Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies Picks and Predictions July 29th 2025

Cleveland Guardians vs Colorado Rockies July 29th 2025

The Colorado Rockies will take on the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on Tuesday, July 29, 2025. The game is set to start at 6:40 PM and will be broadcast on COLR. The weather forecast predicts a very hot day with a light breeze and scattered clouds.

The Rockies, managed by interim manager Warren Schaeffer, hold a 27-78 record this season. They are 34 games behind in the NL West. On the other hand, the Guardians have a 52-53 record and are 8 games behind in the AL Central. Tanner Gordon will start for the Rockies, while Logan Allen will take the mound for the Guardians.

Rockies vs Guardians Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Colorado Rockies vs. Cleveland Guardians
• Venue: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH
• Date: Tuesday, July 29, 2025
• Betting Odds: Rockies Moneyline +194, Guardians Moneyline -233, Rockies Runline +1.5 (-105), Guardians Runline -1.5 (-114), Total Over 8.5 (-113), Total Under 8.5 (-107)

The Rockies Can Win If…

The Colorado Rockies are coming off a recent loss to the Baltimore Orioles, 1-5. Despite the defeat, Warming Bernabel stood out with a home run and an RBI. The Rockies managed six hits in the game, showcasing their ability to make contact against tough pitching.

The Rockies have shown they can win with power hitting. In their last victory over the Orioles, they scored six runs with three home runs. Players like Mickey Moniak and Ezequiel Tovar have been key contributors, each hitting a home run in that game.

Starting pitcher Tanner Gordon could be a game-changer for the Rockies. He has a solid ERA of 3.13, indicating his ability to keep opponents’ scoring low. The Rockies’ lineup, featuring Hunter Goodman and Jordan Beck, can provide the run support needed for a win.

The Guardians Can Win If…

The Cleveland Guardians recently faced the Kansas City Royals, losing 1-4. Gabriel Arias was a standout, hitting a home run and driving in a run. Despite the loss, the Guardians managed seven hits, showing they can create scoring chances.

José Ramírez is a key player for the Guardians, with a batting average of .298 and 21 home runs this season. He ranks first on the team in both home runs and RBIs. The Guardians also have a strong stolen base game, ranking 9th in the league, which can help them gain an edge.

The Guardians’ pitching staff has been solid, with a team ERA of 3.94, ranking 15th. Logan Allen will start against the Rockies, bringing his experience and a record of 6-9. With their pitching and key hitters like Ramírez, the Guardians have the tools to secure a win at home.

The Lean

The Guardians are favored to win with a moneyline of -233. The Rockies have a moneyline of +194. Given the Guardians’ stronger pitching stats, with an ERA of 3.94 compared to the Rockies’ 5.64, the recommendation is to pick the Guardians to win. The model projects a score of Guardians 5, Rockies 3.

The over/under line is set at 8.5. The model projects a total score of 8, which suggests taking the under. The Guardians’ solid pitching and the Rockies’ lower batting average support this pick. Both teams have struggled offensively, ranking in the lower half for batting average and slugging percentage.

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Guardians, Reeling Without Clase, Look to Regroup Against Rockies

The Cleveland Guardians faced a harsh double blow on Monday, both on and off the field. First came the shocking news that closer Emmanuel Clase was placed on non-disciplinary paid leave, joining starter Luis Ortiz on MLB’s administrative list amid an ongoing gambling investigation. Then came the collapse — a ninth-inning meltdown that led to an 8-6 loss to the Colorado Rockies.

The Guardians will look to bounce back Tuesday as left-hander Logan Allen (6-9, 4.16 ERA) squares off against Rockies right-hander Tanner Gordon (2-2, 3.13 ERA) in the second of the three-game series.

Manager Stephen Vogt took the high road following the gut-wrenching loss, defending fill-in closer Cade Smith, who was tagged for four runs—only one earned—after a costly throwing error.

“Definitely not a normal Cade outing,” Vogt said. “He just looked like he got a little bit sped up there. He typically has a slow heartbeat pitching that spot.”

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Smith has emerged as a vital bullpen piece this season, posting a 2.39 ERA with 8 wins and 4 saves across 121 games. Though he’s now just 3-for-6 in save opportunities, his value in the seventh and eighth innings has been undeniable.

“My job is to be here to compete, to prepare, to be ready for when that bullpen phone rings. And so that doesn’t change,” Smith explained.

Allen, who will start Tuesday, hasn’t had much success of late. He’s allowed 15 hits and 7 earned runs over his last two outings. His only prior start against the Rockies was forgettable, giving up seven runs in less than two innings back in May 2024.

Colorado, despite holding the league’s worst record (28-78), showed signs of life Monday. Tyler Freeman tied his career high with three RBIs—including the game-winning single in the ninth—while rookie Warming Bernabel hit his second homer in just three career games.

Freeman, who was part of a trade with Cleveland earlier this year, has found his groove, batting .333 with 16 RBIs and nine stolen bases over his last 45 games. Meanwhile, Nolan Jones—the player sent to Cleveland in that deal—is hitting just .128 since mid-July.

“I know (Vogt) loves Tyler. Well, I second that,” said Rockies interim manager Warren Schaeffer. “You love when a guy goes out and gives it his all — and then some — every day.”

Tanner Gordon, who will face Cleveland for the first time, tossed six scoreless innings in his most recent outing against the St. Louis Cardinals. While his overall interleague numbers (7.36 ERA in four starts) don’t impress, his recent form offers hope for Colorado fans.

With the Guardians’ bullpen now under strain and the postseason race tightening, each game becomes increasingly critical. For those tracking momentum, the latest baseball game results offer important insights into which teams are heating up and which are fading fast.

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