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Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros September 14th 2025
The Houston Astros take on the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park. The game is set for Sunday, September 14, 2025, at 1:35 PM. The Astros hold a record of 81-68 and are first in the AL West. They come into the game with a two-game win streak and are 5-5 in their last ten games.
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The Braves, with a record of 65-83, are fourth in the NL East. They are on a four-game losing streak and have gone 3-7 in their last ten games. Framber Valdez will start for the Astros, while Joey Wentz takes the mound for the Braves. The weather forecast predicts a warm day with clear skies and a calm crosswind.
Astros vs Braves Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Houston Astros vs. Atlanta Braves
- Venue: Truist Park in Atlanta, GA
- Date: Sunday, September 14, 2025
- Betting Odds: Astros Moneyline -139, Braves Moneyline +118, Astros Runline -1.5 (+121), Braves Runline +1.5 (-144), Total Over 8.5 (-105), Total Under 8.5 (-116)|
The Houston Astros Can Win If…
The Houston Astros are heating up at the right time, coming off a 6–2 win over the Atlanta Braves on Saturday. Hunter Brown delivered a strong outing, tossing 6 2/3 innings of two-run ball, while Christian Walker launched a home run and Yainer Diaz went 3-for-4 to lead the offensive attack. With the series win already in hand, Houston now seeks a pivotal sweep on Sunday.
Houston ranks 6th in MLB in team batting average and 11th in slugging percentage, showcasing the lineup’s ability to produce runs consistently. Jose Altuve has been the heartbeat of the offense with 25 home runs, and Christian Walker continues to provide power from the middle of the lineup. Even with Altuve’s status in question after leaving Saturday’s game due to foot discomfort, the Astros have enough depth to put pressure on opposing pitchers.
Framber Valdez gets the nod for Houston, entering the game with a 3.42 ERA and a 12-9 record. The lefty has been a workhorse, and the Astros’ pitching staff overall ranks 9th in ERA and 4th in opponent batting average. Valdez tossed seven innings of three-run ball in his only career start vs Atlanta in April 2023. If he controls the tempo early, Houston has a clear path to completing the sweep.
The Atlanta Braves Can Win If…
The Atlanta Braves will need to shake off a tough 6–2 loss as they try to avoid a sweep at the hands of the Astros. Matt Olson was a bright spot, going 2-for-4 with a home run and driving in a run. Although the Braves are out of the playoff picture, playing spoiler against a contender like Houston could be a motivating factor heading into the final stretch of the season.
Offensively, the Braves still have potent bats. Olson has been their most productive hitter with 24 home runs and a .271 average, while Ronald Acuña Jr. adds versatility with his .275 average and 16 homers. Atlanta’s lineup also excels at drawing walks — ranking 4th in MLB — which allows them to generate scoring opportunities even without big hits.
Joey Wentz will start for Atlanta, bringing a 5.61 ERA into the matchup. His last outing was rough, giving up eight runs in just over two innings. Still, with the Braves ranking high in walk percentage, they can potentially chase Valdez early and work counts to get into the Astros’ bullpen. Wentz has struggled in his limited experience against Houston, going 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA in just five career innings.
The Lean
The Astros are listed as favorites at –139 on the moneyline, while the Braves are priced at +118. Given Houston’s edge on the mound with Valdez and their lineup’s consistency, the value lies in betting Astros ML. The Astros rank 9th in ERA, while the Braves sit 22nd — a key gap. The model projects a 5–3 win for Houston, making the straight-up play the strongest option.
The total is set at 8.5 runs, and while the Braves have the ability to draw walks, Houston’s pitching has been reliable. Given Wentz’s volatility and Valdez’s consistency, there’s room for runs — but not fireworks. The model estimates a total of 8, recommending a lean toward the under 8.5.
Betting Odds Snapshot
| Betting Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Moneyline (Astros) | –139 |
| Moneyline (Braves) | +118 |
| Total Runs | 8.5 |
| Over 8.5 | –105 |
| Under 8.5 | –115 |
Find more expert advice on the MLB Picks page.
Game Preview Recap
Every game counts now for the Houston Astros, who are deadlocked with the Mariners atop the AL West. They’ve won three of their last four and are now aiming for their first sweep since July. After back-to-back wins in Atlanta, the Astros look to stay hot in Sunday’s finale behind veteran lefty Framber Valdez.
Manager Joe Espada emphasized the importance of maintaining offensive momentum:
“When we have a pitcher on the ropes, we control that momentum,” Espada said. “You get the pitcher out by the fourth or fifth, that’s how you win.”
Valdez (12-9, 3.42 ERA) will make his 29th start of the year. In his only appearance against Atlanta, he held them to three runs over seven innings in a 2023 win. Meanwhile, the Braves counter with Joey Wentz (5-6, 5.61 ERA), who is trying to rebound from a nightmare outing against Seattle.
Atlanta is on a four-game skid and has lost 11 of their last 15 games. Their last series sweep came over a month ago. Wentz has struggled in his brief time with the Braves, and with Houston’s offense surging, the margin for error is razor-thin.
Jose Altuve’s health remains a question mark after leaving Saturday’s game with foot discomfort. His availability could impact Houston’s offensive plan, though they have the depth to adjust.
