Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Predictions July 28th 2025

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays July 28th 2025

The Toronto Blue Jays will take on the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The game is set for Monday, July 28, 2025, at 6:35 PM. Fans can catch the action on MASN as the teams meet for a night game under scattered clouds and warm conditions.

The Blue Jays come into this game with a 63-43 record. They have performed well at home but are even on the road with a 26-26 record. Meanwhile, the Orioles hold a 47-58 record and are 15 games back in the AL East. At home, Baltimore has a 24-26 record, and they will look to improve that against Toronto.

Blue Jays vs Orioles Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
• Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD
• Date: Monday, July 28, 2025
• Betting Odds: Blue Jays Moneyline -125, Orioles Moneyline +106

The Blue Jays Can Win If…

The Toronto Blue Jays are coming off a tough loss to the Detroit Tigers, falling 10-4. Despite the loss, Bo Bichette had a standout performance, going 5-for-5 with two RBIs. Max Scherzer also showed his skills on the mound with 11 strikeouts over seven innings.

Toronto’s batting lineup is strong, leading the league with a .263 batting average and a .332 on-base percentage. They are second in doubles with 192, showcasing their ability to hit for extra bases. The team’s pitching staff ranks third in strikeouts with 952, indicating they can dominate on the mound.

Chris Bassitt will start for the Blue Jays, bringing an 11-4 record and a 3.88 ERA. His experience and success this season make him a reliable choice. With key players like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and George Springer in the lineup, the Blue Jays have the talent to secure a win against the Baltimore Orioles.

The Orioles Can Win If…

The Baltimore Orioles are coming off a solid win against the Colorado Rockies, taking the game 5-1. Tomoyuki Sugano was strong on the mound, pitching six innings and allowing just one run. Tyler O’Neill contributed with a home run and two RBIs, helping secure the victory.

Offensively, the Orioles have shown power with 126 home runs this season, ranking 11th in the league. Their slugging percentage of .402 also ranks them 11th, indicating their ability to hit for extra bases. Gunnar Henderson, with a batting average of .282, is a key player to watch in their lineup.

The Orioles’ pitching has room for improvement, but Zach Eflin will look to bounce back against the Blue Jays. Eflin’s record stands at 6-5 with a 5.78 ERA, and he aims to lower his ERA in this game. With the support of their hitters, the Orioles have a chance to win this matchup at home.

The Lean

The Blue Jays are favored with a moneyline of -125. They have the top batting average and on-base percentage this season. The Orioles have a higher ERA, which suggests the Blue Jays will likely win. My model projects the Blue Jays to win with a score of 6-4.

The total for the game is set at 9.5 runs. Both teams have strong hitting stats, and the Orioles’ pitching has struggled with a high ERA. My model predicts a total score of 10 runs. Therefore, the recommendation is to take the over at 9.5 (-105).

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Orioles Ready for Challenge as Blue Jays Visit for Four-Game Series

The Baltimore Orioles managed to steady the ship with back-to-back wins against the Colorado Rockies, but the competition ramps up dramatically as the American League-leading Toronto Blue Jays come to town for a four-game set beginning Monday.

Baltimore’s 5-1 victory on Sunday marked its first winning streak since July 10-11, and while that’s a step in the right direction, the Orioles still find themselves 15.5 games behind the Jays in the AL East. Adding to the drama, the series includes a doubleheader on Tuesday and comes just days before the trade deadline.

“There will be some adversity throughout the week, without a doubt,” interim manager Tony Mansolino noted, acknowledging the pressure ahead.

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Baltimore’s Zach Eflin will take the mound in the series opener. Though inconsistent this year with a 6-5 record and 5.78 ERA, Eflin began the season on a high note against Toronto, pitching six strong innings in a 12-2 win on March 27. He’s 4-3 lifetime with a 5.40 ERA in 10 appearances against the Blue Jays.

Toronto counters with Chris Bassitt, who has been lights out lately. The right-hander is 4-0 in July with a sparkling 2.39 ERA and brings an 11-4 season record into Monday’s game. His lone start against the Orioles this year saw him hold them to one run over six innings while striking out seven.

“We knew it was only a matter of time, just getting on the field and getting reps,” said Gunnar Henderson of teammate Tyler O’Neill, who has homered in three straight games for the first time since 2021.

Baltimore’s lineup could be bolstered by the return of Adley Rutschman, currently rehabbing with Triple-A Norfolk. His bat and presence behind the plate would be a timely addition, especially with a potent Jays lineup on the horizon.

Meanwhile, Toronto is dealing with injury setbacks of its own. Catcher Alejandro Kirk is on the seven-day injured list with a concussion, shifting the catching duties to Tyler Heineman while Ali Sanchez was recalled from Triple-A Buffalo.

“You never really know with a concussion, and we don’t want to take any chances,” manager John Schneider said of Kirk’s situation.

Toronto’s only loss in their last 10 games came Sunday in a 10-4 defeat to Detroit. The Jays are an impressive 8-2 since the All-Star break but hold just a .500 record (26-26) on the road. With momentum, however, and a favorable matchup history against Baltimore, they’ll be eager to extend their lead atop the division.

This pivotal series could shape not only the playoff picture but also the trade strategies of both teams. If you’re looking to get in on the action, be sure to check out the latest MLB Picks and Predictions to gain an edge in your Baseball betting strategy.

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