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Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies June 27th 2025
The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park in Atlanta, GA. This game is set for Friday, June 27, 2025, at 7:15 PM. Fans can catch the action on NSPPH.
The Phillies, managed by Rob Thomson, have a 47-34 record this season. They are at the top of the NL East. The Braves, led by Brian Snitker, have a 37-43 record. They are 10 games behind in the division. Mick Abel will start for the Phillies, while Bryce Elder will pitch for the Braves.
Phillies vs Braves Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
- Venue: Truist Park in Atlanta, GA
- Date: Friday, June 27, 2025
- Betting Odds: Phillies MoneyLine +116, Braves MoneyLine -137
The Phillies Can Win If…
The Philadelphia Phillies are coming off a narrow 2-1 loss to the Houston Astros. Cristopher Sánchez pitched well, striking out 11 batters over six innings. Rafael Marchán was a standout at the plate, going 2 for 3 with two singles.
The Phillies have a strong batting average of .254, ranking them 5th in the league. Their on-base percentage is even better at .327, placing them 4th. With players like Kyle Schwarber, who has 24 home runs, they have the power to score runs.
Mick Abel will be on the mound for the Phillies. He holds a 3.47 ERA and a WHIP of 1.16, which are solid numbers. Facing Bryce Elder, who has a higher ERA of 4.77, Abel gives the Phillies a good chance to win.
The Braves Can Win If…
The Atlanta Braves are looking to bounce back after a recent 0-4 loss to the New York Mets. In that game, Grant Holmes pitched 5 innings with 6 strikeouts. Despite the loss, the Braves have shown strong performances in previous games, including a 7-4 win against the Mets where Spencer Strider struck out 8 batters.
Atlanta’s batting lineup has some key players who can make a difference. Matt Olson leads the team with 15 home runs and 52 RBIs. Ronald Acuña Jr. has been consistent with a .369 batting average, making him a threat at the plate.
The Braves’ pitching staff has also been solid this season. They rank 10th in earned run average (ERA) at 3.71 and 6th in strikeouts with 724. With Bryce Elder starting, the Braves will aim to leverage their pitching depth to secure a win against the Phillies.
The Lean
The Braves are favored with a moneyline of -137 against the Phillies at +116. The Braves have a slight edge in both hitting and pitching stats. My model projects the Braves to win with a score of 5-4. Based on these factors, the recommendation is to pick the Braves to win straight up.
The current over/under line is set at 9.0 runs. My model projects a total score of 9 runs. Both teams have solid pitching, but their hitting stats suggest potential for runs. The recommendation is to take the over, expecting a close game that reaches or exceeds the total.
Future Odds Shifting?
See Updated MLB Futures
Frustrated Braves and Phillies Clash to Open Key NL East Series
It is a battle of two frustrated contenders in Atlanta on Friday night. Despite being in the thick of the National League East race, both the Atlanta Braves and the visiting Philadelphia Phillies are coming into their three-game series opener feeling like they should be playing much better.
Atlanta Needs to “Make Some Hay”
The Braves are coming off a stretch where they won five of seven games against the first-place Mets, but manager Brian Snitker is far from satisfied. After being shut out in the series finale on Thursday, he made his team’s high standards crystal clear.
“We needed to go 7-0 against them, quite honestly,” Snitker said. “We are trying to dig out of a hole, and we need to win every series we play… We need to make some hay there. It’s not good.”
Philly’s Frustrating Sweep
The Phillies are feeling an even deeper level of frustration. They were just swept in a three-game series by the Houston Astros despite their pitching staff allowing only five total runs. It was a historic display of offensive futility that completely wasted a dominant effort from their pitchers.
“I don’t think we’ve played our best baseball,” said shortstop Trea Turner. “Definitely need to get better… when you get to that halfway point, it’s time to get going.” The psychology of how a team bounces back from such a frustrating series is a key topic in our expert betting guide.
A Duel of Pitchers Seeking a Rebound
Friday’s pitching matchup features two right-handers who are both looking to bounce back from poor outings. The Braves will start Bryce Elder (2-4, 4.77 ERA), who was roughed up for five runs in his last start against the Marlins.
The Phillies will counter with rookie Mick Abel (2-1, 3.47 ERA), who was also hit hard in his last start, allowing four runs in just three innings against the Mets. This battle of two pitchers seeking redemption will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.
Time to Get Going
With both MLB teams looking to put recent disappointments behind them, this series opener is a crucial tone-setter. To see who our experts think will get back on track, check out our daily MLB picks.
