Boston Red Sox vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Predictions May 4th 2025

Series Stakes at Fenway

The Red Sox aim to avoid consecutive series losses as Garrett Crochet takes the mound in Sunday’s rubber game against a Twins squad that evened the set with a 4–3 win Saturday. Minnesota thrives when reaching four runs, a threshold the club has met in each victory this season.

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Crochet’s Command

Garrett Crochet (3–2, 2.05 ERA) delivered seven innings of two-run ball with six strikeouts in his last outing, answering a rough patch against Seattle by showcasing the control and aggression that have made him Boston’s ace. He’ll look to replicate that mastery against a lineup that battles through tight contests.

Twins’ Offensive Threshold

Minnesota sits at 14–3 when scoring four or more runs but 0–17 when they don’t, highlighting the importance of timely hitting. Saturday’s sixth-inning homer by Kody Clemens—his first at Fenway—underscored the Twins’ knack for seizing momentum in crunch time.

Adjustment After Casas Loss

First baseman Triston Casas is out for the season with a ruptured patellar tendon, thrusting Romy Gonzalez into the spotlight. Gonzalez went 3-for-4 Saturday, but Boston admits it may explore multiple solutions as it retools the lineup on the fly.

Betting Angle

With two pitchers skilled at limiting damage, early unders on total runs carry value before the bullpens enter. For more strategic angles and prop plays, check out our MLB Picks Today.

Scoreline Forecast

Expect Crochet to navigate six shutout innings, but Minnesota’s four-run days make for a pendulum swing late.