Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks and Predictions June 9th 2025

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays June 9th 2025

The Tampa Bay Rays travel to Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox on Monday, June 9, 2025. The game is set for a 7:10 PM start under the night sky, with a mild breeze and broken clouds. Fans can catch the action on FDSSU.

Kevin Cash leads the Rays, who hold a 35-30 record this season. They are 4 games back in the AL East. On the other side, Alex Cora’s Red Sox have a 32-35 record, trailing by 8 games in the same division. Shane Baz will start for the Rays, while Brayan Bello takes the mound for the Red Sox.

Rays vs Red Sox Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
• Venue: Fenway Park in Boston, MA
• Date: Monday, June 9, 2025
• Betting Odds: Rays MoneyLine -106, Red Sox MoneyLine -113

The Rays Can Win If…

The Tampa Bay Rays recently won against the Miami Marlins with a score of 3-2. Drew Rasmussen pitched six innings, allowing two runs and striking out three. Yandy Díaz was a key player, going 3-for-4 with a home run and two RBIs.

The Rays have shown strength in their pitching, with a team ERA of 3.43, which ranks 6th in the league. Their defense is also solid, with a batting average against of .233, ranking 8th. The team is first in quality starts with 32, showing consistency from their starters.

Offensively, Junior Caminero leads with 15 home runs, ranking 8th in the league. The team also leads in stolen bases with 86, which adds pressure on opposing defenses. With Shane Baz starting, the Rays have a good chance to continue their winning ways against the Boston Red Sox.

The Red Sox Can Win If…

The Boston Red Sox come into this game after a strong performance against the New York Yankees. They won 11-7, with key contributions from Abraham Toro, who had a home run and two doubles. Carlos Narváez also added a home run, driving in three runs, while Trevor Story contributed with two hits and a home run.

The Red Sox have been hitting well this season, with a team batting average of .254, ranking them 6th in the league. They are 2nd in doubles with 120, which shows their ability to get extra-base hits. Their slugging percentage of .416 also ranks 6th, indicating they can score runs in bunches.

Brayan Bello will be on the mound for the Red Sox. He has a solid ERA of 3.91 and has shown he can keep opposing hitters in check. With the Red Sox’s strong offense and Bello’s pitching, they have a good chance to win this game against the Tampa Bay Rays.

Ready to cash in on your baseball knowledge? Check out today's top MLB picks and predictions from the pros!

The Lean

The Rays are the underdog with a moneyline of -106, while the Red Sox are favored at -113. The Rays have a stronger pitching lineup with a 3.43 ERA, ranking 6th, compared to the Red Sox’s 4.00 ERA, which ranks 20th. My model projects the Rays to win with a score of 5-4, so the recommendation is to pick the Rays to win straight up.

The total for the game is set at 9.0 runs. The Red Sox have a higher slugging percentage at .416, ranking 6th, which could lead to more runs. My model projects a total of 9 runs, so the recommendation is to take the over.

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Red Sox Heating Up in Time for Tough Rays Series

After a gritty and much-needed series win over the New York Yankees, the Boston Red Sox are coming home with swagger. It’s been a turbulent start to the season, riddled with injuries and tight losses, leaving Boston trailing in the competitive AL East. But that Bronx boost might be the spark they needed.

Sunday’s 11-7 finale wasn’t just a win—it was a declaration. Boston’s offense exploded for 12 hits, making it four straight games with at least six runs. Back-to-back double-digit run games? That’s the kind of fire this team needed.

With key names like Alex Bregman missing, others have stepped up in a big way. Carlos Narvaez crushed a go-ahead three-run homer, and Abraham Toro went 3-for-5 with two doubles and his own solo shot. It’s becoming clear—this team’s depth is showing up.

Then there’s rookie Marcelo Mayer. Still adjusting, sure, but his Friday homer and pinch-hit Saturday show promise. Manager Alex Cora is playing the long game, assuring Mayer his time as an everyday threat is coming.

On the mound, Brayan Bello (2-1, 3.91 ERA) is looking to keep the train rolling. After a rough May, he turned things around with six solid innings against the Angels. He gave up three runs and struck out four—but most importantly, he looked in control again. Bello’s history with the Tampa Bay Rays is a bit rocky though, with a 5.73 ERA over seven appearances.

Rays Are Rolling, and Fenway Is Next

Tampa Bay isn’t just good—they’re sizzling. The Rays just wrapped a 5-1 homestand, including a tight 3-2 win over the Miami Marlins. That’s six straight series wins or splits, and since May 20, they’re 14-4—the best mark in the league.

Yandy Diaz? On fire. He went 3-for-4 Sunday with a game-tying homer and a double. His baserunning and defense are just as sharp. Then there’s Jose Caballero, who stole third and scored the game-winner—classic Rays chaos in action.

Shane Baz gets the ball for Tampa. Last time he faced Boston? Six innings, one run, 11 strikeouts. He’s 3-0 in three starts against the Sox with a 2.37 ERA and 24 Ks in just 19 innings. That’s domination.

This clash at Fenway could shift momentum in the AL East. If Boston’s offense keeps cooking and Bello brings his best, it might just be another memorable night at the park.

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