Cincinnati Reds vs Minnesota Twins Picks and Predictions June 18th 2025

Cincinnati Reds vs Minnesota Twins June 18th 2025

The Minnesota Twins are set to play against the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH. This night game will take place on Wednesday, June 18, 2025, at 7:10 PM. The game will be aired on FDSOH, and the weather forecast predicts a very hot day with light rain and a breeze blowing in.

The Twins, managed by Rocco Baldelli, hold a 36-36 record this season. They have struggled on the road with a 16-24 record. Bailey Ober will start for the Twins, bringing an ERA of 4.40. The Reds, led by manager Terry Francona, have a 38-35 record. They have been solid at home with a 19-16 record. Nick Lodolo will take the mound for the Reds, sporting an ERA of 3.76.

Twins vs Reds Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Minnesota Twins vs. Cincinnati Reds
• Venue: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH
• Date: Wednesday, June 18, 2025
• Betting Odds: Twins MoneyLine -105, Reds MoneyLine -113

The Twins Can Win If…

The Minnesota Twins are looking to bounce back after a close loss to the Cincinnati Reds. In their last game, the Twins had eight hits, including two home runs. Harrison Bader and Byron Buxton both went deep, showing their power potential.

The Twins have a solid lineup that can make an impact. Byron Buxton leads the team with 12 home runs and 42 RBIs. Willi Castro has a batting average of .283, making him a consistent threat at the plate.

Bailey Ober will be on the mound for the Twins. Ober has a 4.40 ERA and will aim to keep the Reds’ offense in check. The Twins’ pitching staff ranks 10th in strikeouts, which can help them control the game.

The Reds Can Win If…

The Cincinnati Reds are coming off a close win against the Minnesota Twins, 6-5. Andrew Abbott pitched 5 2/3 innings, allowing only one earned run. Jake Fraley and Will Benson were key contributors, each driving in two runs to help secure the victory.

The Reds have shown solid hitting stats this season, with a .247 batting average and .321 on-base percentage, both ranked in the top ten. Their ability to draw walks, ranked 5th in the league, adds to their offensive strength. With Elly De La Cruz leading the team in home runs and RBIs, the lineup has the potential to score runs consistently.

Pitching is also a strength for the Reds, with Nick Lodolo starting the next game. Lodolo has a respectable 3.76 ERA and a strong WHIP of 1.13. The Reds’ pitching staff ranks 7th in batting average against, making it tough for opposing teams to get on base.

The Lean

The Reds are slightly favored with a moneyline of -113 against the Twins’ -105. The Reds have a better team batting average and on-base percentage, which gives them an edge. My model projects the Reds to win with a score of 5-4. Given these factors, a straight-up pick on the Reds is recommended.

The over/under line is set at 9.0 runs. Both teams have solid pitching, with the Reds having a slightly better ERA. My model projects a total of 9 runs, which aligns with the current line. Therefore, taking the under 9.0 runs is the recommended pick, as the game is likely to be a low-scoring one.

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Resilient Reds Look to Stay Hot Against Slumping Twins

Two teams on completely different trajectories will clash on Wednesday night as the resilient Cincinnati Reds host the slumping Minnesota Twins. The Reds will be looking for their fourth straight win, while the Twins are desperate to snap a five-game losing streak.

A Newfound Fight in Cincinnati

For most of the season, a late deficit was a death sentence for the Reds. But something has changed. After being 0-29 when trailing after seven innings, Cincinnati has now won two straight games with late-inning comebacks, including Tuesday’s 6-5 victory over the Twins.

“When they say the same thing will make you laugh will make you cry, I know what they mean,” Reds manager David Bell said. “We did some good things, made some mistakes, but we did some really good things… they’re fighting, and I like that a lot.”

Minnesota’s Misery in Close Games

While the Reds are finding ways to win, the Twins are finding new ways to lose. Tuesday’s loss was their seventh straight defeat in a one-run game, often due to a key mistake or inability to get a clutch hit.

“It’s a very winnable game for us, and we know it,” manager Rocco Baldelli said. “It’s a game where we can focus more looking at ourselves and the fundamentals of the game.” The psychology of a team that can’t win close games is a deep topic in our expert betting guide.

A Duel of Pitchers Seeking a Rebound

Wednesday’s pitching matchup features two talented arms who are both coming off terrible starts. The Reds will send out lefty Nick Lodolo (4-5, 3.76 ERA), who was shelled for six runs his last time out. The Twins will counter with righty Bailey Ober (4-3, 4.40 ERA), who was hit even harder, giving up seven runs and four home runs in his last appearance. This battle of pitchers looking to bounce back will be a key focus on the scores and odds board.

As these two MLB teams continue their series, one is playing with house money while the other is pressing for a win. To see who our experts think will come out on top, check out our daily MLB picks.