Atlanta Braves vs New York Yankees July 20th 2025
The New York Yankees will visit the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on Sunday, July 20, 2025. The game is set for 1:35 PM and will be broadcast on YES. Fans can expect a warm afternoon with a light breeze and scattered clouds.
The Yankees, managed by Aaron Boone, hold a 54-44 record this season. They are 3 games behind in the AL East. The Braves, led by Brian Snitker, have a 43-54 record and are 12 games back in the NL East. Marcus Stroman will start for the Yankees, while Grant Holmes takes the mound for the Braves.
Yankees vs Braves Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Braves
- Venue: Truist Park in Atlanta, GA
- Date: Sunday, July 20, 2025
- Betting Odds: Yankees Moneyline +108, Braves Moneyline -127
The Yankees Can Win If…
The New York Yankees recently won against the Atlanta Braves with a score of 12-9. Anthony Volpe and Trent Grisham led the way with powerful performances. Volpe hit two home runs and drove in four runs, while Grisham added a home run and five RBIs.
The Yankees are strong in hitting this season. They rank first in on-base percentage (.335) and slugging percentage (.456). Their lineup features Aaron Judge, who has a .353 batting average and 35 home runs, making him a key player to watch.
New York’s pitching has been solid, with a team batting average against of .225, which ranks first. Despite Marcus Stroman’s high ERA of 6.66, the Yankees have depth in their bullpen. This gives them a chance to control the game and secure a win.
The Braves Can Win If…
The Atlanta Braves are coming off a tough 12-9 loss to the New York Yankees. Despite the defeat, the Braves showed strong hitting with 10 hits and 2 home runs. Ozzie Albies stood out with a home run and 5 RBIs, while Michael Harris II added another home run with 2 RBIs.
The Braves have solid batting stats that can help them win. They rank 10th in on-base percentage at .315 and have hit 108 home runs this season. With players like Matt Olson leading the team in home runs and RBIs, their lineup is capable of putting up big numbers.
On the mound, Grant Holmes will start for the Braves. Holmes has a 3.77 ERA and a WHIP of 1.30, which are respectable numbers. Facing a Yankees starter with a 6.66 ERA, the Braves have a good chance to capitalize and secure a win.
The Lean
The Braves are favored with a moneyline of -127 against the Yankees, who have a moneyline of +108. The Braves have a strong on-base percentage and slugging percentage, both ranked 1st, which gives them an edge. My model projects the Braves to win with a score of 5-4. Therefore, I recommend taking the Braves on the moneyline.
The total for the game is set at 9.5 runs, with the over at -115 and the under at -105. Both teams have solid pitching, with the Braves having the best batting average against at .225. My model projects a total score of 9 runs. Given this, I recommend taking the under 9.5 for this game.
Yankees Surge Past Braves with Grisham’s Slam, Aim for Series Win
The New York Yankees enter Sunday’s finale in Atlanta riding high after one of the most electric comebacks of their season. After trailing by five runs early and still down by three entering the ninth, the Yankees exploded for a 9-7 win behind Trent Grisham’s grand slam, stunning the Atlanta Braves and seizing the momentum heading into the rubber match.
Saturday’s win snapped a three-game skid for the Yankees and kept them within striking distance of Toronto in the AL East. New York is now looking to secure the season series against Atlanta for the first time since 2021 — a statement of intent for a team still fighting for postseason positioning.
Volpe, Grisham Power Comeback in Atlanta
Few expected the fireworks the Yankees produced late in Saturday’s contest. Anthony Volpe set the tone with two home runs and a sacrifice fly, while Grisham delivered the decisive blow in the ninth with a go-ahead grand slam off Atlanta’s tired bullpen. The Yankees totaled four home runs against six Braves relievers, five of whom surrendered runs.
“It’s a big win, but no one is surprised,” Volpe said. “We’re confident in each other and we know we could do this every night.”
The confidence and grit of this Yankees team was on full display — the kind of edge that may prove pivotal in the second half.
Stroman Continues Comeback for Yankees
New York turns to Marcus Stroman (1-1, 6.66 ERA) in the finale, as he continues his return from a knee injury that sidelined him for over two months. Since coming off the injured list on June 29, Stroman has posted a solid 3.60 ERA in three starts. He gave the team five efficient innings against the Seattle Mariners in his last outing, allowing two runs in a 6-5 extra-inning win.
Stroman has historically performed well against Atlanta, with a 5-3 record and 2.82 ERA in nine career starts, including a win earlier this year in which he tossed 6 2/3 innings and gave up just three runs.
“I’m just pitching confident,” Stroman said. “Just really allowing myself to be myself.”
Holmes Looks to Stop the Bleeding for Braves
The Braves counter with Grant Holmes (4-8, 3.77 ERA), who has stepped up into a key rotation role following injuries to frontline starters. Holmes has made 19 starts this year, logging eight quality starts, but has frequently been let down by lack of run support — the Braves have scored one or fewer runs in seven of his eight losses.
Holmes struggled in his final start before the All-Star break, lasting just three innings against St. Louis while allowing five runs on nine hits. Command was an issue, as he needed 86 pitches to get through three frames.
He has limited experience against New York, having faced them once in relief last season and posting a scoreless inning.
Bullpen Concerns Loom Large for Atlanta
Saturday’s collapse was a harsh reminder of the Braves’ bullpen volatility. Relievers surrendered nine hits and four home runs in the late innings, and only Rafael Montero escaped unscathed. The fatigue from frequent usage is beginning to show, and manager Brian Snitker acknowledged the need for more length from his starters.
“It’s going to be hard to sustain that, you know, where you’re using everybody,” Snitker said. “They’re going to need to be big for us.”
Sunday’s matchup will test Atlanta’s resilience and New York’s ability to ride its hot streak into the All-Star break. If Stroman can hold strong and the bats stay hot, the Yankees could return home with a key road series win and renewed momentum in their postseason pursuit.
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