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Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays June 11th 2025
The Tampa Bay Rays will take on the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on Wednesday, June 11, 2025. The game is set to start at 7:10 PM and will be broadcast on NESN. Fans can expect clear skies and a mild breeze during this night game.
The Rays, managed by Kevin Cash, come into the game with a 36-31 record. They are five games back in the AL East. On the other side, the Red Sox, led by Alex Cora, have a 33-36 record and are nine games back in the division. Tampa Bay’s Zack Littell, with a 3.68 ERA, will pitch against Boston’s Walker Buehler, who has a 5.18 ERA.
Rays vs Red Sox Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
- Venue: Fenway Park in Boston, MA
- Date: Wednesday, June 11, 2025
- Betting Odds: Rays MoneyLine -105, Red Sox MoneyLine -114
The Rays Can Win If…
The Tampa Bay Rays are looking to bounce back after their recent 3-1 loss to the Boston Red Sox. In that game, Ryan Pepiot pitched 5 2/3 innings, striking out nine batters. Despite the loss, Yandy Díaz managed to drive in the team’s only run, showing his ability to contribute even in tough games.
The Rays have several reasons to feel confident about their chances in the upcoming game. They rank first in the league with 95 stolen bases, showing their speed on the bases. Additionally, their pitching staff has a solid ERA of 3.53, ranked 8th in the league, which can help keep the Red Sox bats in check.
Zack Littell will be starting on the mound for the Rays. He has a decent ERA of 3.68 and a WHIP of 1.09, which indicates his ability to control the game. With hitters like Junior Caminero, who leads the team with 15 home runs, the Rays have the firepower to challenge the Red Sox defense.
The Red Sox Can Win If…
The Boston Red Sox recently won against the Tampa Bay Rays, 3-1. Lucas Giolito pitched six strong innings, allowing only one unearned run. Trevor Story contributed with a home run, while Roman Anthony added a key double, driving in two runs.
The Red Sox have a solid hitting lineup, ranking first in doubles with 133 this season. Their batting average of .255 is fifth in the league, showing they can consistently get on base. Rafael Devers leads the team with 14 home runs and 57 RBIs, making him a key player to watch.
Walker Buehler will start for the Red Sox with a 4-4 record. Although his ERA is 5.18, his experience can be valuable. The Red Sox bullpen ranks eighth in strikeouts, which can help secure a win if the game is close late.
The Lean
The Rays are the underdog with a moneyline of -105, while the Red Sox are favored at -114. Despite the odds, the Rays have a strong pitching staff with a 3.53 ERA, ranked 8th. The Red Sox’s pitching ranks 22nd with a 4.10 ERA. My model projects the Rays to win with a score of 5-4, making them the pick for this game.
The over/under line is set at 10.0. The Red Sox have a solid offense, with a .255 batting average ranked 5th. The Rays have a .245 average, ranked 12th. Considering both teams’ hitting and pitching stats, my model projects a total score of 9. I recommend taking the under for this game.
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Pitching Contrast Defines Rays-Red Sox Finale
It all comes down to this. The Tampa Bay Rays and Boston Red Sox face off Wednesday night in a rubber match defined by a stark contrast on the pitcher’s mound. The Rays are sending out their hottest arm, while the Red Sox are hoping their high-priced acquisition can find his form.
The Unstoppable Zack Littell
Let’s talk about the run Zack Littell is on for the Rays. After a rough start to the season, he has been nearly untouchable, going a perfect 6-0 with a 2.79 ERA over his last eight starts. This isn’t an isolated event; Tampa Bay’s entire rotation has been dominant, allowing more than three earned runs just twice in the last 18 games.
“It seems like every start we get, we’re in the ballgame,” Rays manager Kevin Cash said. “They’ve been really good, and the bullpen for the most part has been pretty lockdown as well.”
Boston’s Youthful Spark
The Red Sox are riding a wave of excitement after a feel-good 3-1 win on Tuesday. The big moment came from baseball’s top prospect, Roman Anthony, who smashed a two-run double for his first career MLB hit. Add in Trevor Story’s recent hot streak (9-for-19 in his last four games), and there’s a buzz in Boston that the team hopes can carry over. The performance of young stars like Anthony is a hot topic among all MLB teams.
The Big Question Mark: Walker Buehler
The challenge for the Red Sox is their scheduled starter, right-hander Walker Buehler (4-4, 5.18 ERA). Since returning from the injured list, he has struggled mightily, getting shelled for seven runs in just two innings his last time out. A former world champion with the Dodgers, Buehler was brutally honest about his performance since signing a big contract with Boston.
“This organization put a lot of faith in me this offseason, and I’ve been (expletive) embarrassing for us,” Buehler said.
This pitching matchup creates a fascinating scenario, and you can see how it affects the lines on our scores and odds page. For deeper analysis on how to approach a game with such a volatile pitching situation, check out our expert betting guide. And to see who the pros are backing in this finale, take a look at our daily MLB picks.
