Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets Picks and Predictions July 10th 2025

Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets July 10th 2025

The New York Mets will visit the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards for an afternoon game on Thursday, July 10, 2025. The first pitch is scheduled for 12:05 PM, and fans can catch the action on MASN. The weather forecast predicts mild conditions with overcast clouds, making it a comfortable day for baseball. The Mets, managed by Carlos Mendoza, hold a 53-39 record this season. They lead the NL East with a strong home record but have struggled on the road. The Orioles, led by interim manager Tony Mansolino, have a 40-50 record and are 12 games back in the AL East. On the mound, the Mets will start David Peterson, who has a 3.18 ERA, while the Orioles will counter with Charlie Morton, who has a 5.47 ERA.

Mets vs Orioles Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: New York Mets vs. Baltimore Orioles
• Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD
• Date: Thursday, July 10, 2025
• Betting Odds: Mets Moneyline -136, Orioles Moneyline +115

The Mets Can Win If…

The New York Mets are coming off a 7-6 win against the Baltimore Orioles. The Mets had 11 hits, including three home runs. Pete Alonso led the charge with a home run and two RBIs, while Francisco Lindor and Ronny Mauricio also went deep.

The Mets have strong hitting stats this season. They rank 6th in slugging percentage at .420 and are 7th in home runs with 121. Their batting lineup, featuring Alonso and Lindor, provides consistent power and run production.

Pitching is another strength for the Mets. David Peterson, with a 3.18 ERA, will start against the Orioles. The Mets’ pitching staff holds a 3.59 ERA, ranking 6th, and has allowed only 80 home runs, the 2nd fewest in the league.

The Orioles Can Win If…

The Baltimore Orioles are looking to bounce back after a close 7-6 loss to the New York Mets on July 8th. In that game, Jackson Holliday stood out with a home run, two runs, and two RBIs. Brandon Young pitched 5 1/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while striking out six.

The Orioles have shown power at the plate with 108 home runs this season, ranking 10th in the league. Ryan O’Hearn leads the team with a .286 batting average, and Jackson Holliday tops the team in home runs with 12. Their ability to hit long balls can make a difference in tight games.

Charlie Morton will start for the Orioles with a record of 5-7 and an ERA of 5.47. Despite his challenges, Morton has the experience to handle pressure situations. The Orioles’ bullpen has been reliable, with only 12 blown saves this season, ranking 4th in the league, which can help secure a win if the game is close.

The Lean

The Mets are favored with a moneyline of -136. They have a strong pitching staff with a 3.59 ERA, ranked 6th in the league. The Orioles have a higher ERA of 4.95, ranked 27th. With the Mets’ better pitching and hitting stats, the recommendation is to pick the Mets to win. The model projects a score of Mets 5, Orioles 4.

The total for the game is set at 9.0. The Mets have a solid offense, ranking 6th in slugging percentage. The Orioles’ pitching struggles with a high ERA and batting average against. This suggests a higher-scoring game. The recommendation is to take the over 9.0. The model’s projected total is 9 runs.

Mets, Orioles Set for Doubleheader Showdown After Rain Delay

The New York Mets and Baltimore Orioles will settle their three-game series in one day as they prepare for a split-admission doubleheader on Thursday at Camden Yards. With rain washing out Wednesday’s scheduled game, the teams will now play at 12:05 p.m. and 5:05 p.m. local time, with both sides trying to manage rotations, fatigue, and momentum heading into a compressed day of baseball.

This is the only scheduled meeting between the Mets and Orioles in 2025, adding urgency to get both games played before travel demands or scheduling conflicts arise later in the season. A further postponement could force a logistical nightmare, making Thursday a pivotal day for both franchises, especially for a Mets team trying to capitalize on recent success and a struggling Orioles squad desperate to turn its season around.

Mets Ride Emotional Win into Doubleheader

New York enters Thursday’s twin bill with momentum following a dramatic 7-6 comeback victory in Tuesday’s series opener. The Mets rallied from a four-run deficit in the eighth inning, eventually winning in extra innings. That resilience was another encouraging sign for a club looking to surge back into postseason contention after an inconsistent first half.

Mets manager Carlos Mendoza acknowledged the challenges of a bullpen game in the second half of the doubleheader and emphasized the importance of a solid outing in the opener to preserve arms and flexibility. Scheduled starter David Peterson, who was originally slated to pitch Wednesday, will now take the ball in Game 1. Peterson has posted a solid 3.18 ERA this season but has struggled on the road, where the Mets have failed to win any of his last seven starts away from Citi Field. Still, his last outing was a step forward, holding the Brewers to one earned run across 6 2/3 innings in a narrow 3-2 win.

Peterson’s career track record against Baltimore includes a 1-1 record with a 3.24 ERA over four appearances. With his ability to generate soft contact and work deep into games, his performance could dictate how aggressive the Mets need to be with their bullpen in Game 2. For more pitcher-specific trends and betting breakdowns, fans can review the latest insights on our MLB picks and predictions page.

Orioles Reeling, Relying on Veterans to Steady the Ship

For the Orioles, another blown lead Tuesday added to a frustrating 2025 campaign that now sees them 10 games under .500. Shortstop Gunnar Henderson voiced the team’s collective disappointment, emphasizing how every loss feels magnified, especially in close games that could haunt them by season’s end.

Veteran right-hander Charlie Morton is expected to start Game 1 for Baltimore. Morton, after a rocky start to the season, has been lights-out recently and hasn’t suffered a loss in more than two months. His strikeout-to-walk ratio since early June has been excellent, and he brings plenty of experience against the Mets. His 133 1/3 innings against New York are the second-most he’s logged versus any team in his career. Morton’s presence gives the Orioles a stabilizing force in a critical matchup. For rotation data and recent form indicators, check out the MLB team breakdowns to see how Baltimore stacks up heading into Thursday.

Tomoyuki Sugano is expected to pitch the nightcap. Sugano has struggled recently, giving up seven home runs across his last four starts, including a six-run outing in his most recent appearance. He’s coming off more than a week’s rest, but Baltimore hopes the layoff can reset the veteran’s mechanics and command. For betting angles on first-five innings or pitcher props, Sugano’s trend line is covered in detail on the MLB odds and insights hub.

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Doubleheader Stakes and Strategy

With both teams facing uncertain pitching plans for the second game, depth and bullpen usage will be at a premium. The Mets could lean into a bullpen game depending on how Game 1 unfolds, while the Orioles will look to limit exposure to their relievers, who have already been overworked during a tough stretch of close losses.

This doubleheader could represent a pivot point for each team’s season. The Mets are trending up, with signs of offensive cohesion and late-inning fight. Baltimore, meanwhile, is still searching for traction. A sweep could help the Mets close ground in the National League standings, while a split or sweep for Baltimore would inject needed confidence into a sagging clubhouse.

For bettors and fans looking to follow game-by-game updates and player news throughout the day, our live MLB scores and odds page will be tracking both matchups with key in-game data.