Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks and Predictions July 13th 2025

Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays July 13th 2025

The Tampa Bay Rays will visit the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on Sunday, July 13, 2025. The game is set for an afternoon start at 1:35 PM and will be broadcast on FDSSU. The weather is expected to be warm with scattered clouds and a calm crosswind.

The Rays, managed by Kevin Cash, have a season record of 50-46. They are currently six games behind in the AL East. On the mound for the Rays will be Ryan Pepiot, who has a 3.32 ERA. The Red Sox, led by manager Alex Cora, have a record of 52-45 and are four games back in the division. Brayan Bello, with a 3.27 ERA, will start for Boston. Fenway Park’s home field advantage could play a role, as the Red Sox have a strong home record of 31-20.

Rays vs Red Sox Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
• Venue: Fenway Park in Boston, MA
• Date: Sunday, July 13, 2025
• Betting Odds: Rays Moneyline +110, Red Sox Moneyline -129, Rays Runline +1.5 (-189), Red Sox Runline -1.5 (+157), Total Over 9.0 (-106), Total Under 9.0 (-114)

The Rays Can Win If…

The Tampa Bay Rays are looking to bounce back after a close 0-1 loss against the Boston Red Sox. Shane Baz pitched 6 1/3 innings, giving up only one earned run. Yandy Díaz, Curtis Mead, and Taylor Walls each managed a hit in the game.

The Rays have a solid batting average of .258, ranking third in the league. Their speed on the bases is a key factor, leading the league with 123 stolen bases. Jonathan Aranda is hitting .327, which can spark the offense in the upcoming game.

Ryan Pepiot will take the mound with a respectable ERA of 3.32. His ability to limit opponents to a .236 batting average is crucial. With the Rays’ pitching staff ranked sixth in batting average against, they have the tools to keep the Red Sox hitters in check.

The Red Sox Can Win If…

The Boston Red Sox secured a tight 1-0 win against the Tampa Bay Rays in their most recent game. Garrett Crochet was outstanding on the mound, pitching a complete game with nine strikeouts and allowing just three hits. Roman Anthony scored the only run, showcasing the team’s ability to win close games.

The Red Sox have been performing well offensively, ranking fifth in batting average and first in doubles this season. Their slugging percentage is also strong, placing fifth in the league. This offensive depth gives them the tools needed to put runs on the board against any opponent.

Brayan Bello will take the mound for the Red Sox, bringing a solid ERA of 3.27 into the game. His ability to limit home runs, with the team ranking third in fewest home runs allowed, is a key factor. With a strong lineup and effective pitching, the Red Sox have a good chance of continuing their winning streak.

Red Sox Aim to Cap First Half with 10th Straight Win

On the verge of their longest winning streak since their championship 2018 season, the Boston Red Sox enter Sunday’s series finale against the Tampa Bay Rays with a shot at a 10th straight victory — and major momentum heading into the All-Star break.

Boston has been firing on all cylinders, outscoring opponents by 43 runs during the current streak. Their offense has been relentless, averaging over seven runs per game over the nine wins. But it’s been timely defense and clutch pitching that have sealed the series against the Rays.

Track all MLB scores and betting odds in real-time to see how the streak is influencing the market.

Crochet’s Masterpiece Keeps Momentum Rolling

Garrett Crochet delivered a dominant, complete-game effort on Saturday — the first of his career — shutting out the Rays 1-0 and clinching the series win. The Red Sox defense came through in the clutch, including Abraham Toro’s pinpoint throw to cut down a runner at home in the sixth inning, preserving the lead.

Crochet credited his battery mate Carlos Narvaez for the game-calling and his infielders for their support: “I felt really good. Nice to keep the streak going, too,” said the left-hander.

Boston has now won three consecutive one-run games against Tampa Bay in this series, showing the resilience that’s defined their midseason turnaround. The win also gives the Sox a chance to sweep the series and build serious separation in the MLB standings before the break.

Bello Looks to Follow Crochet’s Lead in Finale

The Red Sox hand the ball to Brayan Bello (5-3, 3.27 ERA), who will look to mirror Crochet’s efficiency. While Bello has had success this season, his history against Tampa Bay remains a concern, holding a 2-4 record and a 5.52 ERA in eight career starts vs. the Rays.

He’ll face Tampa’s Ryan Pepiot (6-6, 3.32 ERA), who has struggled against Boston. In five previous starts against the Red Sox, Pepiot has gone 0-3 with a 4.91 ERA.

Need expert MLB analysis and picks? Dive into MLB predictions and insights for today’s top bets.

Rays Limp Toward the Break as Red Sox Surge

The Tampa Bay Rays have now lost 10 of their last 13 and sit at 2-7 on their current 10-game road trip. The team had just three hits on Saturday and failed to record a baserunner after the sixth inning. Despite manager Kevin Cash praising Crochet’s 80% strike rate and command, the Rays’ inability to capitalize on chances has defined their slide.

Taylor Walls, thrown out at the plate on Ha-Seong Kim’s bunt, summed up the frustration: “If I do what I’m supposed to do, I’m safe 100 percent of the time.” It was another squandered opportunity for a Rays team that has lacked the sharpness of past seasons.

Get Closer to the Game – Join Now!

Handicapping Membership

Get Free Trial

The Lean

The Red Sox are favored to win with a moneyline of -129. The Rays have a moneyline of +110. My model projects the Red Sox to win with a score of 5-4. The Red Sox have a higher slugging percentage and rank better in home runs, which may give them the edge.

The total for the game is set at 9.0 runs. My model predicts a combined score of 9 runs. Both teams have solid pitching, with ERAs ranked 11th and 12th. This suggests the game might stay around the set total. The recommendation is to consider the under at 9.0 (-114).