Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Picks and Predictions May 31st 2025

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The Red Sox will take on the Braves at Truist Park on Saturday, May 31, 2025. The game is set to start at 4:10 PM and will be an afternoon contest. Fans can expect to see some strong pitching from both teams.

Walker Buehler will start for the Red Sox. He has an ERA of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.20. The Braves will have Spencer Schwellenbach on the mound. His ERA is 3.42, and his WHIP is 1.05. Both pitchers will aim to keep their teams in the game.

Red Sox vs Braves Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Red Sox vs. Braves
  • Venue: Truist Park
  • Date: Saturday, May 31, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Braves -171, Red Sox +144

The Red Sox Can Win If…

The Boston Red Sox are coming off a strong 5-1 win against the Atlanta Braves. Lucas Giolito pitched 4 2/3 innings, allowing only one run. Key hitters like Trevor Story and Abraham Toro contributed with home runs and multiple hits, showing their potential to drive in runs.

Boston’s batting stats are among the best in the league, with a .253 average and 72 home runs. They rank second in doubles, which indicates their ability to hit for extra bases. Their high slugging percentage of .419 shows they can score runs in bunches.

Walker Buehler will start on the mound for the Red Sox with a 3.95 ERA. He has the ability to keep the Braves’ hitters in check. With Boston’s solid pitching and hitting, they have a good chance to win the upcoming game.

The Braves Can Win If…

The Atlanta Braves are ready to rebound after their recent 5-1 loss to the Boston Red Sox. Despite the defeat, Ronald Acuña Jr. showed his consistency with two hits. Grant Holmes also had a solid performance on the mound, striking out nine batters in 5 2/3 innings.

The Braves’ lineup is filled with power hitters, which is evident in their 59 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Matt Olson leads the team with 12 home runs and 30 RBIs. Austin Riley adds to their offensive strength, contributing nine home runs and a team-leading 32 RBIs.

Spencer Schwellenbach will start for the Braves, bringing a strong 3.42 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. The Braves’ pitching staff has been reliable, with a .235 batting average against, ranking 10th. Their 24 quality starts this season show they can deliver solid performances on the mound.

The Lean

The Atlanta Braves are the favorites with a moneyline of -171. The Red Sox have strong hitting stats, but the Braves have a better overall pitching performance. My model projects the Braves to win with a score of 5-4. Given the Braves’ pitching edge, taking them on the moneyline is a solid choice.

The current over/under line is set at 8.5. The Red Sox have a strong slugging percentage and rank high in doubles, while the Braves have a decent ERA. My model projects a total score of 9 runs. Considering both teams’ hitting capabilities, I recommend taking the over at 8.5 (-120).

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Rafael Devers Aims to Cap May With Another Statement Performance

Rafael Devers has one more chance to punctuate a dominant month as the Boston Red Sox visit the Atlanta Braves for the second game of their interleague series on Saturday afternoon.

Devers extended his torrid stretch with a 2-for-4 performance on Friday, driving in two runs to help the Red Sox snap a five-game losing streak with a 5-1 win. Over 27 games in May, Devers is slashing .370 with seven home runs, 33 RBIs, 14 runs scored, and 22 walks. It’s just the second time in his career he’s surpassed 30 RBIs in a single month, the last being July 2019.

With the victory, Boston evened the season series against Atlanta at 2-2, while the Braves continue to spiral, having now lost seven of their last nine contests.

Saturday’s Pitching Duel: Schwellenbach vs. Buehler

Atlanta will send right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach (3-4, 3.42 ERA) to the mound for his 12th start of the season. Schwellenbach is coming off a tough-luck loss against San Diego where he struck out 11 but allowed four runs (two unearned) over seven innings. He has shown recent consistency, logging seven innings in three straight outings.

Schwellenbach previously defeated Boston on May 18, pitching seven innings in a 10-4 Braves win. Still, his career ERA against the Red Sox sits at 7.71 across two starts.

Boston counters with Walker Buehler (4-2, 3.95 ERA), who will be making his ninth start of the year. Buehler allowed two runs over five innings in a loss to Baltimore his last time out, following a short ejection-impacted outing versus the Mets. After a stint on the injured list, the Red Sox are hoping Buehler can regain rhythm on the road.

For more on this and other Saturday games, visit the full MLB game previews section.

Braves Slumping Offensively Amid Roster Shakeups

Atlanta’s offensive struggles continued Friday as Ozzie Albies’ 14-game hitting streak came to a close. As a team, the Braves are showing signs of wear, and Friday’s loss dropped them to four games under .500.

Injuries have only compounded Atlanta’s issues. A.J. Smith-Shawver was moved to the 60-day injured list with a torn UCL, ending his season. Outfielder Stuart Fairchild also hit the 10-day IL with a dislocated pinky. To fill roster spots, the Braves called up pitcher Dylan Dodd and outfielder Jose Azocar from Triple-A while optioning Michael Petersen.

Looking ahead, Bryce Elder will be recalled to start Sunday’s finale, giving the rotation extra rest before Spencer Strider returns Tuesday against Arizona.

For expert breakdowns and betting angles, check out the MLB expert betting guide and the latest MLB picks from the top cappers in the industry.

Handicapper’s Spotlight: Key Betting Trends

Saturday’s matchup provides betting intrigue, particularly with Devers in MVP-level form and both teams navigating rotation questions. Boston’s offense appears to be heating up just as Atlanta’s cools off. Walker Buehler’s performance could be pivotal in swinging momentum further in Boston’s favor.

Want premium insights for today’s MLB slate? Head over to our buy picks page to see what the pros are recommending, and follow the action on the handicapper leaderboard to find who’s riding a hot streak.

By T. Franklin Smith | April 8, 2025
By T. Franklin Smith | April 1, 2025
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Mike uses his strong sports knowledge to analyze all the angles to find the most profitable wagers. Iron Mike handicaps MLB, college football, NFL, NBA, and NCAA basketball. I'm an actual sports and gambling junkie!

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