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Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets June 18th 2025
The New York Mets head to Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday, June 18, 2025. The game is set to start at 7:15 PM and will be aired on SNY. The weather forecast predicts a very hot evening with broken clouds and a light breeze blowing in.
The Mets, managed by Carlos Mendoza, hold a 45-28 record this season. They have an even 18-18 record on the road and a strong 12-5 record within their division. The Braves, led by Brian Snitker, have a 32-39 record and are 12 games back in the NL East. At home, they are 20-15, looking to improve their division record of 8-7. Paul Blackburn will start for the Mets, facing Chris Sale of the Braves.
Mets vs Braves Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
- Venue: Truist Park in Atlanta, GA
- Date: Wednesday, June 18, 2025
- Betting Odds: Braves MoneyLine -184, Mets MoneyLine +154
The Mets Can Win If…
The New York Mets recently played against the Atlanta Braves, ending with a close 4-5 loss. Despite the loss, the Mets had strong performances from Tyrone Taylor and Juan Soto. Taylor hit a home run and drove in three runs, while Soto added another home run, showing the team’s power potential.
The Mets have several stats that suggest they can win their next game. They rank third in on-base percentage at .329 and fifth in slugging percentage at .421. Their pitching has been solid, with a league-leading 3.00 ERA and the fewest home runs allowed, just 52 this season.
Pete Alonso is a key player to watch for the Mets. He leads the team with 17 home runs and 63 RBIs, ranking first in both categories. Alonso’s consistent performance can provide the Mets with the offensive firepower needed to secure a win against the Braves.
The Braves Can Win If…
The Atlanta Braves enter their next game with momentum from their recent 5-4 win over the New York Mets. Spencer Schwellenbach pitched well, striking out eight over seven innings. Marcell Ozuna contributed with three RBIs, and Ronald Acuña Jr. scored twice, showcasing the team’s ability to win close games.
The Braves’ hitting stats show they are capable of strong offensive performances. They rank 10th in batting average and have hit 76 home runs this season. Their pitching staff also ranks 5th in batting average against, with Chris Sale starting and holding a solid ERA of 2.79.
Key players like Matt Olson and Austin Riley add depth to the lineup. Olson leads the team with 14 home runs, while Riley has a .277 batting average. With Acuña Jr.’s impressive .392 average, the Braves are well-positioned to take advantage of the Mets’ starter, Paul Blackburn, who has an ERA of 6.75.
The Lean
The Braves are favored with a moneyline of -184 against the Mets at +154. The Braves have a strong pitching staff with a league-best ERA of 3.00. Their batting stats are also solid, ranking high in several categories. My model projects the Braves to win with a score of 5-3.
The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Braves’ pitching and the Mets’ lower-ranked slugging percentage suggest a lower-scoring game. My model projects a total of 8 runs, so the recommendation is to take the under.
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Mets Face Daunting Task in Bid to Snap Losing Streak
The New York Mets are desperate to snap their longest losing streak of the season, but to do so, they’ll have to get through one of the hottest pitchers in baseball. The Mets will face Atlanta Braves ace Chris Sale on Wednesday night in the second game of their series.
The Unstoppable Chris Sale
Sale (4-4, 2.79 ERA) has returned to his Cy Young form. Over his last 10 starts, the left-hander has a minuscule 1.61 ERA with 83 strikeouts in 61 2/3 innings. The Braves specifically lined up their rotation so he could face the Mets in this key divisional series.
“Chris has been good. He’s been on a nice little run,” Atlanta manager Brian Snitker said. “You see him at 2 in the afternoon, what he does, and how consistent he is and how dedicated he is to his craft. There’s reasons why those guys play long.”
A Tough Ask for Blackburn
The Mets will counter with right-hander Paul Blackburn (0-0, 6.75 ERA), who is in a difficult spot. After a brief, unsuccessful stint in the bullpen, he is being moved back into the rotation, partly due to an injury to starter Tylor Megill.
“It’s been tough,” Blackburn said of switching roles. “It’s completely different routines… I think it’s just a lot of trial and error.” This massive mismatch on the mound is the top story on the scores and odds board.
Braves Getting Richer
While the Mets are dealing with injuries, the Braves are about to get a key player back. Outfielder Jurickson Profar has begun a rehab assignment and is nearing the end of his 80-game suspension, providing another future weapon for one of the best MLB teams in the National League. This is the kind of roster news that heavily impacts futures bets, a topic covered in our expert betting guide.
For a Mets team on a four-game skid, facing an opponent’s ace is the ultimate challenge. To see if our experts think they can pull off the upset, check out our daily MLB picks.
