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Boston Red Sox vs Cincinnati Reds June 30th 2025
The Cincinnati Reds are set to take on the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. The game is scheduled for Monday, June 30, 2025, at 7:10 PM. Fans can tune in on NESN to catch the action under scattered clouds with a warm breeze blowing out.
The Reds, managed by Terry Francona, hold a 44-40 record this season. They have a road record of 20-21. The Red Sox, led by Alex Cora, are at 41-44. They have a home record of 23-19. Chase Burns will start for the Reds, while Garrett Crochet will pitch for the Red Sox.
Reds vs Red Sox Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Cincinnati Reds vs. Boston Red Sox
- Venue: Fenway Park in Boston, MA
- Date: Monday, June 30, 2025
- Betting Odds: Red Sox -190, Reds +157
The Reds Can Win If…
The Cincinnati Reds are coming off a 3-2 win against the San Diego Padres. Nick Lodolo pitched 5 1/3 innings, allowing only one earned run. Will Benson had a standout performance with three hits, including a double, and one RBI.
The Reds have shown they can compete with their hitting and pitching. They rank 7th in batting average at .248 and 5th in batting average against at .232. Their ability to get on base and limit opponent hits gives them a strong chance to win.
Elly De La Cruz is a key player for the Reds with a batting average of .280 and 18 home runs. His performance, along with Spencer Steer’s consistent hitting, will be crucial. With Chase Burns starting, the Reds will look to support him with solid defense and timely hitting.
The Red Sox Can Win If…
The Boston Red Sox are looking to bounce back after a 5-3 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays. In that game, Carlos Narváez hit a home run and Walker Buehler pitched four innings. Despite the loss, the Red Sox showed strong hitting with eight hits, including five extra-base hits.
The Red Sox have a solid batting lineup, ranking first in the league for doubles with 159. They also have a slugging percentage of .416, which ranks seventh. Trevor Story and Alex Bregman are key players, each with 11 home runs this season.
On the mound, Garrett Crochet will start for Boston. He has an ERA of 2.06 and a WHIP of 1.01, leading to a 7-4 record. With Crochet’s pitching and the team’s hitting strength, the Red Sox have a good chance to win their next game against the Cincinnati Reds.
The Lean
The Red Sox are favored with a moneyline of -190 against the Reds at +157. The Red Sox have a stronger batting lineup, ranking higher in slugging percentage and home runs. My model projects the Red Sox to win with a score of 5-3, making the Red Sox the recommended pick to win straight up.
The current over/under line is set at 8.0 runs. The Red Sox and Reds have moderate pitching stats, with ERAs ranked 12th and 16th respectively. My model projects a total score of 8 runs, so the recommendation is to take the push on the over/under line of 8.0.
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Reds’ Rookie Chase Burns Faces Ace Garrett Crochet, Red Sox
The Cincinnati Reds are riding high on a wave of confidence and dramatic victories. They’ll look to keep that momentum going as they open a three-game series in Boston on Monday against a slumping Red Sox team. The series opener features a fantastic pitching matchup, with the Reds’ top prospect making his second career start against Boston’s established ace.
The Burns Encore
All eyes will be on the mound for the Cincinnati Reds as right-hander Chase Burns (0-0, 5.40 ERA) takes the ball. The No. 2 overall pick in last year’s draft was electric in his MLB debut against the Yankees last week, striking out the first five batters he faced and finishing with eight strikeouts over five innings. Now, he gets a chance to build on that exciting performance.
A Tale of Two Trajectories
The two clubs enter this series in completely different form. The Reds have won six of their last seven series and are coming off a thrilling walk-off win over the Padres on Sunday. “Once that momentum and that ball starts rolling, you kind of start looking forward to your opportunity,” said Will Benson, who had the game-winning hit.
The Boston Red Sox, meanwhile, have lost seven of their last eight games. Their offense has struggled to get the big hit, a source of frustration for manager Alex Cora. “You have to cash in,” Cora said. “We had our chances… We just didn’t cash in.”
A Duel of Aces (Present & Future)
Monday’s game features a premier pitching matchup. While the rookie Burns represents the future, the Red Sox will counter with their present-day ace, lefty Garrett Crochet (7-4, 2.06 ERA). Crochet has been one of the best pitchers in the American League this season. However, in a fascinating twist, he has a poor 6.43 career ERA against the Reds. This intriguing history will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.
Can the Reds Stay Hot?
For a hot Reds team, facing a slumping opponent is a great opportunity. For the Red Sox, facing a rookie pitcher could be the spark they need to break out of their offensive funk. How these two MLB teams match up is a key topic in our expert betting guide. To see who our experts think will win this fantastic duel, check out our daily MLB picks.
