Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals Picks and Predictions August 5th 2025

Boston Red Sox vs Kansas City Royals August 5th 2025

The Kansas City Royals will visit the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. The game is set for Tuesday, August 5, 2025, at 7:10 PM. The Royals have a record of 56-57 and are ranked third in the AL Central.

The Red Sox hold a record of 63-51, placing them second in the AL East. They are on a six-game winning streak. The Royals’ starting pitcher is Ryan Bergert, while the Red Sox will have Garrett Crochet on the mound.

Royals vs Red Sox Key Information

The Royals Can Win If…

The Kansas City Royals recently played against the Boston Red Sox and lost 8-5. They had a strong offensive showing with 12 hits, including 6 extra-base hits and 2 home runs. Maikel Garcia and Vinnie Pasquantino each contributed a home run, showcasing their power at the plate.

One reason the Royals can win is their ability to hit doubles. They rank 2nd in the league with 203 doubles this season. Their lineup includes consistent hitters like Maikel Garcia, who has a batting average of .298, and Bobby Witt Jr., who leads the team with 69 runs.

Ryan Bergert will start for the Royals, bringing an ERA of 2.78. With a WHIP of 1.18, he has shown control on the mound. If he keeps the Red Sox bats in check, the Royals have a good chance to take the game.

The Red Sox Can Win If…

The Boston Red Sox are coming off a win against the Kansas City Royals, with an 8-5 score. Brayan Bello pitched six innings, allowing one unearned run and striking out five. Jarren Duran hit a home run and drove in three runs, showing his ability to impact the game.

Boston’s offense ranks high in several categories this season. They have the fourth-best batting average at .254 and lead the league in doubles with 235. Their ability to get on base and score runs makes them a tough team to beat.

Garrett Crochet is set to start for the Red Sox with a 2.23 ERA and a 12-4 record. His strong performance on the mound gives Boston a solid chance to continue their winning streak. With players like Trevor Story and Alex Bregman contributing, the Red Sox have multiple ways to secure a win.

The Lean

The Red Sox are favored to win with a moneyline of -239. My model projects a score of Red Sox 5, Royals 3. The Red Sox have a stronger batting lineup and a solid pitching staff, which supports this pick.

The total for the game is set at 8.0. My model projects a combined score of 8, suggesting a push. However, given the Red Sox’s batting and the Royals’ pitching, the over 8.0 (-109) might be worth considering.

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Fun Returns to Fenway as Red-Hot Red Sox Host Mistake-Prone Royals

The Boston Red Sox are playing with a swagger and a confidence that has been missing from Fenway Park for years. Riding a six-game winning streak and in the midst of an incredible run of dominance at home, the Boston Red Sox will look to make it seven in a row on Tuesday night as they continue their three-game series against the visiting Kansas City Royals. For Boston, it’s about continuing to build momentum and solidifying their place in the American League playoff race. For Kansas City, it’s about finding a way to stop beating themselves.

“Making Fenway Fun Again”

There is a palpable energy and excitement around the Red Sox, a feeling that has been building for the past month. The team has won seven of its last eight games and has been particularly dominant at home, where they are an incredible 13-1 in their last 14 contests. Their 38-21 home record is one of the best in all of Major League Baseball. According to manager Alex Cora, the difference this year is a combination of health, talent, and a newfound edge.

“We have a complete team. Guys are playing with an edge now. You can tell,” Cora said. “This place (Fenway Park) — it’s fun. It’s fun again.”

That fun has been fueled by a confident and deep lineup that is playing an aggressive, intelligent brand of baseball. In Monday’s 8-5 victory, they exploded for a five-run first inning, putting immediate pressure on the opposition. “We’re not chasing as much, we’re not striking out,” Cora explained. “We’re putting the ball in play. We’re running the bases extremely well, too… and that puts pressure on the opposition.” That pressure and the energy from the home crowd have become a potent combination. “When we’re rolling, this place is another weapon for us,” said outfielder Jarren Duran. “It’s just been awesome to see the fans get behind us and help us with this push.”

The table below provides a snapshot of how dominant the Red Sox have been at home compared to the Royals’ struggles on the road. For a full recap of their most recent games, you can check the official MLB game results.

The Little Things That Cost Big Games

While the Red Sox are executing the fundamentals at a high level, the Royals are being undone by costly mental mistakes. In Monday’s loss, they had mounted a furious rally in the eighth inning, cutting an 8-1 deficit to 8-5. With two outs and runners on the corners, they had a chance to bring the go-ahead run to the plate. Instead, baserunner Nick Loftin was thrown out at home after running through a stop sign from his third base coach, ending the inning and the rally. It was a single play that encapsulated their recent frustrations.

“You gotta understand the game situation at that point,” a frustrated manager Matt Quatraro said. “He’s trying to be aggressive. He probably got a little carried away… When you’re down by three and you’re getting the go-ahead run to the plate right there, you gotta stay at third. It’s a mental mistake and he won’t make that again.” These are the kinds of fundamental breakdowns that separate winning and losing teams, a key topic for any bettor and one often explored in our expert betting guide.

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The Pitching Matchup: An Ace vs. a New Face

Tuesday night’s pitching matchup features one of the best pitchers in the American League against a rookie making his debut with a new team. The Red Sox will send their ace, left-hander Garrett Crochet (12-4, 2.23 ERA), to the mound. Crochet has been a dominant force all season and has had great success against the Royals in his career.

The Royals will counter with rookie right-hander Ryan Bergert (1-0, 2.78), who will be making his Kansas City debut. Bergert was acquired from the San Diego Padres at the trade deadline last week and will be thrown immediately into the fire against a red-hot Red Sox lineup in a hostile environment.

The Betting Outlook

The scores and odds for this matchup will heavily favor the red-hot home team. The Red Sox are playing with a massive amount of confidence, their ace is on the mound, and their record at Fenway Park is elite. For more in-depth analysis of this and other games, you can view all of our MLB previews. To see who our experts are backing in this clash, check out our daily MLB picks. To get access to even more premium content and betting tools, you can register for an account today.