Cincinnati Reds vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Predictions June 17th 2025

Cincinnati Reds vs Minnesota Twins June 17th 2025

The Minnesota Twins will play against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on Tuesday, June 17, 2025. The game is set to start at 7:10 PM and will be broadcast on FDSOH. The weather forecast predicts light rain with a mild breeze, which could affect gameplay.

The Twins, managed by Rocco Baldelli, have a current season record of 36-35. They have struggled on the road with a 16-23 record. Meanwhile, the Reds, led by Terry Francona, hold a 37-35 record and have been solid at home with an 18-16 record. David Festa will start for the Twins, while Andrew Abbott will take the mound for the Reds.

Twins vs Reds Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Minnesota Twins vs. Cincinnati Reds
• Venue: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
• Date: Tuesday, June 17, 2025
• Betting Odds: Reds MoneyLine -122, Twins MoneyLine +101

The Twins Can Win If…

The Minnesota Twins are coming off a narrow 1-2 loss against the Houston Astros. Simeon Woods Richardson had a strong showing, allowing only one hit over five innings. Brooks Lee was a standout at the plate, hitting a home run and going 3-for-4. Despite the loss, the Twins showed potential with their eight hits, indicating they can compete in tight games.

The Twins have strengths that can lead them to victory. They rank 13th in home runs with 74 and 12th in doubles with 112. Their pitching staff has given up only 75 home runs, placing them 10th in this category. These stats show that the Twins have the ability to both score and limit the opposing team’s scoring chances.

Key players like Willi Castro and Byron Buxton can make a difference. Castro leads the team with a .290 batting average and has hit seven home runs. Buxton has 11 home runs and 41 RBIs, providing power in the lineup. With solid contributions from these players, the Twins have a good chance to secure a win against the Cincinnati Reds.

The Reds Can Win If…

The Cincinnati Reds are coming off a strong win against the Detroit Tigers, 8-4. Elly De La Cruz led the charge with a home run and three RBIs. Santiago Espinal also contributed with three hits, showing the depth of the Reds’ lineup.

The Reds have a solid batting lineup, ranking 9th in batting average with .248. They are also 6th in doubles, adding power to their hitting. On the pitching side, Andrew Abbott stands out with a 1.87 ERA and a 6-1 record, making him a reliable starter.

Elly De La Cruz is a key player for the Reds, leading the team with 16 home runs and 50 RBIs. His performance, along with Andrew Abbott’s pitching, gives the Reds a strong chance to win. With a balanced lineup and solid pitching, the Reds look ready for their next game.

The Lean

The Reds are the favorites with a moneyline of -122, while the Twins are at +101. Despite the Reds having a slightly better batting average and on-base percentage, the Twins have a stronger pitching lineup with a lower ERA. My model projects the Twins to win 5-4, so the recommendation is to pick the Twins on the moneyline for a potential upset.

The current total for the game is set at 8.5 runs. Both teams have decent hitting stats, but the Twins’ pitching could keep the score lower. My model projects a total of 9 runs. Therefore, the recommendation is to go with the over, as the combined score is expected to exceed the set total.

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Reds Riding Momentum After Road Success

The Cincinnati Reds return to Great American Ball Park on Tuesday riding a wave of momentum. After wrapping up a successful road trip through Cleveland and Detroit, Cincinnati is looking to build on a 7-2 run over its last nine games. That stretch includes impressive series wins over the Diamondbacks, Guardians, and Tigers.

Cincinnati capped its trip with a dramatic 8-4 win over Detroit on Sunday, rallying from a 4-2 deficit by scoring four runs in the eighth inning and two more in the ninth. The comeback marked the Reds’ first victory in 30 tries this season when trailing after seven innings.

As they eye another strong performance at home, the Reds continue to climb in the standings and offer betting value. For expert analysis and daily predictions, visit the MLB picks page at Scores and Stats.

Abbott Anchors Reds’ Rotation

Andrew Abbott will start Tuesday’s opener for Cincinnati. The left-hander is coming off his best outing of the season — a three-hit shutout against the Cleveland Guardians — marking his first career complete game. He threw 110 pitches and struck out eight in the dominant effort.

Abbott enters the game at 6-1 with a sparkling 1.87 ERA and has established himself as one of the most reliable arms in the Reds’ rotation. Tuesday’s outing will be his first career appearance against the Twins.

Minnesota will counter with right-hander David Festa (1-1, 4.76 ERA), who is set for his sixth career start. Festa picked up his first big league win last week against the Texas Rangers, allowing two runs across six innings in a 6-2 victory. This will be his second time facing Cincinnati after a no-decision in September 2024.

To dive deeper into the key pitching matchups and projected lineups, check out the MLB game previews section.

Elly De La Cruz Powers Reds’ Lineup

Elly De La Cruz has become the centerpiece of the Reds’ offensive surge. The electric infielder has homered in four consecutive games, bringing his season total to 16. On Sunday, he served as the designated hitter, a rare break from his everyday role at shortstop.

Manager Terry Francona praised his team’s energy and resilience, noting the importance of rest and preparation heading into this home series. Cincinnati will need more clutch hitting from De La Cruz and the supporting cast to continue their hot streak.

For bettors following individual player trends and prop markets, the expert betting guide offers up-to-date analysis and player-focused tips.

Twins Searching for Spark

The Twins limp into Cincinnati after being swept by the Astros in Houston, extending their losing streak to four games. Minnesota has now dropped eight of its last 10 contests as their offense continues to sputter.

Brooks Lee has been one of the lone bright spots in June. The rookie extended his MLB-leading hitting streak to 15 games on Sunday with a home run as part of a 3-for-4 day. Despite Lee’s performance, the Twins could only muster one run in a 2-1 loss in extra innings.

Manager Rocco Baldelli acknowledged Lee’s progress and consistency, calling attention to his improved plate discipline and approach.

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Series Outlook and Betting Edge

The Reds will look to continue their upward trajectory and extend their dominance at home against a Minnesota team in need of a turnaround. With Abbott on the mound and De La Cruz swinging a hot bat, Cincinnati has all the pieces to stay hot.

Minnesota, meanwhile, will hope David Festa can keep the game close and that Lee’s hot streak can ignite the rest of the lineup. Bettors looking for additional insights and value plays should browse the MLB picks marketplace for premium analysis.

Stay locked in to this series for strong wagering opportunities and breakout performances on both sides.