Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Predictions May 14th 2025

Momentum Check: 8‑Game Surge vs. Camden Struggles

Minnesota rolls into Baltimore riding an eight‑game heater that included last week’s sweep of the Orioles. Manager Rocco Baldelli cites rising confidence as timely hits, steady rotation work, and airtight defense fuel the push. The O’s have dropped six of eight and limp home at 8‑9 in Charm City, desperate for offensive life after scoring five runs just twice in 19 contests.

Game 1 Duel: Ober’s Command vs. Kremer’s Revenge Bid

Right‑hander Bailey Ober (4‑1, 3.50 ERA) seeks his fifth win in six starts after a no‑decision last Thursday when he held Baltimore scoreless through four frames. Dean Kremer (3‑4, 5.24 ERA) counters, fresh off a seven‑inning, two‑run effort against these Twins. Kremer stresses staying aggressive regardless of run support, determined to extend his May groove (14 IP, 2 ER).

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Nightcap Rotation Plans & Bullpen Flex

Rain gave both pens two full days off, plus each club can add a 27th man. Minnesota lines up Simeon Woods Richardson (2‑2, 4.01 ERA) for Game 2, aiming to build on three straight quality turns. Baltimore likely deploys lefty Cade Povich (1‑3, 5.55 ERA) for the late shift after taking the loss in Minnesota last week. With rested high‑leverage arms—Jhoan Duran, Craig Kimbrel—managers can be aggressive in tight spots.

Keys to the Offense: Twins’ Timely Swings, O’s Bats on Mute

Trevor Larnach’s four May homers headline a balanced Minnesota attack that ranks fifth in two‑out RBIs. Meanwhile Baltimore owns an AL‑low .196 average with runners in scoring position this month. Cedric Mullins (.138 in May) and Gunnar Henderson (.205) must spark rallies early to avoid late‑inning pressure on a taxed lineup.

Betting Lens & Series Outlook

Minnesota’s momentum and Baltimore’s scoring funk lean Game 1 toward low totals, while nightcap volatility could flip with bullpens on short rest. For updated lines, prop plays, and pitching‑split analytics, visit our single recommended hub: MLB Picks Today.