Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Picks and Predictions July 5th 2025

Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers July 5th 2025

The Detroit Tigers will take on the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field. The game is set for Saturday, July 5, 2025, at 7:15 PM. Fans can catch the action on FOX.

The Tigers have a strong record of 55-34 this season. Casey Mize will start for Detroit, with an ERA of 2.86. The Guardians, with a 40-46 record, will have Logan Allen on the mound, who has an ERA of 4.27. Weather conditions show broken clouds and a light breeze.

Tigers vs Guardians Key Information

• Sport: Baseball
• Teams: Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians
• Venue: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH
• Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025
• Betting Odds: Tigers Moneyline -138, Guardians Moneyline +117

The Tigers Can Win If…

The Detroit Tigers recently edged out the Cleveland Guardians with a 2-1 win. Reese Olson pitched 4 1/3 innings, allowing only one run. Zach McKinstry and Wenceel Pérez each hit a home run, contributing to the team’s victory.

The Tigers have a solid batting lineup, ranking 4th in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Spencer Torkelson leads with 19 home runs this season. Their ability to hit for power can be a game-changer.

Casey Mize will start for the Tigers with an ERA of 2.86 and a record of 8-2. He has been a reliable pitcher this season, which can give the Tigers an edge. With Mize on the mound, the Tigers have a strong chance to win.

The Guardians Can Win If…

The Cleveland Guardians are looking to bounce back after their recent 2-1 loss to the Detroit Tigers. Despite the loss, José Ramírez had a strong game, hitting a home run and driving in the Guardians’ only run. Steven Kwan also contributed with two hits, showing his consistency at the plate.

The Guardians have a solid chance to win with their pitching staff. Logan Allen, the starting pitcher for the upcoming game, has a respectable ERA of 4.27. The Guardians’ pitching staff ranks 8th in home runs given up, which can help limit the Tigers’ scoring opportunities.

Offensively, José Ramírez is a key player for the Guardians. He leads the team with a .299 batting average and 14 home runs. With his ability to drive in runs, Ramírez can be a game-changer for Cleveland in their quest for a win.

The Lean

The Tigers are favored on the moneyline at -138 against the Guardians, who sit at +117. The Tigers have a stronger batting lineup with a .256 average, ranked 4th, compared to the Guardians’ .225, ranked 20th. Additionally, the Tigers’ pitching staff has a lower ERA of 3.58 compared to the Guardians’ 3.99. My model projects the Tigers to win 5-3, so I recommend taking the Tigers on the moneyline.

The total for the game is set at 9.0 runs, with the over at -106 and the under at -113. The Tigers’ offense ranks higher in key categories, but the Guardians’ pitching has allowed fewer home runs. My model projects a total score of 8 runs. Given these factors, I recommend taking the under 9.0 for this game.

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Guardians’ Steven Kwan Eyes All-Star Roster Spot in Key Series vs. Tigers

Steven Kwan enters Saturday’s matchup having narrowly missed a starting spot in the All-Star Game despite a standout season. While Riley Greene, Javier Báez and Gleyber Torres will represent the Detroit Tigers among the starters, and José Ramírez was voted in for the American League, Kwan hopes to earn one of the reserve spots when rosters are finalized. His three Gold Glove Awards and team-leading consistency at the plate make a strong case as Cleveland battles to snap an eight-game losing streak. For an in-depth look at upcoming matchups, visit our MLB previews.

All-Star Aspirations on the Line

Manager Stephen Vogt has been vocal in advocating for Kwan’s inclusion, praising not only his defensive prowess but the spark he provides every time he steps into the batter’s box. Kwan owns a .296 batting average with six home runs, 26 RBIs and 11 stolen bases, despite going 7-for-37 over his last nine games. “Steven should be an All-Star, and I think he will be,” Vogt said, emphasizing the intangibles that Kwan brings to the clubhouse. To see how experts are wagering on Kwan’s chances and more, check out our latest MLB picks.

Guardians Struggling to Find Offense

Cleveland’s recent skid has exposed cracks in both the lineup and the bullpen. The Guardians have been shut out four times and managed three or fewer runs in two other contests during this stretch. In Friday’s opener, Detroit prevailed 2-1 behind homers from Wenceel Pérez and Zach McKinstry, while Reese Olson delivered a solid return from the injured list. As Cleveland searches for answers, our MLB betting guide offers strategies to navigate similar slumps.

Tigers’ Pitching Powerhouse

Detroit boasts the best record in the American League, led by a formidable pitching tandem. Cy Young Award winner Tarik Skubal and rising star Casey Mize form one of the league’s most reliable 1-2 punches, while relievers Tommy Kahnle and Will Vest have combined for 22 saves. In the series opener, four arms scattered nine hits and Vest closed out the win with a four-out save. Premium insights and advanced analytics are available if you choose to buy picks.

Saturday’s Starting Pitchers

The middle game of the three-game set will feature Tigers right-hander Casey Mize (8-2, 2.86 ERA) against Guardians lefty Logan Allen (5-6, 4.27 ERA). Mize is 0-1 with a 4.15 ERA in two previous starts versus Cleveland, while Allen is 0-2 with a 9.75 ERA in three outings against Detroit. Both hurlers will look to make a statement, and fans can track which expert handicappers are leading the charge on our best handicappers leaderboard.