Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Picks and Predictions June 28th 2025

Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays June 28th 2025

The Toronto Blue Jays will play against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on Saturday, June 28, 2025. The game is set to begin at 4:10 PM and will be broadcast on NESN. Fans can expect mild weather with a light breeze, although there might be some light rain during the afternoon.

The Blue Jays, managed by John Schneider, come into this game with a 44-37 record. They are 3 games behind in the AL East. Chris Bassitt, with a 3.61 ERA, will start for Toronto. The Red Sox, led by Alex Cora, have a 40-43 record and are 8 games behind in the division. Lucas Giolito, who has a 4.53 ERA, will pitch for Boston. Fenway Park provides the setting for this AL East division game.

Blue Jays vs Red Sox Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox
• Venue: Fenway Park in Boston, MA
• Date: Saturday, June 28, 2025
• Betting Odds: Blue Jays MoneyLine -130, Red Sox MoneyLine +109

The Blue Jays Can Win If…

The Toronto Blue Jays are coming off a strong win against the Boston Red Sox, taking the game 9-0. José Berríos led the way with an outstanding performance, pitching seven innings and allowing no runs. George Springer and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. were key contributors with multiple hits and runs.

The Blue Jays have a solid batting average of .258, ranking second in the league. Their on-base percentage is also strong at .325, placing them fifth. This consistent hitting could give them an edge in their next game.

Chris Bassitt will be on the mound for the Blue Jays, bringing a 3.61 ERA and a 7-3 record. His pitching could be crucial against the Red Sox’s lineup. With the Blue Jays’ recent form and Bassitt’s reliable performance, they have a good chance to secure another win.

The Red Sox Can Win If…

The Boston Red Sox are looking to bounce back after a tough 0-9 loss to the Toronto Blue Jays. In that game, Brayan Bello pitched six innings, allowing three earned runs. Despite the loss, Ceddanne Rafaela and Roman Anthony each managed a hit, showing they can contribute offensively.

Boston’s hitting stats suggest they have the potential to win. They rank first in the league with 150 doubles and are sixth in slugging percentage at .410. These stats indicate that they can generate extra-base hits, which could be key in turning the game in their favor.

Lucas Giolito will be on the mound for the Red Sox. He has a 4.53 ERA and a 3-1 win-loss record, showing he can secure victories. With hitters like Trevor Story and Alex Bregman in the lineup, the Red Sox have the firepower to support Giolito and come out on top.

Toronto Fires on All Cylinders in Series Opener

Friday night’s series opener was all Blue Jays. Toronto tallied 16 hits, drew eight walks, and got seven scoreless innings from José Berríos, cruising to their sixth win in eight meetings with Boston this year.

George Springer and Andrés Giménez each logged three-hit performances, and while Toronto didn’t hit a single home run, their small-ball execution impressed.

“There wasn’t the big over-the-wall shot, but we executed,” Springer said. “That’s what shows what we can do as a team.”

With the win, Toronto moved to seven games over .500 through 81 games—a testament to a resilient squad that has weathered early inconsistencies.

“We’ve had our ups and downs,” Springer added, “but we’re in a good spot now. Guys understand what’s ahead.”

For bettors tracking the Blue Jays’ form, you can dive deeper into streaks, splits, and value lines in our MLB picks and previews.

Red Sox Offense in Crisis During Six-Game Skid

For Boston (43-39), the loss marked their sixth straight defeat, and their second straight game without scoring a run. In their last three games combined, the Red Sox have produced just four total runs.

They were held to four hits and struck out eight times Friday, continuing a stretch of anemic offense that’s now creating clear tension in the clubhouse.

“I think they’re trying as hard as possible,” said manager Alex Cora. “But we need to cash in the few chances we do get.”

Jarren Duran echoed the pressure the hitters feel to break out of the slump.

“It feels a little tense right now,” he said. “We’re pressing. I think we need to get back to quality at-bats instead of trying to force hits.”

Boston was also without rookie Marcelo Mayer, who was placed on the bereavement list before the series opener. The third baseman isn’t expected to return until Monday. Mayer had been filling in for Alex Bregman, currently out with a quad injury.

To track injury updates, lineup changes, and betting angles, check our live MLB scores and odds board.

The Lean

The Blue Jays are favored with a moneyline of -130 against the Red Sox at +109. The Blue Jays have a higher batting average and on-base percentage, which gives them an edge. My model projects the Blue Jays to win with a score of 5-4. I recommend taking the Blue Jays on the moneyline.

The total for the game is set at 9.0 runs. Both teams have solid hitting stats, with the Red Sox leading in doubles and home runs. The Blue Jays’ pitching has a slightly higher ERA. My model projects a total of 9 runs, matching the line. I recommend taking the over for this game.

Pitching Preview: Bassitt vs. Giolito

Saturday’s matchup features a strong duel between two veteran right-handers:

• Chris Bassitt (7-3, 3.61 ERA) will start for Toronto. He’s historically excelled against Boston, going 2-2 with a 2.31 ERA in eight starts. In his April 10 outing, Bassitt allowed one run on five hits across 5 2/3 innings in a 4-3 Toronto win.
• Lucas Giolito (3-1, 4.53 ERA) takes the ball for Boston. He has struggled in his career versus the Blue Jays, with a 2-3 record and a 5.29 ERA across nine starts.

With both pitchers offering contrasting histories against the opponent, today’s matchup could hinge on early command and run support. Stay informed with full staff insights in the MLB betting guide.

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