most recent game. They showed strong offensive power with three home runs. Jordan Westburg and Colton Cowser each contributed a home run, driving in two runs apiece.

The Orioles have shown they can hit the long ball, ranking 10th in the league with 106 home runs this season. Ryan O’Hearn leads the team with 11 home runs and a .289 batting average. Their ability to hit for power gives them a chance to score runs quickly against any opponent.

Trevor Rogers will start on the mound for the Orioles. He has been effective this season with a 2.04 ERA and a WHIP of 0.86. His strong pitching could keep the Braves’ hitters in check, giving the Orioles a solid chance to win the game.

The Braves Can Win If…

The Atlanta Braves are ready to bounce back after a tough 9-6 loss to the Baltimore Orioles. In that game, Matt Olson had a strong performance, going 3-for-3 with a home run and two RBIs. Austin Riley also contributed with a home run and three RBIs, showing the Braves’ ability to generate runs.

Despite recent losses, the Braves’ pitching staff has been solid this season. They have a team ERA of 3.79, ranking 11th in the league. Their batting average against is .233, placing them 6th, which indicates their pitchers can limit opposing hitters effectively.

Grant Holmes will be on the mound for the Braves, bringing a 3.47 ERA into the game. With strong hitters like Matt Olson and Austin Riley, the Braves have the potential to put up runs. Their combination of solid pitching and capable hitters makes them a tough team to beat at home.

The Lean

The Braves are favored with a moneyline of -157, while the Orioles are at +133. Considering the Braves’ stronger pitching, with an ERA of 3.79 compared to the Orioles’ 4.99, the pick is for the Braves to win. The model projects a score of Braves 5, Orioles 4, supporting the Braves’ moneyline.

The total for the game is set at 9.0 runs. The Orioles’ pitching struggles with a high ERA and batting average against, suggesting runs will be scored. The model projects a total of 9 runs, so the recommendation is to take the over at 9.0 (-103), given both teams’ ability to score.

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Trevor Rogers Faces His Kryptonite as Orioles Go for Sweep of Braves

Baltimore Orioles pitcher Trevor Rogers has been excellent since returning from the injured list, but on Sunday, he will face his personal kryptonite. The left-hander will try to beat the Atlanta Braves for the first time in his career as the visiting Baltimore Orioles go for a three-game series sweep of the slumping Atlanta Braves.

A Career-Long Challenge

Throughout his career, Rogers has been unable to solve the Braves. In nine career starts against them, he is a dismal 0-7 with a 5.57 ERA. Now, pitching for a new team, he gets another chance to exorcise those demons. He comes into this start full of confidence after a brilliant eight-inning, shutout performance against the Rangers in his last start but one.

“We really just broke down mechanics and what I can improve on to try to get my velocity back and I think we’re seeing that,” Rogers said of his recent success.

A Duel of Hot Hands

While Rogers has been sharp, the Braves will counter with their own hot pitcher. Right-hander Grant Holmes (4-7, 3.47 ERA) has been a model of consistency, posting a 1.08 ERA over his last three starts. He is coming off a dominant performance where he struck out 10 batters over six shutout innings against the Angels. This premier duel between two pitchers at the top of their game will be the main event on the scores and odds board.

Baltimore’s Catcher Crisis

The Orioles are winning despite a massive injury crisis behind the plate. They lost another catcher, Gary Sanchez, to a knee injury on Saturday, leaving them with just one healthy catcher on the active roster. They already have three other catchers on the injured list, including All-Star Adley Rutschman. How a team navigates a wave of injuries is a key topic in our expert betting guide.

Slumping Braves

A sweep would be another devastating blow for the Braves, who have lost eight of their last ten games. For two MLB teams looking to build momentum before the All-Star break, this game is crucial. To see if our experts think Rogers can finally beat the Braves, check out our daily MLB picks.