Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox Picks and Predictions May 30th 2025

Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White Sox May 30th 2025

The White Sox will visit the Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Friday, May 30, 2025. The game is set for a 7:05 PM start under the lights. Fans can expect a night game atmosphere.

Sean Burke will take the mound for the White Sox, bringing an ERA of 4.33 and a WHIP of 1.46. Opposing him, Zach Eflin will pitch for the Orioles, with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.17. Both pitchers will aim to give their teams a strong start.

White Sox vs Orioles Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: White Sox vs. Orioles
• Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
• Date: Friday, May 30, 2025
• Betting Odds: Orioles -1.5 (-112), White Sox +1.5 (-109), Orioles MoneyLine -227, White Sox MoneyLine +188, Over/Under 9.0

The White Sox Can Win If…

The Chicago White Sox are coming off a strong 9-4 win against the New York Mets. Andrew Benintendi led the charge with a home run and four RBIs, showing his ability to drive in runs. Mike Tauchman also contributed with two doubles, adding depth to the lineup.

The White Sox have some key stats that could help them win. Their 45 stolen bases rank 11th, showing they can be aggressive on the base paths. They also have 18 quality starts, which is 11th in the league, indicating solid starting pitching performances.

Sean Burke will take the mound for the White Sox with a 4.33 ERA. He faces Zach Eflin, who has a higher ERA of 5.40. This pitching matchup could give the White Sox an edge, especially with their lineup’s recent performance against the Mets.

The Orioles Can Win If…

The Baltimore Orioles aim to bounce back after their recent 7-4 loss to the St. Louis Cardinals. Despite the defeat, Ryan O’Hearn showed power with a home run and three RBIs. Ryan Mountcastle also contributed with three hits, including two doubles, showcasing his ability to get on base.

The Orioles have a solid lineup that can produce runs. They rank 9th in home runs with 60, showing their ability to hit for power. Players like Gunnar Henderson and Jackson Holliday, who have combined for 13 home runs, are key to their offensive strength.

On the mound, Zach Eflin will start for the Orioles. Eflin has a 5.40 ERA and a WHIP of 1.17, indicating he can keep the game in check. The Orioles’ bullpen has been reliable, with only eight blown saves, ranking 5th in the league, which could be crucial in close games.

The Lean

The Orioles are the favorites with a moneyline of -227, while the White Sox are the underdogs at +188. Given the Orioles’ stronger hitting stats, including a higher slugging percentage and more home runs, they are likely to win. The model projects the Orioles to win with a score of 6-4.

The over/under line is set at 9.0, with the under slightly favored at -115. Both teams have high ERAs and allow many home runs, suggesting a high-scoring game. The model projects a total score of 10, so the recommendation is to take the over.

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AL Strugglers Clash: White Sox vs Orioles at Camden Yards

The Baltimore Orioles and Chicago White Sox face off Friday to open a three-game series, each team looking for a lifeline during a rocky start to 2025. While neither club is where it hoped to be, both have flashed moments of what could be—making this a low-profile matchup worth watching.

The White Sox, sitting at an AL-worst 18-38, snapped a six-game road losing streak Wednesday with a 9-4 win over the Mets. It was just their third win in the last six games—still modest, but encouraging.

“These guys show up every day ready to compete,” said manager Will Venable. “It’s about turning the page.”

Baltimore (19-36) isn’t much better. After a series loss to St. Louis and the firing of manager Brandon Hyde earlier this month, the Orioles are trying to reset under new leadership. Their recent 4-for-31 performance with runners in scoring position underscores their ongoing offensive woes.

Track all MLB team trends and stats on the MLB Team Page.

Friday’s Pitching Duel: Eflin vs. Burke

Baltimore will send right-hander Zach Eflin (3-2, 5.40 ERA) to the hill. While his season ERA has crept upward, he’s had success against the White Sox—2-1 with a 2.88 ERA in five career appearances.

Chicago will counter with Sean Burke (3-5, 4.33 ERA), who has quietly been one of their most consistent arms in May. He’s allowed one or fewer earned runs in four of five starts this month, though control remains an issue. Burke has 19 walks to go with 19 strikeouts in 27 innings this month.

This will be his first-ever appearance against Baltimore.

Explore key matchup data and trends on the MLB Odds Page.

Can Anyone Find Their Rhythm?

Chicago’s offense has struggled all season. With just 196 total runs, they’re among five teams under the 200-run mark. One spark? Miguel Vargas. The infielder has a double in five straight games and is batting .333 over his last 13 games.

Baltimore is also shorthanded. Catcher Adley Rutschman returned from a brief absence as DH, but Colton Cowser and Jordan Westburg remain out while rehabbing in Triple-A. Their return could bring a much-needed boost.

“We’ve got good guys here, but getting those bats back would be huge,” said Jackson Holliday.

Want betting insights on this series? Visit the Expert MLB Betting Guide.

FAQs

Who’s pitching in the series opener?

Zach Eflin (Orioles) faces Sean Burke (White Sox). Eflin has good history vs. Chicago; Burke has been sharp in May.

Why are both teams struggling?

Both clubs rank near the bottom in team offense and have battled inconsistency and injuries.

Is Miguel Vargas heating up?

Yes, he’s doubled in five straight games and is hitting .333 over his last 13 outings.

What’s the Orioles’ biggest weakness right now?

Timely hitting. They’ve been poor with runners in scoring position—just 4-for-31 in their last two losses.

Are any key Orioles returning soon?

Yes, Colton Cowser and Jordan Westburg are rehabbing in Triple-A and could return soon.

What’s Sean Burke’s main issue?

While effective overall, Burke has struggled with command, walking 19 in May alone.