Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Picks and Predictions June 29th 2025

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The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on Sunday, June 29, 2025. The game is scheduled for 1:35 PM and will be broadcast on FDSSO. Fans can expect a warm day with a light breeze and broken clouds, making it a pleasant afternoon for baseball.

The Phillies come into the game with a 48-35 record. They have been strong at home with a 26-14 record, but their road performance stands at 22-21. The Braves have a 38-44 record and are 9 games back in the NL East. At home, they have a 23-16 record. Ranger Suárez will start for the Phillies, while Spencer Strider will pitch for the Braves.

Phillies vs Braves Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves
  • Venue: Truist Park in Atlanta, GA
  • Date: Sunday, June 29, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Braves MoneyLine -143, Phillies MoneyLine +119

The Phillies Can Win If…

The Philadelphia Phillies are coming off a tough 6-1 loss against the Atlanta Braves. Despite the loss, Jesús Luzardo showed strength on the mound with 7 strikeouts over 5 innings. The Phillies’ offense struggled, but key players like Kyle Schwarber and Alec Bohm managed to get hits.

The Phillies have a strong chance to win with their solid team stats. They rank 4th in batting average and 3rd in on-base percentage this season. Their pitching staff also leads the league in quality starts, which could be crucial in this game.

Ranger Suárez will be the starting pitcher for the Phillies, bringing an impressive 2.08 ERA. With his control and ability to limit runs, he can keep the Braves’ bats in check. The Phillies’ lineup, featuring players like Trea Turner and Kyle Schwarber, has the potential to produce runs and support Suárez on the mound.

The Braves Can Win If…

The Atlanta Braves are coming off a strong win against the Philadelphia Phillies, with a 6-1 victory. Spencer Schwellenbach was impressive on the mound, pitching seven innings and striking out 12 batters. Sean Murphy led the offense with a home run and four RBIs, showing the Braves’ ability to produce runs.

The Braves have solid team stats that can help them win. They rank 10th in on-base percentage and 6th in walks, showing their ability to get on base. Their pitching staff is also strong, with a team ERA of 3.78, ranking 10th in the league, and they are 4th in strikeouts, which can keep opposing offenses in check.

Spencer Strider will start for the Braves, bringing a WHIP of 1.14. The lineup features key hitters like Ronald Acuña Jr., who boasts a .365 batting average, and Matt Olson, who leads the team with 15 home runs. These players have the potential to make a significant impact in the game.

The Lean

The Braves are favored with a MoneyLine of -143 against the Phillies at +119. The Braves have a slight edge in hitting and pitching stats. My model projects the Braves to win with a score of 5-4. With this in mind, the recommendation is to pick the Braves to win straight up.

The over/under line for the game is set at 8.0. Given the projected score of 5-4, the total would be 9 runs. Both teams have solid hitting and pitching, but the numbers suggest a slightly higher scoring game. Therefore, the recommendation is to take the over on 8.0 runs.

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Aces Duel for Series Win as Phillies and Braves Clash in Finale

It is the kind of matchup that baseball fans dream of for a series finale. Two of the best starting pitchers in the National League will take the mound on Sunday afternoon as the Philadelphia Phillies and host Atlanta Braves clash in a decisive rubber match. With first place in the NL East on the line, the focus will be squarely on the duel between aces Ranger Suarez and Spencer Strider.

The Suarez Standard of Excellence

Ranger Suarez (6-2, 2.08 ERA) has been a model of consistency for the Phillies all season. The left-hander has allowed more than three runs only once in 10 starts and has worked at least seven innings in his last four consecutive outings. He is coming off another gem against the Astros where he allowed just one run over 7 2/3 innings.

“You pretty much book six or seven innings every time,” Philadelphia manager Rob Thomson said of his ace. “He’s just been incredible.”

A Philadelphia Phillies pitcher prepares to throw a baseball, wearing a gray team uniform and a red cap.

Strider’s Dominance of Philadelphia

The Braves will counter with their own fire-balling ace in right-hander Spencer Strider (3-5, 4.07). Strider is on a three-game personal winning streak and, more importantly, has absolutely dominated the Phillies throughout his career. In 10 career appearances against Philadelphia, Strider is an incredible 8-1 with a 2.05 ERA and has racked up 87 strikeouts in just 57 innings.

“The struggles we’ve had up to this point… is all in preparation for what we’re ultimately trying to accomplish,” Strider said, showing the confident mindset of an ace.

The Rematch and The Odds

This game is a direct rematch from a May 27 showdown where both pitchers were excellent. Suarez earned the win with six scoreless innings, while Strider took a tough loss despite allowing only one run. This premier ace-vs-ace duel is the top story on the scores and odds board.

Philly’s Offensive Question

The big question for the Phillies is which version of their offense will show up. On Friday, they exploded for a season-high 13 runs. On Saturday, they were held to just one run on four hits. This “feast or famine” tendency is a fascinating topic in our expert betting guide. For two MLB teams locked in a tight divisional race, consistent production is key. To see who our experts think will win this fantastic pitching duel, check out our daily MLB picks.

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Mike Williams
Mike Williams | Handicapper

Free Pick found on BestBettor.com. Mike Williams is part of SportsCapping Group.

Mike uses his strong sports knowledge to analyze all the angles to find the most profitable wagers. Iron Mike handicaps MLB, college football, NFL, NBA, and NCAA basketball. I'm an actual sports and gambling junkie!

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