Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks and Predictions July 11th 2025

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays MLB Fri, Jul 11, 18:10 pm.
Boston Red Sox
ML: -110
0
0
Tampa Bay Rays
ML: -110
Last Updated on

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays July 11th

The Tampa Bay Rays will play against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on Friday, July 11, 2025. The game will start at 7:10 PM and will be broadcast on NESN. The weather forecast predicts a warm night with a light breeze and broken clouds.

The Rays, managed by Kevin Cash, have a season record of 50-44. They stand 4 games behind in the AL East. On the other side, the Red Sox, led by Alex Cora, hold a record of 50-45 and are 5 games behind in the division. Drew Rasmussen will start for the Rays, while Hunter Dobbins will take the mound for the Red Sox.

Rays vs Red Sox Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
  • Venue: Fenway Park in Boston, MA
  • Date: Friday, July 11, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Rays Moneyline -109, Red Sox Moneyline -109, Rays Runline -1.5 (+143), Red Sox Runline +1.5 (-173), Total Over 9.0 (-106), Total Under 9.0 (-113)

The Rays Can Win If…

The Tampa Bay Rays recently played against the Boston Red Sox and narrowly lost 4-3. Taj Bradley pitched six innings, giving up just two hits and one earned run. Junior Caminero and Ha-Seong Kim both hit home runs, showing their power at the plate.

The Rays have a strong lineup with a league-best batting average of .260. They are also ranked first in stolen bases with 122, which can help them gain extra bases and score runs. Their pitching staff holds a solid 3.79 ERA, ranked 11th, which can keep games close.

Key players like Junior Caminero and Jonathan Aranda are performing well this season. Caminero leads the team with 23 home runs, while Aranda has a batting average of .326. With Drew Rasmussen starting, who has a 2.82 ERA, the Rays have a good chance to win the next game.

The Red Sox Can Win If…

The Boston Red Sox are coming off a 4-3 win against the Tampa Bay Rays. Walker Buehler pitched six innings, allowing three runs. Ceddanne Rafaela led the offense with two hits and two RBIs.

The Red Sox have a solid hitting lineup, ranking first in doubles with 192 this season. Their batting average of .256 ranks fourth in the league. Players like Trevor Story and Carlos Narváez have been consistent at the plate.

Hunter Dobbins will start for the Red Sox, holding a 4.10 ERA and a 4-1 record. The team has 41 quality starts this season, ranking sixth. With strong pitching and hitting, the Red Sox are well-positioned to win the game.

The Lean

The game between the Rays and the Red Sox has both teams at -109 on the moneyline. The Rays have a slightly better batting average and pitching stats, which gives them a small edge. My model projects the Rays to win with a score of 5-4.

The total for the game is set at 9.0. Both teams have strong offenses, with the Red Sox leading in home runs and doubles. Given these factors, my model projects a total score of 9. I recommend taking the over at 9.0 (-106).

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Red-Hot Red Sox Look for 8th Straight Win in Clash vs. Rays

The Boston Red Sox are brimming with confidence and finding new ways to win every night. Riding a season-best seven-game winning streak, the Boston Red Sox will look to make it eight in a row on Friday night as they continue their four-game series against the visiting Tampa Bay Rays.

“We Never Lose Hope”

The Red Sox have become masters of the comeback. Thursday’s 4-3 victory was their 19th comeback win of the season, a testament to their resilience. The hero was center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela, who delivered the decisive two-run single in a three-run seventh inning.

“That’s the type of team we are; we never lose hope, and we always battle,” Rafaela said. “It was a battle (on Thursday) — and we won the battle.”
-Ceddanne Rafaela

Reinforcements Arriving

The hot streak is happening even as the Red Sox get healthier. The team is expected to activate right-hander Hunter Dobbins (4-1, 4.10 ERA) from the injured list to make Friday’s start. They also expect their star third baseman to return from a quad strain this weekend, adding another key bat to the lineup.

“We’re deeper than other years,” Boston manager Alex Cora said. “You feel like… if something happens, somebody will be here and do the job.”

A Boston Red Sox player in team apparel speaks into a microphone on the field, with fans visible in the background.

A Duel of Returning Arms

Friday’s pitching matchup features two talented right-handers who are both working their way back from injuries. While Dobbins makes his return for Boston, the Rays will start their ace, Drew Rasmussen (7-5, 2.82 ERA). Rasmussen is still on a limited workload after his third major elbow surgery and has been “tag-teaming” with another pitcher in his recent appearances. This unique pitching strategy will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.

Rays’ Bullpen Woes

The Rays have lost five of their last seven games, and a struggling bullpen has been a major issue. Their relievers have a 7.20 ERA over the past two weeks, and newly acquired reliever Bryan Baker took the loss in his team debut on Thursday. How teams navigate bullpen struggles is a key topic in our expert betting guide. For two MLB teams fighting for position in the AL East, this series is crucial. To see if our experts think the Red Sox streak will continue, check out our daily MLB picks.

spread
moneyline
over/under
Boston Red Sox
-
-
-110
O 8.5
-137
Tampa Bay Rays
-
-
-110
U 8.5
110
Mike Williams
Mike Williams | Handicapper

Free Pick found on BestBettor.com. Mike Williams is part of SportsCapping Group.

Mike uses his strong sports knowledge to analyze all the angles to find the most profitable wagers. Iron Mike handicaps MLB, college football, NFL, NBA, and NCAA basketball. I'm an actual sports and gambling junkie!

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