Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks and Predictions June 10th 2025

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays June 10th 2025

The Tampa Bay Rays will visit the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on Tuesday, June 10, 2025. The game will start at 7:10 PM and will be broadcast on NESN. Fans can expect mild weather with light rain during this night game.

The Rays, with a record of 36-30, are currently 4 games behind in the AL East. They will have Ryan Pepiot on the mound, who has an ERA of 3.20. The Red Sox, holding a 32-36 record and 9 games back, will counter with Lucas Giolito, who has an ERA of 6.42. Both teams are looking to improve their standings in the division.

Rays vs Red Sox Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
• Venue: Fenway Park in Boston, MA
• Date: Tuesday, June 10, 2025
• Betting Odds: Rays MoneyLine -116, Red Sox MoneyLine -104

The Rays Can Win If…

The Tampa Bay Rays are coming off a high-scoring win against the Boston Red Sox, 10-8. Yandy Díaz played well, going 2 for 4 with two runs. Shane Baz pitched 5 1/3 innings, allowing three earned runs while striking out five.

The Rays have strong stats that show they can win. They have the best stolen base record in the league with 86 steals. Their earned run average (ERA) of 3.43 ranks sixth, showing solid pitching performances this season.

Ryan Pepiot will start for the Rays with an ERA of 3.20. His WHIP of 1.13 indicates he limits base runners well. With Pepiot on the mound and a lineup featuring Junior Caminero and Jonathan Aranda, the Rays have a good chance to secure another win.

The Red Sox Can Win If…

The Boston Red Sox are coming off a close 10-8 loss to the Tampa Bay Rays. Despite the loss, the Red Sox showcased their hitting strength with 10 hits, including four extra-base hits. Key players like Abraham Toro and Ceddanne Rafaela contributed with multiple hits, showing they can produce runs.

Boston’s offense has been strong this season, with a team batting average of .254, ranking them 6th in the league. Their slugging percentage of .416 also ranks 6th, indicating their ability to hit for power. With 120 doubles, they hold the 2nd spot in the league, showing their knack for extra-base hits.

Rafael Devers is a key player to watch, with a batting average of .285 and 12 home runs. Alex Bregman adds to the lineup’s depth, hitting .299 with 11 home runs. With hitters like these, the Red Sox have the potential to put up big numbers against any opponent.

The Lean

The Rays are favored with a moneyline of -116 against the Red Sox at -104. The Rays have a strong pitching lineup with a 3.43 ERA, ranked 6th, which gives them an edge. My model projects the Rays to win with a score of 5-4. Based on these factors, the recommendation is to pick the Rays to win straight up.

The over/under line is set at 9.5 runs. The Red Sox have a higher slugging percentage and rank 6th in this category, which could lead to more scoring. My model projects a total score of 9 runs. Given the current line, the recommendation is to take the under 9.5.

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Red Sox, Facing Rays, Search for First Win of Roman Anthony Era

The Boston Red Sox are ready for the Roman Anthony era to really kick off as they continue a three-game series against the visiting Tampa Bay Rays on Tuesday night. While the No. 1 overall prospect according to MLB.com made his big-league debut on Monday, the Red Sox couldn’t secure the win, falling 10-8 in 11 innings to a surging Tampa Bay squad.

Anthony went 0-for-4 with a walk and an RBI after being recalled from Triple-A Worcester, but his debut, alongside fellow youngsters Kristian Campbell and Marcelo Mayer, offered an exciting glimpse into the Red Sox’s future. Boston manager Alex Cora expressed his excitement, noting, “We’re excited. It’s a big day for the organization. He’s going to swing at strikes. That’s the key, right? That’s his mantra, and he’s going to continue to do that here.” At just 21 years and 27 days old, Anthony became the youngest Boston player promoted since Rafael Devers in 2017. Anthony himself shared his enthusiasm, saying, “The feeling is just more excitement — it’s more knowing that you’re ready and just trusting in my ability to go out there and have fun.”

Giolito Hopes for Bounce-Back Start

Despite Anthony’s debut, the Red Sox couldn’t find a win, battling late but losing for the eighth time in 12 extra-inning games this season. With Anthony gaining comfort in the lineup, the Red Sox will be hoping for a bounce-back start from Lucas Giolito (1-1, 6.42 ERA). Giolito lasted just 1 2/3 innings in his Wednesday start against the Los Angeles Angels, allowing seven runs. He hasn’t recorded a win since May 11 against the Kansas City Royals, taking no-decisions in his last four outings. In eight career starts versus Tampa Bay, however, he boasts a strong 2-1 record with a 2.70 ERA.

Rays on a Roll with Historic Debut

The Rays, meanwhile, are on a roll, winning back-to-back games and six of their past seven to move six games above .500 for the first time since the end of 2023. Jake Mangum was a key offensive force on Monday, going 4-for-6 with two RBIs, including an 11th-inning RBI single. But the real showstopper was Connecticut native Ian Seymour, who delivered a historic major league debut in extras.

Rays manager Kevin Cash praised the 26-year-old lefty, saying, “The pitchability stands out.” Seymour became just the third major league pitcher since 1901 to debut and earn a win in extra innings while throwing at least two hitless, earned-run-free innings. “I don’t know if I could script it any better, truly,” Seymour marveled. “Pretty special moment that I certainly won’t ever forget.” It was a critical performance for a taxed Tampa Bay bullpen, playing extra innings for the second time in three days.

Pepiot Pitches for Tampa Bay

Tampa Bay righty Ryan Pepiot (3-5, 3.20 ERA) will start for the Rays. He’s taken tough-luck no-decisions in his past two starts since earning a May 25 win over the Toronto Blue Jays. Pepiot has been sharp recently, allowing just two runs and five hits across 12 2/3 innings in his last two outings, most recently working six innings of two-run ball with eight strikeouts on Thursday against the Texas Rangers. Against the Red Sox, Pepiot is 0-2 with a 4.95 ERA in four career starts.

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