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Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles August 19th 2025
The Baltimore Orioles will take on the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on Tuesday, August 19, 2025. The Orioles, with a record of 58-67, are looking to build on their current two-game winning streak. They have been strong lately, winning six of their last ten games.
The Red Sox, holding a 68-58 record, are in second place in the AL East. Despite their recent two-game losing streak, they have performed well at home with a 41-24 record. The game will feature starting pitchers Tomoyuki Sugano for the Orioles and Walker Buehler for the Red Sox. Fans can catch the action on NESN at 7:10 PM.
Orioles vs Red Sox Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
- Venue: Fenway Park in Boston, MA
- Date: Tuesday, August 19, 2025
- Betting Odds: Orioles Moneyline +119, Red Sox Moneyline -141
The Orioles Can Win If…
The Baltimore Orioles enter the game with momentum after a 6-3 win against the Boston Red Sox. Trevor Rogers pitched seven strong innings, allowing just one run and striking out seven. Gunnar Henderson led the offense with a home run and three runs scored, while Samuel Basallo and Dylan Beavers contributed with multiple hits.
The Orioles’ offense ranks 9th in home runs this season, with 151 long balls. Their slugging percentage of .405 is 13th in the league, showing they can hit for power. The team also ranks 10th in doubles, adding to their ability to drive in runs with extra-base hits.
On the mound, Tomoyuki Sugano will start for the Orioles. He has a solid record of 10-5 and an ERA of 4.13. With Sugano’s ability to keep games close, the Orioles have a good chance to win against the Red Sox’s Walker Buehler, who has a higher ERA of 5.43.
The Red Sox Can Win If…
The Boston Red Sox are looking to bounce back after their recent 6-3 loss to the Baltimore Orioles. Despite the defeat, Trevor Story and Roman Anthony showed strong performances, each contributing two hits. Jarren Duran also made an impact with three RBIs, highlighting the potential of the Red Sox lineup.
Boston’s batting stats this season show they have the tools to win. They are ranked first in doubles with 257, which shows they can find gaps and advance runners. Their batting average of .253 ranks fifth, indicating consistent contact and opportunities to score.
Walker Buehler will take the mound for Boston, aiming to improve his season record. The Red Sox’s pitching staff ranks sixth in ERA at 3.76, which can keep games within reach. With key players like Alex Bregman and Trevor Story in the lineup, Boston has the talent to secure a victory.
The Lean
The Red Sox are favored with a moneyline of -141 against the Orioles at +119. The Red Sox have a better batting average and on-base percentage, ranking 5th and 6th respectively, compared to the Orioles’ 13th and 16th. My model projects the Red Sox to win with a score of 5-4, making them the recommended pick.
The total for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Red Sox have a strong pitching staff with a 3.76 ERA, ranking 6th, while the Orioles have a 4.69 ERA, ranking 26th. My model projects a total of 9 runs, so the recommendation is to take the under 9.5 at -118.
Orioles Look to Sweep Series Behind Rookie Sugano
A three-game hiatus since their last meeting, the Baltimore Orioles aim to cap a stop in Boston with a rare sweep over the Boston Red Sox. Trevor Rogers set the tone Monday with seven innings of one-run ball as Baltimore closed with a 6-3 win.
Sugano Set for First Career Start vs Boston
Tomoyuki Sugano (10-5, 4.13 ERA) takes the mound for the Orioles’ win bid. The 35-year-old rookie hasn’t lost since July 2 and has allowed just one run in each of his last two starts, including one shortened by a rain delay.
Tony Mansolino praised him for “throwing strikes, good velocity, good split, good command.” Sugano also joins an exclusive rookie club — just the 10th Japanese-born pitcher to win 10 games in his first MLB season.
Team Trends & Offensive Standouts
Baltimore’s pitching turnaround has given them traction — their 3.89 ERA ranks fourth in the AL since the All-Star break (previously fourth-worst). Offensively, Gunnar Henderson’s performance has been pivotal. In Game 1, he tripled, homered, scored three runs, and drove in two—continuing a strong trend with runners in scoring position.
Meanwhile, Boston added first baseman Nathaniel Lowe to the roster. Though used as a pinch-hitter in Game 1, he made a strong entrance with a walk and a run in the ninth.
Pitching Matchup Preview
Both Friday starters are looking to right the ship after rocky starts.
| Pitcher | Team | Record | ERA | Recent Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomoyuki Sugano | Orioles | 10-5 | 4.13 | Still undefeated since July 2 |
| Walker Buehler | Red Sox | 7-7 | 5.43 | Mixed recent starts; 1-1 vs Orioles |
Sugano enters with red-hot form, while Buehler has struggled recently — particularly in his last outing, allowing four runs in six innings against Houston. Fortunately for him, he owns a strong career track record against Baltimore.
What’s at Stake in the AL East
With the division tightly contested, this two-game set could swing Wild Card and playoff seeding implications. The Orioles look to build on their homestand momentum; the Red Sox hope Lowe injects new life into a lineup undergoing changes.
For expert insights and game-by-game analysis, be sure to check the MLB picks page and consult the MLB expert betting guide. Live updates are available via the scores and odds platform.
