Atlanta Braves vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Predictions August 6th 2025

Brewers vs Braves Prediction: Can Quintana Cap Off a Perfect Road Trip?

The Milwaukee Brewers (69–44) look to finish off a three-game sweep of the Atlanta Braves (47–65) on Wednesday, August 6, 2025, at Truist Park. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 PM ET on FS1, with Atlanta favored at –138 and Milwaukee set as +118 underdogs. The total is listed at 8.0 runs (-110).

Milwaukee has won five straight—including the first two in Atlanta—and 11 of their last 12 road games overall. The Braves have dropped two straight and continue to shuffle their lineup amid injuries.

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Milwaukee Brewers Can Win If…

Milwaukee continues to thrive on the road, powered by a balanced lineup and dependable rotation. They scored seven runs Tuesday, with contributions from Christian Yelich, Isaac Collins, and Andrew Vaughn—who extended his hitting streak to 11 games while batting .429 over that stretch.

Left-hander Jose Quintana (8–4, 3.50 ERA) starts for the Brewers. He’s been reliable all season and enters this outing after a five-inning, two-run performance against Washington. He’s struggled in past appearances against Atlanta, but his 2025 form has been consistent.

The Brewers have the edge statistically, ranking 2nd in OBP (.328) and 4th in team ERA (3.62). Their ability to get runners on and keep opponents off the board is why they’ve dominated this road trip.

“The last two hours of the deadline were really hard… but I wanted to stay. I want to finish the season here and win,” Quintana said when asked about trade rumors.

Atlanta Braves Can Win If…

Atlanta’s biggest weapon might be Spencer Strider, who owns a 3.71 ERA and a WHIP of 1.22. Though he hasn’t started against Milwaukee before, his bullpen numbers vs. the Brewers are excellent—seven scoreless innings and 14 strikeouts across three relief appearances.

Eli White continues to make the most of his playing time, hitting home runs in three straight games and now batting .254 with 26 RBIs. Matt Olson (18 HR, 68 RBIs) and Sean Murphy give the Braves a power boost in the middle of the order.

The Braves’ on-base percentage ranks 10th, which gives them opportunities to create runs even if the long ball doesn’t land. With Austin Riley out, however, their depth is being tested.

“Eli’s made the most of his opportunities all year,” said manager Brian Snitker. “He’s done a really nice job.”

Pitching Matchup Comparison

Key MLB Betting Trends

• Brewers are 11–1 in their last 12 road games
• Braves have lost back-to-back games for the first time since July 19–20
• Milwaukee leads the season series 3–2
• Braves have scored 3 runs or fewer in 6 of their last 9 games

Find more relevant performance trends and series recaps in the MLB recap section.

The Lean

Milwaukee has been dominant on the road and is playing complete baseball. Jose Quintana may not have the best history against Atlanta, but his 2025 consistency combined with Milwaukee’s offensive balance makes the Brewers +118 moneyline a value play. My model projects a 5–3 Brewers win.

The total is set at 8.0. Both starters have been solid, and the Braves’ offense has cooled significantly. With that in mind, the under 8.0 (-110) is also worth targeting, especially if Strider delivers a strong start.

Check our latest projections and full card in the MLB betting advice section.

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