Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets Picks and Predictions July 9th 2025

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets July 9th 2025

The New York Mets will visit the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Wednesday, July 9, 2025. The game is set to begin at 7:05 PM and will be broadcast on ESPN. Fans can expect a warm evening with a light breeze and a few clouds in the sky.

The Mets, led by manager Carlos Mendoza, hold a 53-39 record and are at the top of the NL East. On the other side, the Orioles, under interim manager Tony Mansolino, have a 40-50 record and are 13 games back in the AL East. David Peterson will start for the Mets, while Tomoyuki Sugano will be on the mound for the Orioles.

Mets vs Orioles Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: New York Mets vs. Baltimore Orioles
• Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD
• Date: Wednesday, July 9, 2025
• Betting Odds: Mets Moneyline -151, Orioles Moneyline +128, Mets Runline -1.5 (+104), Orioles Runline +1.5 (-124), Total Over 9.5 (-110), Total Under 9.5 (-109)

The Mets Can Win If…

The New York Mets are coming off a tight 7-6 win against the Baltimore Orioles. Pete Alonso made a big impact with a home run and two RBIs. Francisco Lindor and Ronny Mauricio also contributed with home runs, showing the Mets’ power at the plate.

The Mets have a strong lineup that ranks 6th in home runs with 121 this season. Their on-base percentage is 6th in the league at .323, indicating their ability to get on base and create scoring chances. With a solid slugging percentage of .420, they have the potential to score runs quickly.

David Peterson will be on the mound for the Mets, bringing a 3.18 ERA and 6-4 record. His ability to keep opponents’ batting average low at .237 is key. With the Orioles’ starter having a higher ERA, the Mets’ chances of capitalizing on the mound are strong.

The Orioles Can Win If…

The Baltimore Orioles are looking to bounce back from a close 6-7 loss against the New York Mets. In that game, Jackson Holliday stood out with a home run and two RBIs. Brandon Young pitched 5 1/3 innings, allowing only two earned runs and striking out six.

Key stats show the Orioles have strength in power hitting. They rank 10th in the league with 108 home runs this season. Their lineup features players like Ryan O’Hearn, who has a .286 batting average and 11 home runs.

Tomoyuki Sugano will take the mound for the Orioles. He holds a 4.44 ERA and has six wins this season. With a solid lineup and capable pitching, the Orioles have the tools to secure a win against the Mets.

The Lean

The Mets are favored with a moneyline of -151 against the Orioles, who have a moneyline of +128. The Mets have a strong pitching record with an ERA of 3.59, ranked 6th, compared to the Orioles’ 4.95 ERA, ranked 27th. Based on these stats, the recommendation is to pick the Mets to win. The projected score is Mets 6, Orioles 4.

The total for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Mets’ strong pitching and the Orioles’ lower-ranked hitting suggest a lower-scoring game. The Orioles have a batting average of .239, ranked 17th, which may not produce many runs. The recommendation is to take the under 9.5. The projected total is 10 runs, but the Mets’ pitching may keep it under.

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Mets Playing With Purpose After All-Star Snubs Against Orioles

The New York Mets are on a mission—and it’s showing. After a controversial All-Star snub, Juan Soto has turned frustration into fuel, delivering a three-hit performance and the game-winning RBI in Tuesday’s 10-inning victory over the Baltimore Orioles.

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The Mets have now won five of their last six, capitalizing on late-game adjustments and timely hitting. Manager Carlos Mendoza praised his squad’s ability to bounce back, saying they “made good adjustments” after a slow start at the plate. Soto, in particular, continues to prove he belongs among the league’s elite.

While Soto grabbed the spotlight, Brandon Nimmo’s consistent production shouldn’t be overlooked. With 53 RBIs—more than Soto—Mendoza believes Nimmo also deserves All-Star consideration, citing his impact over the past month.

Baltimore, meanwhile, let another late lead slip away. Interim manager Tony Mansolino expressed disappointment after his club blew a four-run advantage, stating that while the game plan was sound, execution fell short. The Orioles have struggled to sustain momentum, and Tuesday’s loss only highlighted that inconsistency.

Jackson Holliday provided a bright spot for Baltimore, launching another home run and showing why he’s considered one of the game’s top young talents.

Looking ahead, lefty David Peterson (6-4, 3.18 ERA) gets the ball for New York. Though winless in his last seven road starts, he comes off a strong outing against Milwaukee. The Orioles counter with Tomoyuki Sugano (6-5, 4.44 ERA), who’s allowed at least one homer in four straight starts and is looking to regain form.

With the Mets gaining steam and Baltimore searching for answers, this series has become more than just a midweek matchup—it’s a proving ground.

The Mets’ current surge makes them a hot team to watch in MLB betting trends. Bettors should keep an eye on how this energized squad performs as they look to keep momentum alive.

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