Atlanta Braves vs Washington Nationals Picks and Predictions May 14th 2025

Rookie Catcher Baldwin Ignites Braves’ Resurgence

Drake Baldwin’s breakout effort continued Tuesday with a 3-for-4 outing, double, homer and two RBIs, lifting his average to .329 and helping Atlanta hand Washington its seventh straight loss. Baldwin’s emergence alongside veteran Sean Murphy has bolstered the Braves’ lineup, which has rebounded from an 0-7 start to win seven of ten. His calm approach at the plate and steady defense have become integral as Atlanta inches back toward .500.

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Elder Rises from Early-Season Doubts

Right-hander Bryce Elder has silenced critics after a rocky first month, delivering three quality starts in his last four outings despite a 3-2 setback in Pittsburgh. Elder’s eight-strikeout performance showcased his improved command of the four-seam/changeup mix and bolstered his confidence. With a 2-1 career mark and 3.16 ERA in four starts vs. Washington, he looks to extend his mastery over Palacio’s lineup Wednesday.

Parker Seeks to Halt Slide for Nats

Lefty Mitchell Parker enters on a two-game skid that has seen his ERA climb from 2.65 to 3.97. Removed after four innings in each of his past two starts, Parker must tighten his strike zone and limit free passes to rebound. He carries a 1-0 record and 3.38 ERA in two career outings against Atlanta, though the Braves are batting just .167 with eight strikeouts in 13⅓ innings off him.

Lineup Changes and Season Stakes

Washington placed Luis Garcia Jr. on the paternity list, promoting Trey Lipscomb from Triple-A. Atlanta prepares to reintegrate Ronald Acuña Jr. at Triple-A Gwinnett on Thursday, edging toward a full-strength lineup. A Braves win would sustain their unexpected surge, while a Nationals victory could end the skid and stabilize their rebuilding campaign.

Betting Outlook and Final Take

Expect a well-pitched duel with unders favored through the first five innings, given Elder’s ground-ball tendencies and Parker’s contact suppression. For full odds, prop breakdowns on Baldwin’s RBI chances, and expert side leans, consult our MLB Predictions hub before first pitch.