Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox Picks and Predictions June 1st 2025

Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox MLB Sun, Jun 1, 12:35 pm.
Atlanta Braves
ML: 110
0
0
Boston Red Sox
ML: -137
Last Updated on

The Red Sox will travel to Atlanta to play against the Braves at Truist Park. This afternoon game is set for Sunday, June 1, 2025, at 1:35 PM. Fans can watch the game on MLBN. The weather forecast predicts a mild day with overcast clouds and a light breeze crosswind, which could affect the ball’s movement.

The Red Sox will start Garrett Crochet on the mound. He has an ERA of 2.04 and a WHIP of 1.07. The Braves will counter with Bryce Elder, who has an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.25. Both teams will look to their pitchers to set the tone early in the game.

Red Sox vs Braves Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Red Sox vs. Braves
  • Venue: Truist Park in Atlanta, GA
  • Date: Sunday, June 1, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Red Sox -141, Braves +119

The Red Sox Can Win If…

The Boston Red Sox are coming off a tough 5-0 loss to the Atlanta Braves in their most recent game. Despite the loss, Rafael Devers remains a key player, consistently delivering strong performances. In their previous win against the Braves, Devers contributed with two hits and two RBIs, showing his ability to impact the game.

Boston’s hitting stats show they can win. They rank 7th in batting average at .252 and have 72 home runs, also ranked 7th. Their ability to hit doubles is notable, ranking 4th with 108 doubles, which can help them score against opponents.

Garrett Crochet, with an ERA of 2.04, is set to start against the Braves. His performance could be pivotal in securing a win. The Red Sox pitching staff also ranks 9th in home runs allowed, which could help them contain Atlanta’s offense.

The Braves Can Win If…

The Atlanta Braves enter their next game with confidence after a strong 5-0 win against the Boston Red Sox. Spencer Schwellenbach led the way on the mound, striking out 11 batters over 6 1/3 innings while allowing no runs. Ronald Acuña Jr. contributed with a home run and two RBIs, showing his ability to impact the game offensively.

The Braves’ lineup is a mix of power and consistency, evidenced by their 61 home runs this season, ranking them 12th in the league. Austin Riley and Matt Olson have been key contributors, with Riley leading the team in RBIs and Olson topping the home run chart. Their ability to get on base, with a team on-base percentage of .321, gives them opportunities to score runs consistently.

On the pitching side, the Braves have a solid 3.67 ERA, placing them 10th in the league. Bryce Elder will take the mound, looking to improve on his 4.50 ERA. With a strong defense and a capable bullpen, the Braves have the tools needed to secure another win against the Red Sox.

The Lean

The Red Sox are favored with a moneyline of -141 against the Braves, who are at +119. The Red Sox have a strong hitting lineup, ranking high in batting average and slugging percentage. Their pitching staff also ranks well in strikeouts. My model projects the Red Sox to win with a score of 5-3. Therefore, the recommendation is to pick the Red Sox to win straight up.

The over/under line for the game is set at 8.0. The Red Sox have a solid offense, while the Braves have a decent pitching staff. My model projects a total score of 8 runs. Given this projection, the recommendation is to take the over at 8.0 (-115), as the game could reach or slightly exceed this total.

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Braves Count on Acuna, Offense to Take Series from Struggling Red Sox

As the Atlanta Braves prepare to wrap up a three-game series against the Boston Red Sox on Sunday, there’s one name that’s got everyone buzzing: Ronald Acuna Jr. Back from ACL surgery, the Braves superstar is jumpstarting an Atlanta offense that’s shown signs of life after a sluggish stretch.

The Braves have taken two of their last three games, including a five-run outing Saturday against Boston, and they exploded for nine runs earlier in the week against Philadelphia. Atlanta’s power surge is timely—they’ve dropped seven of their last 10 overall and are looking to stabilize their form in the NL East.

Ronald Acuna Jr. making instant impact

Since returning to the lineup, Acuna has been electric. He’s batting .367 in his first eight games back with three home runs, six RBIs, and six runs scored. He’s also added a pair of doubles and brought his usual energy and intimidation factor at the plate.

“We’ve got some of the best hitters in the world on our team here,” said Braves pitcher Spencer Schwellenbach. “When we get hot, scary things can happen.”

That sentiment is becoming reality. With Acuna back at the top of the order, opposing pitchers have had to rethink their strategy, and the Braves’ lineup is regaining its fear factor.

A Red Sox pitcher winds up to throw a pitch on the baseball mound, showcasing focused athleticism in a stadium setting.

Red Sox offense can’t cash in

Boston’s issue isn’t getting runners on base—it’s bringing them home. The Red Sox are just 10-for-85 with runners in scoring position since May 19 and have stranded 84 baserunners in that same span. It’s been the defining problem of their 1-4 road trip and a key reason for their 1-6 skid overall.

Saturday’s game was more of the same: multiple base runners, zero runs. The team struck out 14 times and repeatedly came up empty with men in scoring position.

Despite the slump, starter Garrett Crochet remains confident.

“At any given moment, we’re going to break out,” he said. “We’re getting the opportunities. Eventually, the ball is going to go our way.”

Crochet vs. Elder on the mound in finale

Sunday’s pitching matchup features Boston’s Garrett Crochet (4-4, 2.04 ERA) against Atlanta’s Bryce Elder (2-2, 4.50 ERA), who will be recalled from Triple-A for the start.

Crochet has been sharp all season and especially dominant over his last six outings. He owns a 2.13 ERA in that stretch with 45 strikeouts in 38 innings and has allowed two runs or fewer in each start. His last appearance saw him fan 11 Brewers in a tough-luck loss.

The lefty also faced Atlanta on May 16, allowing two runs over 6 2/3 innings with eight strikeouts in another solid but unsupported effort. In two career outings against the Braves, he’s 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA.

Elder returns to the Braves’ rotation in place of AJ Smith-Shawver, who landed on the 60-day IL with an elbow strain. Elder last pitched May 14, holding the Nationals to one run over six innings. He hasn’t faced the Red Sox in his career but has been reliable at times and understands the back-and-forth nature of roster moves.

“He was a professional about it,” manager Brian Snitker said of Elder’s demotion last month. “He’s going to pitch a long time in the major leagues.”

FAQs

How has Ronald Acuna Jr. performed since returning?
Acuna is batting .367 with three home runs, six RBIs, and six runs scored in eight games since rejoining the Braves lineup.

Why are the Red Sox struggling offensively?
They’re hitting just 10-for-85 with runners in scoring position since May 19 and have left 84 runners on base.

Who’s starting for the Braves in the series finale?
Bryce Elder, recalled from Triple-A, will start for Atlanta. He’s 2-2 with a 4.50 ERA in 2025.

What’s Garrett Crochet’s record against Atlanta?
He’s 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA in two career appearances against the Braves, including a solid start on May 16.

What’s the Braves’ recent form?
Atlanta has won two of its last three but has lost seven of its last 10 overall.

Can the Red Sox avoid another series loss?
Only if they can break out of their RISP slump and support Crochet’s strong pitching effort.

spread
moneyline
over/under
Atlanta Braves
-
-
110
O 7.5
-133
Boston Red Sox
-
-
-137
U 7.5
105
Mike Williams
Mike Williams | Handicapper

Free Pick found on BestBettor.com. Mike Williams is part of SportsCapping Group.

Mike uses his strong sports knowledge to analyze all the angles to find the most profitable wagers. Iron Mike handicaps MLB, college football, NFL, NBA, and NCAA basketball. I'm an actual sports and gambling junkie!

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