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Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays June 29th 2025
The Toronto Blue Jays will visit the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park this Sunday. The game is set for an afternoon start at 1:35 PM and will be broadcast on SNET. Fans can expect a warm day with a light breeze and broken clouds overhead.
Toronto enters with a record of 44-38, sitting 3 games back in the AL East. Their road record stands at 19-22. Boston, on the other hand, holds a 41-43 record and is 7 games back in the division. At home, the Red Sox have a 23-18 record. The starting pitchers are Eric Lauer for Toronto and Walker Buehler for Boston.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox
- Venue: Fenway Park in Boston, MA
- Date: Sunday, June 29, 2025
- Betting Odds: Blue Jays MoneyLine -120, Red Sox MoneyLine +101
The Blue Jays Can Win If…
The Toronto Blue Jays are coming off a tough 1-15 loss to the Boston Red Sox. Despite the loss, George Springer managed a hit, and Addison Barger drove in a run. The team will look to bounce back, relying on their strong performances from earlier in the series, including a 9-0 win where José Berríos pitched seven scoreless innings.
Toronto’s batting stats show they have the potential to win. They rank 3rd in batting average at .257 and 4th in on-base percentage at .324. With players like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette contributing with home runs and RBIs, the Blue Jays have the offensive tools to succeed.
Eric Lauer will take the mound for the Blue Jays with a solid ERA of 2.21. His performance could be key against the Red Sox’s Walker Buehler, who has an ERA of 6.29. If Lauer maintains his form, the Blue Jays have a strong chance to secure a win.
The Red Sox Can Win If…
The Boston Red Sox are coming off a dominant 15-1 win over the Toronto Blue Jays. Lucas Giolito was strong on the mound, pitching 7 innings with no earned runs. The offense was led by Wilyer Abreu, who had a home run and 4 RBIs.
The Red Sox have a solid hitting lineup, ranking 1st in the league for doubles with 156. Their team slugging percentage is .415, placing them 6th. With players like Trevor Story and Alex Bregman, they have the ability to score runs quickly.
Walker Buehler is set to start for the Red Sox. While his ERA is 6.29, he has a record of 5-5, showing he can win games. The Red Sox will look to support him with their strong offensive lineup.
The Lean
The Blue Jays are favored with a moneyline of -120 against the Red Sox, who have a moneyline of +101. The Blue Jays have a strong batting average ranked 3rd and a solid on-base percentage ranked 4th. With these stats, the model projects the Blue Jays to win with a score of 5-4.
The total for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Blue Jays’ pitching has an ERA ranked 22nd, while the Red Sox’s pitching has an ERA ranked 18th. Considering both teams’ hitting and pitching stats, the model projects a total score of 9 runs. Therefore, the recommendation is to take the under 9.5.
Ride the Hot Streaks
Daily MLB Betting Edges
Red Sox and Blue Jays Battle in Rubber Match After Trading Blowouts
It has been a series of absolute extremes at Fenway Park. After the Toronto Blue Jays won the opener 9-0, the Boston Red Sox stormed back with a 15-1 victory on Saturday. Now, the two American League East rivals will square off in a decisive rubber match on Sunday afternoon to settle the score.
A Much-Needed Outburst for Boston
Saturday’s offensive explosion was a massive sigh of relief for the Boston Red Sox, who snapped a frustrating six-game losing streak. The team pounded out 18 hits, with Wilyer Abreu, Ceddanne Rafaela, and Romy Gonzalez all hitting home runs. After scoring just nine total runs during their losing streak, the 15-run outburst was a powerful reminder of what their offense is capable of.
“Obviously we needed it, but we’re not panicking,” Boston manager Alex Cora said. “Good job by the boys. They put up good at-bats… There were a lot of positives today. So we’ll take that and try to build off of it for tomorrow.”
Bassitt’s Bizarre Blow-Up
For the Toronto Blue Jays, Saturday’s loss was a strange one, particularly for their starting pitcher, Chris Bassitt. He was shelled for nine runs in just two innings, but his post-game analysis was perplexing.
“I gave up eight hits and I probably wouldn’t change the location on any one of them,” Bassitt said, openly wondering if he was tipping his pitches or being too predictable. “I’ve got to dive into everything.” This kind of self-scouting is a key part of the game, a topic often discussed in our expert betting guide.
A Duel of Pitchers Needing a Rebound
Sunday’s pitching matchup features two arms looking for better results. The Red Sox will start right-hander Walker Buehler (5-5, 6.29 ERA), who is coming off a disastrous start where he walked seven batters. While he’s struggling with his command, he has an excellent 0.68 career ERA against the Blue Jays.
Toronto will counter with lefty Eric Lauer (4-1, 2.21 ERA), who has been solid this season. This intriguing matchup will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.
The Decider
This rubber match between two powerful but inconsistent MLB teams is anyone’s guess. To see who our experts think will win the series, check out our daily MLB picks.
