Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Picks and Predictions August 1st 2025

Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves Baseball Fri, Aug 1, 11:40 am.
Cincinnati Reds
ML: -150
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Atlanta Braves
ML: 120
Last Updated on

The Atlanta Braves will take on the Cincinnati Reds at the Great American Ball Park. The Braves have a record of 46-62 and are ranked fourth in the NL East. They recently ended a losing streak with a win, but their last ten games show a 3-7 record.

The Reds, with a 57-53 record, are third in the NL Central. They have split their last ten games evenly at 5-5. The game is set for Friday, August 1, 2025, at 12:40 PM, and will be aired on FDSSO. The weather forecast predicts a mild day with broken clouds and a light breeze.

Braves vs Reds Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds
  • Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
  • Date: Friday, August 1, 2025
  • Betting Odds: Braves Moneyline +111, Reds Moneyline -129, Braves Runline +1.5 (-184), Reds Runline -1.5 (+153), Total Over 9.0 (-123), Total Under 9.0 (+103)

The Braves Can Win If…

The Atlanta Braves are coming off a win against the Cincinnati Reds, with a final score of 12-11. Ozzie Albies had a standout performance, going 4 for 6 with 2 runs and 2 RBIs. Sean Murphy also contributed with 2 hits and an RBI, helping the team secure a victory.

The Braves have shown strong batting skills this season, ranking 10th in on-base percentage at .318. They are also third in walks with 390, which helps them get more runners on base. Their ability to draw walks and get on base can be a key factor in winning games.

Bryce Elder will start for the Braves, and while his ERA is 6.29, the team can rely on their batting to support him. The Braves have a solid lineup featuring Matt Olson and Austin Riley, who have combined for 34 home runs this season. With their power hitters, the Braves have the potential to score big and win the game.

The Reds Can Win If…

The Cincinnati Reds are ready to turn things around after a narrow 12-11 loss to the Atlanta Braves. Despite the loss, the Reds’ offense was strong, collecting 17 hits, including 3 home runs. Elly De La Cruz had a standout performance, going 3 for 6 with a home run and 3 RBIs.

One reason the Reds can win is their solid team batting stats. They rank 10th in batting average at .247 and 8th in on-base percentage at .320. With players like Elly De La Cruz and Spencer Steer in the lineup, they have the power to score runs quickly.

Brady Singer will start on the mound for the Reds. He has a 4.60 ERA and has shown his ability to strike out batters with 8 wins this season. Facing the Braves’ starter Bryce Elder, who has an ERA of 6.29, Singer has a good chance to lead the Reds to victory.

The Lean

The Reds are favored with a moneyline of -129, while the Braves are at +111. The Reds have a stronger batting average and on-base percentage, ranking 10th and 8th respectively. Given these stats and the Reds’ home advantage, my pick is the Reds to win. The model projects the Reds to score 5 runs and the Braves 4 runs.

The total for the game is set at 9.0. The Braves and Reds both have mid-ranked slugging percentages, suggesting a moderate scoring game. The model’s projected total is 9 runs. With these factors, the recommendation is to go with the under 9.0 at +103, as the game might not exceed this total.

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Historic Eighth-Inning Mayhem

The series opener Thursday night produced an unforgettable stretch when Atlanta plated eight runs in the top of the eighth, only to see Cincinnati answer with eight consecutive hits—including two three‐run homers—to deadlock the game at 11-11. It marked just the third instance in major league history of both teams scoring at least eight runs in the same inning. For a complete breakdown of how each frame unfolded, see the full game results.

Braves’ Bullpen Breakdowns Continue

Atlanta’s late‐inning collapse mirrored a June 5 meltdown against Arizona, when the bullpen surrendered a 10-4 lead and fell 11-10. These recurring lapses highlight ongoing concerns over depth and late‐game strategy. Analysts can review how such struggles influence run‐line projections in our expert betting guide.

Hayes’ Rollercoaster Debut

New third baseman Ke’Bryan Hayes experienced both frustration and triumph on his first night in Cincinnati. His sixth‐inning error allowed the Braves to tie the game, but he redeemed himself with a three‐run homer in the eighth that ignited the Reds’ comeback effort. His mixed performance underscores why he’s emerging as a key breakout candidate—check his standing among the season’s top performers on the handicappers leaderboard.

Series Stakes and Travel Logistics

Atlanta holds a 4-1 advantage in this season’s head-to-head matchups, securing the series for the fourth time in five years. Friday’s unusual 12:40 p.m. ET start accommodates both clubs’ immediate departures for the MLB Speedway Classic in Bristol, Tenn., where over 85,000 tickets have been sold. For a deeper look at upcoming matchups and their implications, explore our MLB previews.

Friday’s Starting Pitchers

Cincinnati will hand the ball to Brady Singer (8-8, 4.60 ERA), fresh off 7⅓ innings of one‐run ball against Tampa Bay in his season‐long outing. Singer has posted eight quality starts in 21 outings but is 0-3 with a 7.41 ERA in three career starts versus Atlanta. Opposing him is Bryce Elder (4-7, 6.29 ERA), who has struggled to a 10.50 ERA over his last seven starts. For smart wager guidance ahead of the first pitch, see our recommended MLB picks.

Betting and Fan Resources

If you’re looking for tailored recommendations on the money line, run line or over/under, our buy picks service provides in‐depth analysis to help you navigate tonight’s game with confidence.

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