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Red Sox vs Tigers Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox locked up their first postseason berth since 2021 with a dramatic walk-off on Friday, but their series with the Detroit Tigers still carries weight. Boston (88-72) will send rookie lefty Connelly Early to the mound Saturday at Fenway Park. Detroit (86-74), losers of 12 of its last 14, needs one more win or a Houston loss to clinch.
The Red Sox, powered by Ceddanne Rafaela’s clutch bat and a top rotation led by Garrett Crochet, have surged down the stretch. Detroit, meanwhile, enters tied with Cleveland atop the AL Central but holds no tiebreaker. That keeps pressure squarely on A.J. Hinch’s club to avoid a collapse.
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Line Movement and Odds
Boston opened near -115 on the moneyline, with Detroit around -105. As of Saturday morning, public money tilted toward the Red Sox, pushing Boston to -125 and the Tigers to +105. The total opened at 8.5 runs and has held steady, though early sharp money leaned under.
You can track live market shifts at the MLB odds page
Matchup Breakdown
Boston has won seven of its last 11 and leads the league with 12 walk-off victories. Rookie bats like Rafaela and veteran adds such as Alex Bregman have balanced the lineup. Early, making his third career start, owns a 1.88 ERA and has shown poise, though pitch counts remain short.
Detroit’s bats went 3-for-13 with runners in scoring position Friday and left 10 men stranded. Riley Greene continues to anchor the offense, while Jahmai Jones has been hot in the leadoff spot. Hinch kept Saturday’s starter open, but Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal is lined up for Sunday if necessary.
Review MLB game results to see how both teams have trended into this series.
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Injuries and Conditions
Boston Red Sox: Roman Anthony (shoulder) remains sidelined. Several bullpen arms have carried heavy usage. See the full Red Sox injury report for updates.
Detroit Tigers: Skubal is healthy but could be held back if Detroit clinches. Check the Tigers injury report before placing action.
Weather in Boston calls for temps in the low 70s with mild wind out to left, slightly boosting right-handed pull hitters.
Best Bets and Prediction
Boston has covered in four of its last six at home. Detroit is 2-12 over its last 14 overall. With Boston locked into October and Detroit still desperate, urgency favors the Tigers, but bullpen trust is shaky.
Projection: Red Sox 5, Tigers 4
Best Bet: Under 8.5 runs
Lean: Red Sox moneyline if price stays -125 or lower.
ScoresAndStats Handicappers and Picks
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