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Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco Giants July 21st 2025
Giants vs Braves Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves
- Venue: Truist Park in Atlanta, GA
- Date: Monday, July 21, 2025
- Betting Odds: Giants Moneyline +111, Braves Moneyline -129, Giants Runline +1.5 (-181), Braves Runline -1.5 (+151), Total Over 9.0 (-120), Total Under 9.0 (+101)
The Giants Can Win If…
The San Francisco Giants are looking to bounce back after a tough loss to the Toronto Blue Jays, 8-6. In that game, the Giants showed strong offensive capability with 12 hits, including a home run by Matt Chapman. Key players like Dominic Smith and Jung Hoo Lee also contributed with multiple hits, which can boost their confidence going into the next game.
Despite recent losses, the Giants have solid stats that can help them secure a win. Their pitching staff holds a 3.60 ERA, ranking 4th in the league, showing they can limit opponents’ scoring. Additionally, they have 45 quality starts, also ranked 4th, indicating their starters can keep them in games.
Hayden Birdsong will be on the mound for the Giants, sporting a 4.11 ERA. He will face Bryce Elder of the Braves, who has a higher ERA of 5.65. This pitching matchup could give the Giants an edge, as Birdsong looks to outduel Elder and help the Giants get back in the win column.
The Braves Can Win If…
The Atlanta Braves are looking to bounce back after a 4-2 loss to the New York Yankees. Ronald Acuña Jr. and Matt Olson each hit a home run in that game, showing their power at the plate. Grant Holmes pitched six innings, allowing three earned runs, but the Braves couldn’t muster enough offense to secure the win.
Despite recent losses, the Braves have strong offensive stats that can lead them to victory. They rank 13th in home runs with 110 and have a solid on-base percentage of .314. With players like Matt Olson and Ronald Acuña Jr. leading the lineup, the Braves have the potential to put up runs quickly.
On the mound, the Braves will start Bryce Elder, who is looking to improve his record. The Braves’ pitching staff ranks 6th in batting average against, holding opponents to a .235 average. With a strong defense and the ability to strike out batters, the Braves have the tools to win against the San Francisco Giants.
The Lean
The Braves are favored to win with a moneyline of -129. They have a stronger batting average and on-base percentage compared to the Giants. The Braves also have a better slugging percentage and home run count. My model projects the Braves to win 5-3. Based on these factors, the recommendation is to pick the Braves to win straight up.
The total for the game is set at 9.0. The Giants have a solid pitching staff with a 3.60 ERA, while the Braves’ pitching has a 3.94 ERA. With both teams having decent pitching, the projected total score is 8. The recommendation is to take the under 9.0 (+101).
Giants, Braves Looking to Get Out of Recent Struggles
Two teams searching for momentum clash Monday as the San Francisco Giants visit the Atlanta Braves to begin a three-game series between NL hopefuls trying to shake off midseason woes.
The Giants enter the matchup riding a season-worst five-game skid, having been swept over the weekend by the red-hot Toronto Blue Jays. Sunday’s 8-6 loss capped a frustrating series that dropped San Francisco two games back in the National League Wild Card race.
“We gave ourselves a chance at the end, but we gave up too many runs in the middle,” Giants manager Bob Melvin said. “No silver linings… not what we were looking for.”
The Braves, meanwhile, dropped two of three at home to the New York Yankees and sit 12 games under .500 — tied for their season low. Atlanta’s bullpen woes have been evident, but Sunday’s outing provided some relief with six strong innings from Grant Holmes and three more from newly acquired Dane Dunning.
“To just give a blow to the rest of the bullpen this weekend was huge,” Braves manager Brian Snitker said.
Pitching Matchup: Birdsong vs. Elder
The Giants will turn to rookie right-hander Hayden Birdsong (4-3, 4.11 ERA), who will make his 10th start since joining the rotation on May 20. In his last outing on July 6 against the Oakland Athletics, he allowed one run over five innings despite struggling with control — issuing five walks and throwing just 46 of 90 pitches for strikes.
Birdsong faced Atlanta once already this season, on June 6, when he allowed two runs on two hits and five walks in 4 1/3 innings while striking out five.
The Braves counter with Bryce Elder (3-6, 5.65 ERA), who is coming off a much-needed win over Oakland on July 9. He allowed two runs on eight hits over 6 2/3 innings and struck out seven to earn his first win since early May.
Elder was dominant the last time he faced San Francisco, tossing eight innings of one-run ball with a career-high 12 strikeouts on June 7 — but did not get a decision.
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The Giants swept the Braves in early June, taking three straight one-run games at Oracle Park. That stretch showed how competitive the matchup can be, even with both teams now searching for form.
LaMonte Wade Jr., who filled in for injured Nolan Schanuel on Sunday and homered for the first time in 24 games, could be a key contributor again if Schanuel (wrist contusion) remains sidelined.
Meanwhile, Atlanta’s pitching depth will be under the microscope. If Elder can go deep into the game, it could ease pressure on a bullpen that was torched for nine runs on Saturday.
Both clubs have postseason aspirations, but only one will take a step forward in the opener.
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