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Cleveland Guardians vs Cincinnati Reds June 11th 2025
The Cincinnati Reds will take on the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on Wednesday, June 11, 2025. The game is set for an afternoon start at 1:10 PM and will be broadcast on CLEG. Fans can expect a mild day with a light breeze and scattered clouds, making for pleasant game conditions.
The Reds, managed by Terry Francona, have a record of 35-33 this season. They sit six games back in the NL Central. Nick Lodolo will start for the Reds, bringing a 3.21 ERA and a 4-4 record. On the other side, the Guardians, led by Stephen Vogt, hold a 34-32 record and are nine games back in the AL Central. Logan Allen will take the mound for the Guardians with a 4.42 ERA and a 3-4 record. Both teams will aim to improve their standings in their respective divisions.
Reds vs Guardians Key Information
- Sport: Baseball
- Teams: Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians
- Venue: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH
- Date: Wednesday, June 11, 2025
- Betting Odds: Guardians MoneyLine -114, Reds MoneyLine -105
The Reds Can Win If…
The Cincinnati Reds are coming off a narrow 1-0 win against the Cleveland Guardians. Andrew Abbott pitched a complete game, allowing only three hits and striking out five. Will Benson and Spencer Steer contributed crucial hits, with Steer driving in the game’s only run.
The Reds have strong hitting stats, ranking 8th in home runs with 73 and 6th in doubles with 114. Their pitching is also solid, with a team ERA of 3.66, placing them 9th. The Reds’ ability to limit opponents to a .229 batting average is key to their success.
Nick Lodolo will start for the Reds, bringing a 3.21 ERA and 1.08 WHIP into the game. Lodolo’s control on the mound can give the Reds an edge. With players like Elly De La Cruz and Jose Trevino leading the lineup, the Reds have the potential to continue their winning streak.
The Guardians Can Win If…
The Cleveland Guardians are set to bounce back after a narrow 0-1 loss against the Cincinnati Reds. In that game, Slade Cecconi pitched well, going 5 innings with 8 strikeouts and allowing just one run. José Ramírez showed his consistency with a hit, keeping his batting average at a strong .332 for the season.
Looking at their season stats, the Guardians have hit 67 home runs, ranking 13th in the league. They also have a solid strikeout record, with 562 strikeouts, placing them 11th. These stats show their potential to deliver strong performances both at the plate and on the mound.
José Ramírez is a key player for the Guardians, leading the team with 12 home runs and a .548 slugging percentage. Logan Allen will start on the mound with an ERA of 4.42, aiming to improve his record. With their lineup and pitching, the Guardians have a strong chance to secure a win in this game.
The Lean
The Guardians are the slight favorites with a moneyline of -114. The Reds are at -105. Based on the data, the Guardians have a stronger pitching staff with an ERA of 3.66, ranking 9th. The Reds’ ERA is 3.92, ranking 16th. Given these factors, the recommendation is to pick the Guardians to win straight up.
The over/under line is set at 8.5 runs. The Guardians have a batting average of .232, ranking 18th, while the Reds are at .246, ranking 11th. Both teams have decent pitching, but the Guardians’ stronger pitching might keep the score lower. The projected total score is around 8, so the recommendation is to take the under.
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Reds Roll into Finale with a Sweep on Their Minds
The battle for Ohio has been all Cincinnati this year, and now the Reds have a chance to do something they haven’t done since 2014: win the Ohio Cup. Riding a five-game winning streak, the Reds are looking to complete the season sweep of the Guardians in Wednesday’s finale, a feat that would get noticed by other MLB teams. The rivalry trophy, which players didn’t even realize was real, is now front and center in their minds.
“When they rolled that trophy in here on the cart, we were like, ‘Oh, it’s real.’ It’s right there,” Reds center fielder TJ Friedl said with a laugh.
Abbott’s Masterpiece Sets the Stage
The Reds secured their fifth straight win over the Guardians thanks to a masterful performance from Andrew Abbott. He pitched his first career complete game, a three-hit shutout in a nail-biting 1-0 victory on Tuesday. Spencer Steer provided the only offense needed with a clutch RBI single, continuing his hot streak with runners in scoring position.
Abbott’s dominance over Cleveland this season (14 scoreless innings in two starts) makes him a strong candidate for the Ohio Cup’s Most Outstanding Player award.
A Tough Test on the Mound
In the series finale, Cincinnati sends left-hander Nick Lodolo (4-4, 3.21 ERA) to the hill. Lodolo has had a tough time against Cleveland in the past, holding a 6.30 ERA in two career starts. The Guardians will counter with their own lefty, Logan Allen (3-4, 4.42 ERA), who pitched six scoreless innings in his lone appearance against Cincinnati two years ago.
Cleveland’s Silver Lining: José Ramirez
While the Guardians have struggled to find wins lately, their superstar third baseman José Ramirez has been on an absolute tear. He is riding a 36-game on-base streak, the second-longest in the majors this season. During that streak, he is hitting an incredible .388 with seven home runs and 18 RBIs.
“They pitch well, they hit well, they play good defense, take good at-bats,” Guardians manager Stephen Vogt said of the surging Reds. “They’re a very good team.”
This intrastate battle is one of the most interesting of the day. For a full breakdown of the matchup, you can view the live scores and odds. For more analysis, our expert betting guide offers deeper insights, and you can see who the pros are backing with our daily MLB picks.
