Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks and Predictions July 28th 2025

Cincinnati Reds vs Los Angeles Dodgers July 28th 2025

The Los Angeles Dodgers will visit the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on Monday, July 28, 2025. The game is set to start at 7:10 PM and will be broadcast on FDSOH. The weather forecast predicts a very hot day with a light breeze and overcast clouds.

The Dodgers, managed by Dave Roberts, have a record of 61-45 this season. They have performed well on the road with a 26-24 record. The Reds, led by Terry Francona, hold a 56-50 record and are 6 games back in the NL Central. At home, the Reds have a strong 31-22 record. Starting for the Dodgers is Yoshinobu Yamamoto with a 2.55 ERA, while Chase Burns, with a 6.65 ERA, will pitch for the Reds.

Dodgers vs Reds Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
• Venue: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
• Date: Monday, July 28, 2025
• Betting Odds: Dodgers Moneyline -170, Reds Moneyline +143, Dodgers Runline -1.5 (-108), Reds Runline +1.5 (-112), Total Over 9.0 (-116), Total Under 9.0 (-104)

The Dodgers Can Win If…

The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming off a close 4-3 loss to the Boston Red Sox. Michael Conforto had a strong game, going 3-for-4 with a home run and two doubles. Dustin May pitched five innings, allowing four runs and striking out five.

The Dodgers have a powerful lineup, ranking second in the league with 161 home runs this season. Shohei Ohtani leads the team with 38 home runs, while Will Smith boasts a .324 batting average. The team also ranks second in slugging percentage at .444, showcasing their ability to score runs.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto will be on the mound for the Dodgers. He has a solid ERA of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.05, which gives the Dodgers a strong chance to limit the opposing team’s offense. With the Cincinnati Reds starting Chase Burns, who has an ERA of 6.65, the Dodgers’ potent lineup could take advantage and secure a win.

The Reds Can Win If…

The Cincinnati Reds are on a four-game winning streak, including a recent 2-1 victory over the Tampa Bay Rays. Brady Singer was the standout performer, pitching 7 1/3 innings and allowing just one run. Key players like Matt McLain, Austin Hays, and TJ Friedl contributed with timely hits, helping the Reds secure the win.

Offensively, the Reds rank 9th in batting average and 8th in on-base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz leads the team with 18 home runs and 67 RBIs, providing a solid foundation for their lineup. Their ability to get on base and drive in runs makes them a threat in any game.

On the mound, the Reds’ pitching staff boasts the 7th best batting average against in the league. Despite Chase Burns’ struggles with a 6.65 ERA, the team has shown they can support their pitchers with strong defense and timely hitting. With a strong lineup and recent success, the Reds have a good chance to continue their winning ways.

The Lean

The Dodgers are favored on the moneyline at -170, and they have strong hitting stats, ranking second in slugging percentage and home runs. The Reds, with a moneyline of +143, have a lower batting average and slugging percentage. My model projects the Dodgers to win with a score of 5-3, making them the recommended pick for this game.

The total for this game is set at 9.0, with the over at -116 and the under at -104. Considering the Dodgers’ powerful offense and the Reds’ pitching ERA of 4.26, my model projects a total score of 8. This suggests taking the under for this game.

Surging Reds Wary of Slumping Dodgers Going Into Series

The Cincinnati Reds are charging up the National League wild-card standings, and they’ll look to keep their momentum going as they host the Los Angeles Dodgers in the opener of a three-game series on Monday night.

Cincinnati is riding high after a three-game sweep of the Tampa Bay Rays and now sits six games above .500 (56-50) for the first time since 2023. With four straight wins and a 6-3 record since the All-Star break, the Reds are positioning themselves as potential buyers at the trade deadline — a refreshing narrative for a team that hasn’t played playoff baseball in a full season since 2013.

“We like our team,” said manager Terry Francona after Sunday’s 2-1 win. “Nobody ever claimed we’re the ’27 Yankees. But that doesn’t mean we don’t love competing.”

Cincinnati’s fans are hoping this isn’t a flash in the pan — and they’re not alone. Our MLB picks page tracks every team’s latest form and betting value daily, including projections from top handicappers.

Reds Rolling, but Dodgers Loom Large

Despite the Reds’ recent success, Francona isn’t popping champagne yet.

“I will never say it’s our best stretch,” he said. “Because the minute I do, here come the Dodgers.”

And indeed, the Dodgers come with baggage. After a promising start to their road swing with a win in Boston, L.A. dropped the next two games and fell to 8-13 in July. The slump is cause for concern, but their first-place standing in the NL West provides a buffer.

Starter Yoshinobu Yamamoto (8-7, 2.55 ERA) will try to steady the ship for L.A. Monday. He allowed four runs over five innings in his only previous appearance against the Reds back in May — a 4-1 loss. For more matchup-specific data, player splits, and totals trends, head to our MLB scores and odds section.

Rookie Burns to Test Himself Against L.A.

The Reds will send out rookie Chase Burns (0-2, 6.65 ERA), still searching for his first big-league win in what will be his sixth start. Burns showed flashes in Washington last Tuesday, striking out five but allowing six runs (five earned) across 5 2/3 innings.

If Cincinnati wants to be taken seriously as a playoff contender, this is the type of stage where their young arms must deliver. Stay tuned for in-depth pitching matchup breakdowns in our daily MLB expert betting guide, updated with scouting reports and tactical analysis.

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Dodgers Reinforcements and the Deadline Clock

Ahead of Monday’s game, the Dodgers activated veteran reliever Blake Treinen and recalled lefty Justin Wrobleski. Treinen, sidelined since April with forearm tightness, brings late-inning experience that could be pivotal in a close contest.

As the trade deadline approaches, both clubs could look different by Thursday. The Reds are hoping to add support for a playoff push, while the Dodgers may address pitching depth to bolster their October aspirations.

Want to dig deeper into team trends, past matchups, and season performance? Visit our comprehensive MLB team hub to scout every franchise heading into the week’s key series.