Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds Picks and Predictions June 10th 2025

Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds June 10th 2025

The Cincinnati Reds take on the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on Tuesday, June 10, 2025. The game is set to start at 6:40 PM under clear skies with a mild breeze. Fans can catch the action on FDSOH.

The Reds, managed by Terry Francona, hold a 34-33 record this season. They have a road record of 16-17. Andrew Abbott will start for the Reds, boasting an ERA of 2.18. The Guardians, led by Stephen Vogt, have a 34-31 record and a home record of 18-14. Slade Cecconi will pitch for the Guardians with an ERA of 4.87.

Reds vs Guardians Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians
• Venue: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH
• Date: Tuesday, June 10, 2025
• Betting Odds: Guardians MoneyLine -118, Reds MoneyLine -102

The Reds Can Win If…

The Cincinnati Reds are coming off a 7-4 win against the Cleveland Guardians. In that game, Jake Fraley shined with a home run and two RBIs. TJ Friedl also added a home run, contributing to the Reds’ 16-hit performance.

The Reds have been strong offensively, ranking 7th in doubles and 4th in stolen bases this season. They also have a solid on-base percentage, standing 11th in the league. With Andrew Abbott on the mound, who boasts a 2.18 ERA, the Reds have a reliable starter to keep the Guardians’ bats in check.

Elly De La Cruz is a key player for the Reds, leading the team with 12 home runs and 43 RBIs. His performance, along with support from hitters like Tyler Stephenson and Gavin Lux, gives the Reds a strong lineup. This depth in their batting order can help them secure another win against the Guardians.

The Guardians Can Win If…

The Cleveland Guardians recently played against the Cincinnati Reds, where they lost 4-7. Bo Naylor was a standout with a home run, contributing to his two runs and one RBI. José Ramírez also made an impact with a hit, a run, and an RBI, showing his consistent performance at the plate.

Despite the recent loss, the Guardians have several stats that give them a good chance to win. They rank 13th in home runs this season, with 63 homers so far. Their pitching staff has been reliable too, ranking 1st in blown saves with only five, which means they can hold leads late in games.

José Ramírez remains a key player for the Guardians, with a batting average of .330 and 11 home runs. His ability to get on base and drive in runs is crucial. With Slade Cecconi on the mound, the Guardians will look to capitalize on his potential to keep the game close against the Reds.

The Lean

The Guardians are the slight favorites with a moneyline of -118. The Reds have a moneyline of -102. The Guardians have a better pitching rank with an ERA of 3.80 compared to the Reds’ 3.99. This gives them an edge, so the pick is the Guardians to win.

The over/under line is set at 8.0. The Guardians’ pitching allows a batting average against of .232, while the Reds allow .253. Both teams have moderate hitting stats, suggesting a lower-scoring game. The pick is under 8.0.

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Jose Ramirez & Slumping Guardians Take Another Crack at Reds

The Cleveland Guardians are stuck in a slump that shows no signs of letting up, having dropped nine of their past 14 games. But despite the team’s struggles, the face of their franchise, Jose Ramirez, is absolutely red hot!

Ramirez extended his incredible on-base streak to 35 games on Monday in a 7-4 loss to the visiting Cincinnati Reds. He’s now collected hits in 30 of his last 31 contests and leads Major League Baseball with 48 total hits since May 6. The six-time All-Star third baseman will look to extend that career-best run Tuesday against Reds left-hander Andrew Abbott (5-1, 2.18 ERA). The Guardians will counter with right-hander Slade Cecconi (1-2, 4.87).

A Familiar Face Returns

Reds manager Terry Francona, affectionately known as “Tito,” holds a special place in Cleveland. He was Jose Ramirez’s only manager for his first 11 seasons with the team and remains the club leader in victories. Francona, now a senior adviser for the Guardians, intentionally kept his distance last year but has stayed in touch with Ramirez.

“When I come over here, he’s the first guy everybody asks about because of the way he plays the game,” Francona said of Ramirez. “Hosey, I think, understands that as the game slows down for you, you don’t have to slow down. It’s really respectful. Then when you take the talent on top of it, it makes him who he is.”

Ramirez is batting a scorching .392 with seven homers, 17 RBIs, and 14 stolen bases during his on-base streak, which is Cleveland’s longest since Jason Kipnis’ 36-gamer in 2013. His season average has soared to .333, ranking fourth in the big leagues. The only minor hiccup on Monday was a throwing error by Ramirez, joined by wild throws from second baseman Angel Martinez and catcher Bo Naylor. Guardians manager Stephen Vogt noted, “We have a lot of guys trying to do too much right now. That’s not our game. Just back off and play baseball.”

Reds on a Roll

The Reds, meanwhile, are cruising, having won four straight games. Jake Fraley led the charge with three hits, while TJ Friedl, Gavin Lux, Elly De La Cruz, and Will Benson each added two. Fraley and Friedl both homered in Monday’s win.

Andrew Abbott has truly blossomed in his third season with Cincinnati, posting an impressive 0.55 ERA in May. His 2.18 overall ERA would place him third in the National League if he qualified. “It’s just little things that I didn’t have in the first few starts of the year,” Abbott said. “Hopefully, you can continue to improve on that and the results will follow.” Abbott previously shut down the Guardians on May 18, throwing five scoreless innings. He’s 2-1 with a 3.65 ERA in three career starts against Cleveland.

Slade Cecconi is 0-2 with a 4.57 ERA in four career starts against the Reds. He took a loss at Cincinnati on May 17, giving up three runs over five-plus innings, including a homer to Benson.

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