Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Predictions July 29th 2025

Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays July 29th 2025

The Toronto Blue Jays will visit the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Tuesday, July 29, 2025. The game is set for an afternoon start at 12:35 PM and will be broadcast on MLBN. The weather forecast calls for a warm day with a calm crosswind and broken clouds.

The Blue Jays hold a record of 63-44 this season. They have a road record of 26-27. The Orioles, with a 48-58 record, are 14 games back in the AL East. Their home record stands at 25-26. Charlie Morton will start for the Orioles, while the Blue Jays’ starter is yet to be announced.

Blue Jays vs Orioles Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
• Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
• Date: Tuesday, July 29, 2025
• Betting Odds: Blue Jays Moneyline +113, Orioles Moneyline -133, Blue Jays Runline +1.5 (-168), Orioles Runline -1.5 (+137), Total Over/Under 10.5 (-110)

The Blue Jays Can Win If…

The Toronto Blue Jays are coming off a tough game against the Baltimore Orioles, losing 11-4. Despite the loss, the Blue Jays showed strength at the plate with 11 hits and two home runs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. was a standout performer, going 2 for 4 with a home run and two RBIs.

The Blue Jays have the top-ranked batting average and on-base percentage in the league. With a team batting average of .264 and on-base percentage of .332, they are consistent at getting on base. Their ability to hit doubles, ranking third in the league, adds to their offensive strength.

Toronto’s pitching staff is also strong, with the third-most strikeouts in the league. Their pitchers have held opponents to a .238 batting average, ranking eighth. With these stats, the Blue Jays have the tools to secure a win against the Orioles in the next game.

The Orioles Can Win If…

The Baltimore Orioles are coming off a strong 11-4 win against the Toronto Blue Jays. Cedric Mullins hit a home run and drove in two runs, while Ramón Laureano added a home run and three RBIs. Adley Rutschman contributed with three hits and two RBIs, showing the depth of the Orioles’ lineup.

Offensively, the Orioles have been consistent with a .407 slugging percentage, ranking 10th in the league. They have hit 130 home runs this season, also placing them 10th. Their ability to hit for power makes them a threat in any game.

Charlie Morton will start for the Orioles, looking to improve on his 5.48 ERA. Despite some struggles, Morton has the experience to lead the team on the mound. With a lineup featuring hitters like Gunnar Henderson and Jackson Holliday, the Orioles have the potential to support Morton with plenty of runs.

The Lean

For the moneyline pick, the Orioles are favored at -133. The Blue Jays have a moneyline of +113. Given the Orioles’ stronger pitching stats, with a lower earned run average and batting average against, the recommendation is to take the Orioles to win. The model projects a score of Orioles 6, Blue Jays 4.

The total for the game is set at 10.5 runs. Both teams have shown strong hitting capabilities, with the Blue Jays leading in batting average and on-base percentage. The Orioles have a higher slugging percentage and more home runs. The model projects a total score of 10 runs, so the recommendation is to take the under 10.5 (-110).

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Improving Orioles Brace for Doubleheader Showdown Against Blue Jays

It’s starting to feel different in Baltimore. The Baltimore Orioles are building momentum at just the right time, and with the trade deadline looming on Thursday, there’s a renewed sense of urgency and optimism in the clubhouse. That confidence will be put to the test Tuesday as they take on the surging Toronto Blue Jays in a day-night doubleheader.

The return of catcher Adley Rutschman sparked Baltimore’s offense in a big way Monday, as the team crushed four home runs in an 11-4 rout to open the series. Rutschman, fresh off the injured list, tallied three hits including two doubles, making his presence felt immediately.

“I missed these guys so much, and to be able to get back out there again today, it was just the best,” Rutschman said after his standout performance.

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The Orioles have now won three straight and four of their last five, showing signs of a rejuvenated squad that’s shaking off a midseason slump. Their offensive resurgence couldn’t have come at a better time, especially with the pressure of the playoff push intensifying.

Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are trying to avoid their first three-game losing streak since mid-June. Toronto’s 10-4 loss to Detroit on Sunday and the series-opening defeat in Baltimore exposed some vulnerabilities—particularly after designated hitter George Springer was hit in the shoulder and helmet by a pitch in the ninth inning.

“He’s doing all right,” manager John Schneider said. “It kind of got him in his shoulder, then helmet. … He was able to turn a little bit, too.”

Toronto’s Bo Bichette also saw his franchise-record streak of nine consecutive hits come to an end in the loss, grounding into a double play that wrapped up Monday’s game.

As the teams prepare for two games on Tuesday—rescheduled due to an April 11 postponement—Baltimore will hand the ball to Charlie Morton (6-8, 5.48 ERA) in Game 1. Morton is fresh off a solid 6 2/3-inning outing in Cleveland and has been a consistent presence at home, going unbeaten in his last nine appearances at Camden Yards. He’s also closing in on 100 strikeouts for the season.

Keegan Akin returned from the injured list and is expected to be available out of the bullpen after nursing a shoulder issue since early July.

Toronto counters with left-hander Eric Lauer (6-2, 2.61 ERA) in one of the games. Lauer has been lights out lately, notching two straight wins with 13 strikeouts and no walks in his last 14 innings. Though he gave up four runs (three earned) in his only career start against Baltimore, he’ll enter this matchup with confidence.

Baltimore’s offense continues to trend upward. Rookie Coby Mayo has hit two home runs over the last four days, while Rutschman had his first multi-RBI game since early June, putting together the kind of performance the team has missed during his absence.

“He’s gone through some struggles here over probably a 300-at-bat span,” interim manager Tony Mansolino said. “Today was another nice step in the right direction, so hopefully he continues.”

For fans and bettors tracking team performance trends, recent results from previous MLB games show just how hot Baltimore’s bats have been—and how much of a challenge they present to a Blue Jays club still managing injuries and inconsistency on the road.

With a chance to keep climbing and a doubleheader in front of them, the Orioles have the rare opportunity to make a serious dent in the division standings in just one day. And with Rutschman healthy and the lineup heating up, this could be Baltimore’s time to make a bold statement.

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