Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks and Predictions August 17th 2025

Last Updated on

The Milwaukee Brewers visit the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. The Brewers have been hot, winning their last 14 games. They lead the NL Central with a 78-44 record. The Reds are third in the division with a 64-60 record and have lost their last two games. The game starts at 1:40 PM on Sunday, August 17, 2025, and will be shown on FDSWI. The weather forecast predicts light rain and warm temperatures. Jose Quintana will start for the Brewers, with a 3.44 ERA and a 10-4 record. The Reds will counter with Andrew Abbott, who has a 2.41 ERA and an 8-3 record. The Brewers have a strong road record of 36-24, while the Reds have a home record of 35-29. Both teams aim to improve their division standings in this matchup.

Brewers vs Reds Key Information

  • Sport: Baseball
  • Teams: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds
  • Venue: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
  • Date: Sunday, August 17, 2025
  • Betting Odds:
    • Brewers Moneyline: -111
    • Reds Moneyline: -107
    • Brewers Runline: -1.5 (+143)
    • Reds Runline: +1.5 (-171)
    • Total Over: 9.5 (-101)
    • Total Under: 9.5 (-119)

The Brewers Can Win If…

The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game with momentum from their recent 6-5 win over the Cincinnati Reds. In that game, Andruw Monasterio hit a home run and drove in three runs. Brice Turang also contributed with two hits and two runs, showing the depth of the Brewers’ lineup.

The Brewers have a strong batting average of .260, which ranks second in the league. Their on-base percentage is also second at .331. These stats show that the Brewers can consistently get on base and create scoring opportunities.

Jose Quintana will start for the Brewers, bringing a 3.44 ERA and a 10-4 record. With a solid pitching performance, he can help the Brewers limit the Reds’ offense. The Brewers’ pitching staff also ranks third in ERA, making them tough to score against.

The Reds Can Win If…

The Cincinnati Reds are ready to bounce back after a close 6-5 loss to the Milwaukee Brewers. In that game, the Reds had nine hits, with three home runs from key players. Ke’Bryan Hayes, Spencer Steer, and Noelvi Marte each hit a home run, showing the power in their lineup.

The Reds have strong batting stats that can help them win. They rank 9th in batting average at .247 and 10th in on-base percentage at .318. Their ability to get on base and score runs will be crucial in the upcoming game.

Andrew Abbott is set to start for the Reds, and he has been effective this season. With an ERA of 2.41 and a WHIP of 1.11, Abbott can keep the Brewers’ hitters in check. His performance on the mound could be the key to securing a win for the Reds.

The Lean

The Brewers are slightly favored with a moneyline of -111, while the Reds are at -107. The Brewers have a strong pitching staff with a 3.61 ERA, ranked 3rd in the league. The Reds’ pitching ranks 13th with a 3.84 ERA. My model projects the Brewers to win 5-4. Based on these stats, I recommend betting on the Brewers to win.

The total runs line is set at 9.5, with the over at -101 and the under at -119. The Brewers’ offense ranks 2nd in batting average, while the Reds rank 9th. Both teams have decent hitting, but the Brewers’ pitching might limit scoring. My model predicts a total of 9 runs. I recommend betting on the under for this game.

sas logo

Stay Ahead of the Diamond

MLB Data & Insights

Brewers Put 14-Game Win Streak on Line in Finale vs. Reds

The Milwaukee Brewers refuse to cool off, extending their franchise-record winning streak to 14 games with a thrilling 6-5, 11-inning victory over the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday.

On Sunday, Milwaukee will go for a three-game sweep at Great American Ball Park and its 15th straight victory overall.

How the Brewers Won Again

Saturday’s win marked the eighth come-from-behind victory during this streak. Pinch hitter Andruw Monasterio played the hero, crushing a three-run homer in the 11th inning.

“It means everything,” Monasterio said. “The key for me is my routine. I was ready for anything. I love this journey, and I’m blessed to be part of this team.”

The Brewers tied the game in the ninth with two walks and a costly error by Reds star Elly De La Cruz, before trading runs in the 10th and finally breaking through.

The streak is now the longest in MLB since the 2022 Mariners won 14 straight, and just three shy of the 2021 Cardinals’ 17-game run.

Projected Pitching Matchup

TeamStarterRecordERANotes
BrewersJose Quintana (LHP)10-43.446 scoreless IP vs. PIT in last start; career 2.71 ERA vs. CIN
RedsAndrew Abbott (LHP)8-32.41Second-best ERA in MLB; lost two straight despite strong outings

Quintana, 36, has been steady all year and is 6-4 with a 2.71 ERA in 16 career starts vs. Cincinnati.

Abbott, meanwhile, has been one of the NL’s breakout arms, trailing only Paul Skenes in ERA, but the Reds have given him little support.

Key Trends to Know

  • Brewers are 14-0 in their last 14 games overall.
  • Reds are 1-5 in Abbott’s last 6 starts vs. MIL.
  • Milwaukee owns the third-best team ERA in MLB (3.61).
  • Eight of the Brewers’ last 14 wins have been come-from-behind victories.

Why This Game Matters

  • For Milwaukee: Extending the streak to 15 games would cement their place in the NL playoff race and build momentum before a crucial homestand.
  • For Cincinnati: With Abbott on the mound, this is the Reds’ best chance to avoid a sweep and stop the bleeding against a division rival.

Fans and bettors can keep track of live updates on the MLB scores and odds page and dig deeper into MLB betting picks for this matchup.