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Red Sox Eye Momentum, Orioles Aim for Defensive Clarity
The Boston Red Sox (71–60) come off a dominant 12–1 rout of the Yankees—highlighted by Garrett Crochet’s seven-inning, 11-strikeout gem and a monstrous nine-run ninth inning. Now, they face the Baltimore Orioles (60–70), who enter this four-game series with six wins in their last 11 games.
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Opening Odds
- Moneyline: Red Sox around –120, Orioles +100
- Run Line: Red Sox –1.5
- Total (O/U): 9.5 runs
The Red Sox Can Win If…
- Newcomer Nathaniel Lowe keeps delivering. Since landing in Boston, he’s batting .438 with seven RBIs and is riding a five-game hitting streak.
- Brennan Bernardino maintains control. The reliever-turned-starter holds a 2.93 ERA through 46 innings, with a polished 2.57 ERA in career outings against Baltimore.
- They keep striking early. Boston can lean on a top-five batting average league-wide and MLB’s best doubles rate to generate scoring opportunities and load the bases.
The Orioles Can Win If…
- Tomoyuki Sugano repeats his recent sharp starts. He’s quietly posted four straight starts without allowing a home run and held Boston to one unearned run in five innings back in April.
- Offensive depth remains strong, especially as Baltimore has had at least 22 different players homer this year—tying a franchise record.
- Akin nails the save. Lefty Keegan Akin delivered a crucial five-out save Sunday, showing promise in high-leverage spots.
Key MLB Betting Trends
| Category | Boston Red Sox | Baltimore Orioles |
|---|---|---|
| Recent Momentum | Blasted Yankees 12–1 (7th straight win vs NYY) | Won 7 of last 11 games |
| Offensive Spark | Lowe is on fire (.438, 7 RBIs) | Record-setting power diversity |
| Starting Pitching | Bernardino solid; strong vs BAL | Sugano consistently improving |
| Phone Signals | Confident, peaking | Searching for rhythm |
The Lean
With momentum, offensive depth, and stellar recent outings, the Red Sox are the safer wager—especially with their bullpen depth and hitting firepower lighting the way.
- Projected Score: Red Sox 5, Orioles 3
- Pick: Red Sox Moneyline
- Total Lean: Under 9.5 Runs
Boston wrapped up their series against the Yankees with a tough 7-2 loss, while Baltimore edged out Houston in a 3-2 win to snap a skid. A deeper dive into the latest MLB game results
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