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Guardians vs Marlins Prediction: Cleveland Looks to Contain Rookie Sensation Jakob Marsee
The Miami Marlins and Cleveland Guardians wrap up their three-game set Thursday afternoon at Progressive Field. After Jakob Marsee’s record-tying seven-RBI night powered Miami to a 13-4 win on Wednesday, Cleveland will try to bounce back behind starter Tanner Bibee and avoid a series loss.
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Key Game Information
| Category | Details |
|---|---|
| Sport | Baseball (MLB) |
| Teams | Miami Marlins vs Cleveland Guardians |
| Venue | Progressive Field — Cleveland, OH |
| Date/Time | Thursday, August 14, 2025 — 1:10 PM ET |
| Betting Odds | Marlins +108, Guardians -127 |
Miami Marlins Can Win If…
The Marlins ride into this game with the confidence of a season-best offensive showing. Rookie Jakob Marsee went 4-for-5 with 2 home runs and 7 RBIs, becoming just the third player since 1920 to achieve that RBI mark within his first 13 career games.
Starter Edward Cabrera has been sharp lately, posting a 1.40 ERA since July 22 and carrying a season line of 6-5 with a 3.08 ERA. Miami’s team batting average of .252 (7th in MLB) and 98 stolen bases (7th) add extra weapons to pressure Cleveland’s defense.
If Cabrera continues his hot stretch and the offense maintains its aggressive approach, the Marlins could take the series on the road.
Cleveland Guardians Can Win If…
The Guardians need Tanner Bibee to steady the ship. Bibee’s last five starts have been 4-0 despite a 5.53 ERA, and Cleveland will look for him to pitch deeper after the bullpen covered 10 innings in the first two games of the series.
The Guardians have the power to answer Miami’s bats — José Ramírez is hitting .294 with 25 home runs, and the team ranks 13th in ERA at 3.89. Cleveland is also 10-3 since July 29, showing they can quickly shake off poor performances.
If Bibee limits free passes and Ramírez leads an early offensive push, the Guardians can lock down a series win.
Key MLB Betting Trends
| Trend Type | Marlins | Guardians |
|---|---|---|
| Current Form | Won 4 of last 10 | Won 7 of last 10 |
| Home/Away Split | 25–33 on road | 34–25 at home |
| Pitching ERA Rank | 23rd (4.51) | 13th (3.89) |
| Batting AVG Rank | 7th (.252) | 16th (.243) |
| Home Runs Rank | 20th (128) | 18th (133) |
| Bullpen ERA Rank | 25th (4.73) | 9th (3.65) |
The Lean
Cleveland’s superior pitching metrics and stronger home record give them an edge, even after Miami’s breakout game. With Bibee needing a rebound outing and Cabrera in top form, this could stay tight early before the Guardians pull away late.
Pick: Guardians -127
Projected Score: Guardians 5, Marlins 3
O/U Lean: Over 7.5 (-114)
Check out more baseball breakdowns on our MLB Previews page, and follow every final score on the MLB Game Results page.
