Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles Picks and Predictions July 24th 2025

Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles July 24th 2025

The Baltimore Orioles will visit the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on Thursday, July 24, 2025. This afternoon game is set to start at 1:10 PM and will be broadcast on MLBN. The weather forecast predicts a mild day with a light breeze and overcast clouds. The Orioles, managed by Tony Mansolino, have a season record of 44-57. They are 15 games behind in the AL East. Charlie Morton will start on the mound for Baltimore, bringing an ERA of 5.58 into the game. The Guardians, led by Stephen Vogt, hold a 51-50 record and are 8 games behind in the AL Central. Logan Allen, with an ERA of 4.06, will pitch for Cleveland.

Orioles vs Guardians Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians
• Venue: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH
• Date: Thursday, July 24, 2025
• Betting Odds: Orioles Moneyline +100, Guardians Moneyline -118

The Orioles Can Win If…

The Baltimore Orioles are looking to bounce back after a close 3-2 loss to the Cleveland Guardians. Zach Eflin pitched five innings, allowing only two hits and striking out five batters. Jackson Holliday contributed with a home run, showcasing his ability to make an impact at the plate.

Despite recent losses, the Orioles have strong stats that can lead them to victory. They have hit 117 home runs this season, ranking 12th in the league. Their ability to hit extra-base hits, as seen in their game against the Tampa Bay Rays, shows they can generate runs quickly.

Key players like Ryan O’Hearn and Jackson Holliday are crucial for the Orioles. O’Hearn’s batting average of .281 and Holliday’s 14 home runs highlight their offensive power. With Charlie Morton on the mound, the Orioles hope to capitalize on his experience to secure a win.

The Guardians Can Win If…

The Cleveland Guardians are coming off a close 3-2 win against the Baltimore Orioles. Slade Cecconi pitched six solid innings, allowing only two runs. Key contributions came from Steven Kwan, José Ramírez, and Kyle Manzardo, each driving in crucial runs.

One reason the Guardians can win is their pitching strength. Logan Allen, with a 4.06 ERA, will start for Cleveland. The Guardians’ pitching staff ranks 11th in batting average against, limiting opponents to a .244 average.

Offensively, José Ramírez leads the team with a .294 batting average and 21 home runs. The Guardians are also effective on the base paths with 81 stolen bases, ranking 10th in the league. Their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities can be a key factor in securing another win.

The Lean

The Orioles are the pick to win the game with a moneyline of +100. The Guardians have a moneyline of -118, but the Orioles’ hitting ranks slightly higher in key areas like slugging percentage and home runs. The model projects the Orioles to win with a score of 5-4.

For the over/under, the line is set at 9.0. The model projects a total score of 9 runs, which aligns with the set line. With both teams showing moderate hitting and pitching stats, betting on the over at 9.0 (-115) is recommended.

Membership Open for Premier MLB Room

Don’t watch—win with us.

Register Today!

Guardians Eye Four-Game Sweep of Struggling Orioles

The Cleveland Guardians look to complete a four-game sweep of the Baltimore Orioles on Thursday afternoon at Progressive Field. With temperatures expected to soar into the mid-90s and a heat index over 100, both teams will have to battle the conditions as much as each other.

Want to cash in on today’s matchup? Check the latest MLB expert picks for the best betting angles.

Guardians Back in Wild-Card Hunt

Cleveland has completely flipped the script on its season. Since snapping a 10-game losing streak on July 7, the Guardians have won 11 of their last 13 games, surging back into the American League wild-card race. They now sit just 2.5 games behind Seattle and Boston for the final playoff spots.

“You don’t want to jinx it, of course, but yeah, we’ve been playing some good baseball,” said left fielder Steven Kwan. “I know the day’s going to be real hot and things will be real tough, but if we just rely on each other, we’ll be in a good spot.”

The bullpen has been lights out during the homestand, anchored by Emmanuel Clase. The All-Star closer locked down his 23rd save of the season in Wednesday’s 3-2 win, striking out two in a perfect ninth inning.

“When (Clase) walks onto the field, you know we’re going to win the game,” pitcher Slade Cecconi said. “He’s the most dominant closer in the big leagues. It’s scary.”

Cleveland will start Logan Allen (6-8, 4.06 ERA), who is just 1-4 over his last five outings despite a solid 3.72 ERA in that stretch. Allen has handled Baltimore well in his career, going 2-0 with a 3.45 ERA, including 5 2/3 shutout innings against the Orioles back on April 15.

Looking for a strong betting angle on Allen? Get our MLB Picks and Predictions for detailed trends.

Orioles Slipping Toward Deadline Sell Mode

After a brief 6-1 surge earlier this month, Baltimore has now lost seven of its last eight games, falling to 13th place in the AL. With the trade deadline looming, veterans like Zach Eflin could soon be shipped out.

Eflin returned from the IL on Wednesday and pitched five quality innings, but the bullpen faltered late.

“Being on the injured list is never fun,” said Eflin, who is 6-5 with a 5.78 ERA this year. “It feels like you’re separated from the team. But I felt healthy and executed some pitches.”

Bright spots are few, but Jackson Holliday continues to shine. He homered Wednesday, extending his hitting streak against the Guardians to eight games while batting .414 with three homers and nine RBIs in that stretch.

The Orioles will counter Allen with Charlie Morton (5-8, 5.58 ERA). Morton had won five straight decisions before the Rays tagged him for seven runs over 5 1/3 innings in Tampa last week. He also struggled in his April start against Cleveland, giving up five runs on seven hits in five-plus innings.

Looking to find value in this matinee matchup? Use our free MLB betting guide for sharp strategies.

With Cleveland riding a hot streak and Baltimore sliding toward seller territory, the Guardians are in prime position to finish off the sweep. Will Allen stay dominant against the Orioles, or can Morton rebound to salvage a game for Baltimore? Get the latest insights and best bets with our updated MLB Predictions and Picks.